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題名:貿易與衝突:國家大小對國際互動的影響
書刊名:遠景基金會季刊
作者:張原卿
作者(外文):Chang, Yuan-ching
出版日期:2004
卷期:5:2
頁次:頁29-67
主題關鍵詞:衝突合作貿易國家大小國際互動ConflictCooperationTradeCountry sizeInternational interactions
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     貿易衝突模型主張本國不會存心引發衝突來對抗貿易夥伴目標國,係因懼怕失去兩國之間的貿易利得。本文延伸貿易衝突模型,檢視國家大小如何影響國家間之貿易利得。導出三個關於貿易、衝突及國家大小的國際互動命題。這些命題均顯示一個國家與大國的貿易條件改善,會比與小國的貿易條件改善,減少更多的衝突。經由「衝突與和平資料庫」30國樣本作實證檢定,分析結果支持此項命題結論。模型顯示一個國家可以影響貿易夥伴的國內消費,是決定國家間國際互動的一個重要因素。
     The trade-conflict model claims that one state, designated "actor", is deterred from initiating conflict against a trading partner, designated "target", for fear of losing the welfare gains associated with trade. This paper extends the trade-conflict model to examine the effect of country size that will influence the trade gains among countries. We derive three propositions regarding to international interactions that pertain to the links between trade, conflict and country size. These hypotheses all imply that a country with an improvement in its terms of trade with a large country will decrease conflict more toward the large country than with an improvement in its terms of trade wit ha small country. A 30-country sample from the Conflict and Peace Data Bank (COPDAB) is used for empirical tests. The empirical analyses support the derived hypotheses. The model predicts that a country'sability to influence domestic consumption in a trading partner is an important determinant of international interactions.
期刊論文
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22.Mitchell, Sara McLaughlin、Prins, Brandon C.(1999)。Beyond Territorial Contiguity: Issues at Stake in Democratic Militarized Interstate Disputes。International Studies Quarterly,43(1),169-183。  new window
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24.Maoz, Zeev、Russett, Bruce(1993)。Normative and Structural Causes of Democratic Peace, 1946-1986。The American Political Science Review,87(3),624-638。  new window
25.Anderton, C.、Carter, J.(2001)。The Impact of War on Trade: An Interrupted Times-Series Study。Journal of Peace Research,38(4),445-457。  new window
26.Dorussen, H.(1999)。Balance of Power Revisited: A Multi-Country Model of Trade and Conflict。Journal of Peace Research,36(4),443-462。  new window
27.Polachek, S. W.(1978)。Dyadic Dispute。Papers of the Peace Science Society,28(1),67-80。  new window
28.Polachek, Solomon W.、Robst, John、張原卿(1999)。Liberalism and Interdependence: Extending the Trade-Conflict Model。Journal of Peace Research,36(4),405-422。  new window
29.Dorussen, H.(2002)。Trade and Conflict in Multi-Country Models: A Rejoinder。Journal of Peace Research,39(1),115-118。  new window
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33.James, P.、Solberg, E.、Wolfson, M.(1999)。An Identified Systemic Model of the Democracy-Peace Nexus。Defence and Peace Economics,10(1),1-37。  new window
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35.Oneal, J. R.、Oneal, F. H.、Maoz, Z.、Russett, B.(1996)。The Liberal Peace: Interdependence, Democracy, and International Conflict, 1950-1986。Journal of Peace Research,33(1),11-28。  new window
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37.Sherman, R.(2001)。Democracy and Trade Conflict。International Interactions,27(1),1-28。  new window
圖書
1.Russett, Bruce、Oneal, John R.(2001)。Triangulation Peace: Democracy; Interdependence, and International Organizations。New York:W.W. Norton & Company。  new window
2.De Wilde, J.(1991)。Saved from Oblivion: Interdependence Theory in the First Half of the 20th Century, A Study of the Causality Between War and Complex Interdependence。Aldershot, UK:Dartmouth。  new window
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14.(1992)。Economics of Armies Reduction and the Peace Process。Economics of Armies Reduction and the Peace Process。New York, NY。  new window
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圖書論文
1.Banks, A.(1973)。SUNY-Binghamton Cross-National Time-Series Data。Center for Comparative Political Research。Binghamton:Center for Comparative Political Research, State University of New York at Binghamton。  new window
 
 
 
 
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