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題名：民眾使用自行車非致死肇事風險估計模式之建立與影響因子之研究
書刊名：運輸學刊
作者：葉純志
作者(外文)：Yeh, Chun-chih
出版日期：2008
卷期：20:1
頁次：頁71-90
主題關鍵詞：自行車安全；肇事風險；負二項式迴歸模式；Bicycle safety；Accident risk；Negative binomial regression model
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:62
本研究旨在建構使用自行車之非致死肇事風險模式，並探討影響非致死肇事發生之相關因子。以衛生署國民健康局透過電話調查取得的民眾使用自行車之肇事資料，應用負二項式迴歸模式建立自行車使用者發生非致死肇事事件頻次與相關影響因子之關係模式，以分析相關影響因子。模式校估結果顯示年輕族群、國小以下以及使用時間較長者是最容易涉入自行車非致死肇事事件。在大量汽、機車混合之交通環境中使用自行車者亦具有較高之涉入肇事機會。其他包括性別、主要使用目的、是否居住在都市區域、戴安全帽之頻次、檢查車輛頻次以及有無裝設安全裝備等因子與涉入非致死肇事風險之間並無顯著相關。最後，並提出自行車肇事防制對策，以供各界參考。
The study was undertaken to formulate a bicycle-related non-fatal accident risk model and explore the factors affecting the occurrence of bicycle-related accidents in Taiwan. The bicycle-related non-fatal accident data were collected by a telephone survey conducted by the Bureau of Health Promotion in 2004. Negative Binomial regression techniques were employed to build and estimate the model relating the non-fatal accident frequency to the relevant factors. The results indicated that those cyclists who are younger, with lower education level, and ridding longer travel time, experienced higher non-fatal accident risk. In addition, the heavier mix of vehicles and motorcycles in the traffic environment, the higher accident risk for the cyclists. The other variables, such as their gender, main purpose of riding a bike, the residency, frequency of wearing the bicycle helmet, frequency of bicycle-checking before riding, and whether or not the bicycle armed with any safety equipment were found to have no significant effects on the accident occurrence. Finally, bicycle accident prevention policy recommendations are made.
期刊論文
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11.Moses, L. N.、Savage, I.(1994)。The Effect of Company Characteristics on Truck Accidents。Accident Analysis and Prevention，26(2)，173-179。  new window
12.Rodgers, G. B.(1995)。Bicyclist Deaths and Fatality Risk Patterns。Accident Analysis and Prevention，27(2)，215-223。  new window
13.Carlin, J. B.、Taylor, P.、Nolan, T.(1995)。A Case-control Study of Child Bicycle Injuries: Relationship of Risk to Exposure。Accident Analysis and Prevention，27(6)，839-844。  new window
14.Li, G. H.、Baker, S. P.(1996)。Exploring the Male-female Discrepancy in Death Rates from Bicycling Injury: The Decomposition Method。Accident Analysis and Prevention，28(4)，537-540。  new window
15.Rodgers, G. B.(1997)。Factors Associated with the Crash Risk of Adult Bicyclists。Accident Analysis and Prevention，28(4)，233-241。  new window
16.Robinson, D. L.(1996)。Head Injuries and Bicycle Helmet Laws。Accident Analysis and Prevention，28(4)，463-475。  new window
17.Scuffham, P. A.、Langley, J. D.(1997)。Trends in Cycle Injury in New Zealand under Voluntary Helmet Use。Accident Analysis and Prevention，29(1)，1-9。  new window
18.Eilert-Petersson, E.、Schelp, L.(1997)。An Epidemiological Study of Bicycle-related Injuries。Accident Analysis and Prevention，29(3)，363-372。  new window
19.Ekman, R.、Schelp, L.、Welander, G.、Svanström, L.(1997)。Can a Combination of Local, Regional and National Information Substantially Increase Bicycle-helmet Wearing and Reduce Injuries? Experience from Sweden。Accident Analysis and Prevention，29(3)，321-328。  new window
20.Aultman-Hall, L.、Hall, F. L.(1998)。Ottawa-carleton Commuter Cyclist on and off-road Incident Rates。Accident Analysis and Prevention，30(1)，29-43。  new window
21.Murray, Åsa(1998)。The Home and School Background of Young Drivers Involved in Traffic Accidents。Accident Analysis and Prevention，30(2)，169-182。  new window
22.Kopjar, B.、Wickizer, T. M.(2000)。Age Gradient in the Cost-effectiveness of Bicycle Helmets。Preventive Medicine，30(5)，401-406。  new window
23.Welander, G.、Ekman, R.、Svanström, L.、Schelp, L.、Karlsson, A.(1999)。Bicycle Injuries in Western Sweden: A Comparison between Counties。Accident Analysis and Prevention，31(1)，13-19。  new window
