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題名:匯率與單根--臺灣之實證研究
書刊名:經濟論文
作者:吳致寧
出版日期:1994
卷期:22:1
頁次:頁101-133
主題關鍵詞:單根匯率實證研究臺灣
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:5
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:23
     本文利用Sims(1988)之貝氏檢定、Abuaf與Jorion(1990)之GLS檢定來檢測臺灣與其他各主要工業國家間之名目與實質匯率是否具單根。實證結果指出有充分的證據棄卻臺灣與各主要工業國家間之名目與實質匯率具單根的虛無假護。透過Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt與Shin(1992)之LM檢定,實證結果進一步顯示臺灣與各主要工業國家間之名目與實質匯率大致分別與趨勢恆定及恆定之虛無假設相一致,此亦指出臺灣與大多數工業國家間之長期購買力平價說成立。
     This paper applies Sims' (1988) Bayesian test, and Abuaf and Jorion's (1990) restricted GLS test to investigate the issue of unit roots among nominal and real exchange rates between Taiwan and major industrial countries. Empirical results point out that there is strong evidence to rejects the null hypothesis of unit roots among exchange rates. Recently, Kwiatkowski, Phillips, Schmidt and Shin [KPSS] (1992) propose a test of the null hypothesis that an observable series is stationary. Furthermore, the empirical result from KPSS test points that nominal and real exchange rates between Taiwan and major industrial countries are roughly consistent with the hypothesis of trend stationary and stationarity respectively. This implies that purchasing power parity holds in the long run between Taiwan and most industrial countries.
期刊論文
1.Abuaf, Niso、Jorion, Philippe(1990)。Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run。Journal of Finance,45,157-174。  new window
2.Adler, Michael、Lehmann, Bruce(1983)。Deviations from Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run。Journal of Finance,38(5),1471-1487。  new window
3.Corbae, Dean、Ouliaris, Sam(1988)。Cointegration and Tests of Purchasing Power Parity。Review of Economics and Statistics,70,508-511。  new window
4.DeJong, David N.、Whiteman, Charles H.(1991)。Reconsidering Trends and Random Walks In Macroeconomic Time Series。Journal of Monetary Economics,28,221-254。  new window
5.Dellas, Harris(1986)。A Real Model of the World Business Cycle。Journal of International Money and Finance,5,381-394。  new window
6.Driskill, Robert、McCafferty, Stephen(1987)。Exchange Rate Determination: An Equilibrium Approach with Imperfect Capital Substitutability。Journal of International Economics,23,241-261。  new window
7.Frenkel, Jacob(1981)。Flexible Exchange Rates, Prices and the Roles of News: Lessons from the 1970s。Journal of Political Economy,89,665-705。  new window
8.Hakkio, Craig S.(1986)。Does the Exchange Rate Follow a Random Walk? A Monte Carlo Study of Four Tests for a Random Walk。Journal of International Money and Finance,5,221-229。  new window
9.Huizinga, John(1987)。An Empirical Investigaion of the Long-run Behavior of Real Exchange Rates。Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy,27,149-214。  new window
10.Kim, Yoonbai(1990)。Purchasing Power Parity in the Long Run: A Cointegration Approach。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,22,491-503。  new window
11.Long, John、Plosser, Charles(1983)。Real Business Cycles。Journal of Political Economy,91,39-69。  new window
12.Mark, Nelson C.(1990)。Real and Nominal Exchange Rates in the Long Run: An Empirical Investigation。Journal of International Economics,28,115-136。  new window
13.Meese, Richard A.、Rogoff, Kenneth(1983)。Empirical Exchange Rate Model of the Seventies: Do They Fit Out of Sample?。Journal of International Economics,14,3-24。  new window
14.Meese, Rickard、Singleton, Kenneth(1982)。On Unit Roots and the Empirical Modeling of Exchange Rates。Journal of Finance,37,1029-1035。  new window
15.Nelson, Charles R.、Plosser, Charles I.(1982)。Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series: Some Evidence and Implications。Journal of Monetary Economics,10(2),139-162。  new window
16.Phillips, Peter C. B.(1987)。Time Series Regression with a Unit Root。Econometrica,55(2),277-301。  new window
