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題名:城市更新目標預期的“負效應”解析
書刊名:城市規劃
作者:彭坤燾
出版日期:2018
卷期:2018(9)
頁次:62-69
主題關鍵詞:存量規劃考核指標不確定性公共選擇長效機制Stock-based planningAssessment indicatorsUncertaintyPublic choiceLong-term mechanism
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公共政策目標預期未能充分達成是值得深入探討的現象,當下的城市更新由于產權復雜、利益騰挪空間窄、制度不完善等有別于增量建設時期的顯著特征,存在一類尚未被系統認知和充分重視的"負效應",諸如:目標內在沖突或量化不當,付諸實踐被證偽,規則制定反復博弈,或未經推演與試點便頒布推行,實施成本攀升,執行阻力較大。這類現象肇因于成本與時間約束,目標與規則的合理程度、執行力度被框定,"不確定性"也不可能消除,致使目標預期在形式上或實質上落空。消除"負效應",仰賴于開放治理體系構建,顯性化真實成本,改善認知、判斷與行動能力,引導各方參與主體效用函數與社會效用函數保持一致,并完善有效糾錯機制,切實提升實施績效。
The failure to fully achieve the public policy goal is a phenomenon worthy of indepth discussion. Different from the incremental construction period, "negative effect" in the process of urban renewal due to complex property rights, less benefits, and imperfect institutions have not yet been valued and recognized, i.e., intrinsic conflicts or improper quantification of the target, failure in practice, repeated games in rule-making, or promulgation without deduction and pilot practice hence leading to the higher implementation cost and the greater execution resistance. Such phenomena are caused by cost and time constraints, the rationality of goals and rules, the promotion efforts of implementation, together with the restrained executable power and the insurmountable "uncertainty," resulting in the goal expectation to be disappointed formally or substantially. To eliminatethe "negative effect," it depends on the construction of an open governance system, explicit real cost, improved cognition, judgment, and action ability, as well as guiding all parties utility function consistent with the social utility function, and improving the error correction mechanism, thereby improve implementation performance.
 
 
 
 
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