24.Rodgers, G. B.(2000)。Bicycle and Bicycle Helmet Use Patterns in the United States in 1998。Journal of Safety Research，31(3)，149-158。  new window
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27.Scuffham, P. A.、Alsop, J.、Cryer, C.、Langley, J. D.(2000)。Head Injuries to Bicyclists and the New Zealand Bicycle Helmet Law。Accident Analysis and Prevention，32(4)，565-573。  new window
28.Attewell, R. G.、Glase, K.、McFadden, M.(2001)。Bicycle Helmet Efficacy: A Meta-analysis。Accident Analysis and Prevention，33(3)，345-352。  new window
29.Li, G. H.、Shahpar, C.、Grabowski, J. G.、Baker, S. P.(2001)。Secular Trends of Motor Vehicle Mortality in the United States, 1910-1994。Accident Analysis and Prevention，33(3)，423-432。  new window
30.Shope, J. T.、Waller, P. F.、Raghunathan, T. E.、Sujata, M. P.(2001)。Adolescent Antecedents of High-risk Driving Behavior into Young Adulthood: Substance Use and Parental Influences。Accident Analysis and Prevention，33(5)，649-658。  new window
31.Valent, F.、Schiava, F.、Savonitto, C.、Gallo, T.、Brusaferro, S.、Barbone, F.(2002)。Risk Factors for Fatal Road Traffic Accidents in Udine, Italy。Accident Analysis and Prevention，34(1)，71-84。  new window
32.Rosenkranz, Kari M.、Sheridan, Robert L.(2003)。Trauma to Adult Bicyclists: A Growing Problem in the Urban Environment。Injury: International Journal of the Care of the Injured，34(11)，825-829。  new window
33.Curnow, W. J.(2003)。The Efficacy of Bicycle Helmets against Brain Injury。Accident Analysis and Prevention，35(2)，287-292。  new window
34.Stone, M.、Broughton, J.(2003)。Getting off Your Bike: Cycling Accidents in Great Britain in 1990-1999。Accident Analysis and Prevention，35(4)，549-556。  new window
35.Tsai, M. C.、Su, C. C.(2004)。Scenario Analysis of Freight Vehicle Accident Risks in Taiwan。Accident Analysis and Prevention，36(4)，683-690。  new window
36.Chang, H. L.、Yeh, C. C.(2004)。The Life Cycle of the Policy for Preventing Road Accidents: An Empirical Example of the Policy for Reducing Drunk Driving Crashes in Taipei。Accident Analysis and Prevention，36(5)，809-818。  new window
37.Lee, B. H. Y.、Schofer, J. L.、Koppelman, F. S.(2005)。Bicycle Safety Helmet Legislation and Bicycle-related Non-fatal Injuries in California。Accident Analysis and Prevention，37(1)，93-102。  new window
38.Carlin, J. B.、Taylor, P.、Nolan, T.(1998)。School Based Bicycle Safety Education and Bicycle Injuries in Children: A Case-control Study。Injury Prevention，4(1)，22-27。  new window
39.Linn, S.、Smith, D.、Sheps, S.(1998)。Epidemiology of Bicycle Injury, Head Injury, and Helmet Use among Children in British Columbia: A Five year Descriptive Study。Injury Prevention，4(2)，122-125。  new window
40.林豐福、張開國、喻世祥(2004)。腳踏車肇事特性分析及因應措施。交通學報，4(2)，49-72。new window  延伸查詢new window
41.Ortega, H. W.、Shields, B. J.、Smith, G. A.(2004)。Bicycle-related Injuries to Children and Parental Attitudes Regarding Bicycle Safety。Clinical Pediatrics，43(3)，251-259。  new window
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43.Rodgers, G. B.(2002)。Effects of State Helmet Laws on Bicycle Helmet Use by Children and Adolescents。Injury Prevention，8(1)，42-46。  new window
44.Zentner, J.、Franken, H.、Lobbecke, G.(1996)。Head Injuries from Bicycle Accidents。Clinical Neurology and Neurosurgery，98(4)，281-285。  new window
研究報告
1.衛生署國民健康局(2004)。民眾對自行車安全認知看法之研究。0。  延伸查詢new window
2.盧成皆(1998)。國中生自行車傷害－流行病學及醫療經濟研究。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
3.邱弘毅(2005)。自行車事故傷害之探討與防制對策。0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Agresti, A.(1996)。An introduction to categorical data analysis。John Wiley & Sons Inc.。  new window
其他
1.National Highway Traffic Safety Administration(2005)。Traffic Safety Facts 2004，0。  new window
2.內政部警政署(2004)。93年交通道路事故分析，0。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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