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題名:An Assessment of the Effect of Contraflow Bus Lane on Ridership
書刊名:運輸計劃
作者:張學孔陳信雄
作者(外文):Chang, Shyue KoongChen, Hsin-hsiung
出版日期:1997
卷期:26:3
頁次:頁577-591
主題關鍵詞:Time-series modelBefore and after analysisExclusive bus lane時間序列模型公車專用道
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:24
     Contraflow bus lanes have been implemented in Taipei City since February 1990. Related works have analyzed effects of this bus priority strategy. This paper presents new evidence of the impacts of the contraflow bus lanes on bus ridership. A time-series model is developed for this evaluation. The study focuses on one bus line, whose structure changed little when the contraflow bus lane was implemented. General information of the bus priority strategy is provided. Monthly ridership data were collected. Box-Jenkins modeling techniques are used to forecast the ridership that would have resulted if the contraflow lane is not implemented. Effects of the contraflow bus lane on ridership are identified by comparing the forecasted ridership with actual ridership. Results in this study show that ridership of the bus line assessed significanltly increased about 28.5 percent after the contraflow bus lane had implemented. Current trends of this significant effect are also explored.
期刊論文
1.Considine, J. J.、Narayan, J.(1988)。Assessment of the Impact of Changes in Transit Systems Using Intervention Analysis。Transportation Research,22(1),55-67。  new window
會議論文
1.Chang, S. K.、Lin, Y. S.、Chen, H. H.(1993)。Potential Benefit of Contraflow Bus Lane for Riders and Operators。The 72nd TRB Annual Meeting,(會議日期: 1993/01/10-01/14)。Washington, D. C.。  new window
2.Chang, S. K.(1992)。Contraflow Bus Lanes in Taipei。The 6th National Conference on High Occupancy Vehicle Systems,(會議日期: 1992/10/25-10/28)。Ottawa:Transportation Research Board。  new window
3.Chang, S. K.、Chen, H. H.(1993)。Effects of Contraflow Bus Lane on Ridership。63rd Annual Meeting, Institute of Transportation Engineers。The Hague。  new window
4.Ho, C. T.、Chang, S. K.(1996)。Taipei Exclusive Bus Network: Planning, Design, and Implementation。The 8th International HOV Conference,(會議日期: 1996/08/25-08/28)。Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania:Transportation Research Board。  new window
圖書
1.Anderson, T. W.(1972)。The Statistical Analysis of Time Series。John Wiley and Sons。  new window
2.Bowerman, B. L.、O'Connell, R. T.(1979)。Forecasting and Time Series: An Applied Approach。North Scituate, Massachusetts。  new window
3.Taipei Bus Management Center(1994)。Reports of Management Condition and Performance, January 1987-October 1994。  new window
4.Box, George E. P.、Jenkins, Gwilym M.(1970)。Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control。Holden-Day。  new window
 
 
 
 
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