17.Perron, Perrie(1988)。Trends and Random Walks in Macroeconomic Time Series: Further Evidence from a New Approach。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,12,297-332。  new window
18.Shiller, Robert J.、Pierre, Pierre(1985)。Testing the Random Walk Hypothesis: Powerversus Frequency of Observation。Economic Letters,18,381-386。  new window
19.Sims, Christopher A.(1988)。Bayesian Skepticism on Unit Root Econometrics。Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,12,463-474。  new window
20.Stockman, Alan C.(1987)。The Equilibrium Approach to Exchange Rates, Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond。Economic Review,73,12-30。  new window
21.Stulz, Rene(1987)。An Equilibrium Model of Exchange Rate Determination and Asset Pricing with Nontraded Goods and Imperfect Information。Journal of Political Economy,95,1024-1040。  new window
22.Whitt, Joseph A.(1992)。The Long-Run Behavior of the Real Exchange Rate: A Reconsideration。Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking,24,72-81。  new window
23.Whitt, Joseph A.(1992)。Nominal Exchange Rates and Unit Roots: A Reconsideration。M Journal of International Money and Finance,11,539-551。  new window
24.Dickey, David A.、Fuller, Wayne A.(1981)。Likelihood Ratio Statistics for Autoregressive Time Series with a Unit Root。Econometrica: journal of the Econometric Society,49(4),1057-1072。  new window
25.Dornbusch, Rudiger(1976)。Expectations and Exchange Rate Dynamics。Journal of Political Economy,84(6),1161-1176。  new window
26.Baillie, Richard T.、Bollerslev, Tim(1989)。Common Stochastic Trends in a System of Exchange Rates。The Journal of Finance,44(1),167-181。  new window
27.Dickey, David A.、Fuller, Wayne A.(1979)。Distribution of the Estimators for Autoregressive Time Series With a Unit Root。Journal of the American Statistical Association,74(366),427-431。  new window
28.Kwiatkowski, Denis、Phillips, Peter C. B.、Schmidt, Peter、Shin, Yongcheol(1992)。Testing the null hypothesis of stationarity against the alternative of a unit root: How sure are we that economic time series have a unit root?。Journal of Econometrics,54(1-3),159-178。  new window
29.Phillips, Peter C. B.、Perron, Pierre(1988)。Testing for a unit root in time series regression。Biometrika,75(2),335-346。  new window
30.Said, S. E.、Dickey, David A.(1984)。Testing for Unit Roots in Autoregressive-Moving Average Models of Unknown Order。Biometrika,71(3),599-607。  new window
圖書
1.Fuller, Wayne A.(1976)。Introduction to Statistical Time Series。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
2.Leamer, Edward E.(1978)。Specification Searches: Ad Hoc Inference with Nonexperimental Data。John Wiley & Sons。  new window
其他
1.Choi, I.,Phillips, Peter C. B.(1988)。Testing for Unit Root by Generalized Least Squares Methods in the Time and Frequency Domains,Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University。  new window
2.Wu, Chung-Shu,Lin, Jin-Lung(1992)。Money, Exchange Rate and Price: The Case of Taiwan,The Institute of Economics, Academia Sinica。  new window
圖書論文
1.Cumby, Robert E.、Obstfeld, Maurice(1984)。International Interest Rate and Price Level Linkages under Flexible Exchange Rates: A Review of Recent Evidence。Exchange Hate Theory and Practice。Chicago:University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Frankel, Jeffrey A.(1986)。International Capital Mobility and Crowding-out in the U. S. Economy: Imperfect Integration of Financial Markets or of Goods Markets?。How Open Is the U. S. Economy?。Lexington, Mass。  new window
3.Meese, Richard A.、Rogoff, Kenneth S.(1983)。The Out-of-Sample Failure of Empirical Exchange Rate Models: Sampling Error or Misspecification?。Exchange Rates and International Macroeconomics。NBER。  new window
4.Obstfeld, Maurice、Stockman, Alan C.(1985)。Exchange-Rate Dynamics。Handbook of International Economics?。North-Holland, Amsterdam。  new window
 
 
 
 
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