:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:美、中政府與市場在人民幣匯率改革中的角色:2003-2005
書刊名:中國大陸研究
作者:趙文志 引用關係
作者(外文):Chao, Wen-chih
出版日期:2008
卷期:51:4
頁次:頁51-88
主題關鍵詞:人民幣國際政治因素中國政府美國政府RMBInternational politicsChinese governmentU.S. government
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(2) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:11
  • 點閱點閱:28
本文是以人民幣匯率作為研究個案,探討人民幣匯率與匯率體制是否受 到國際政治壓力?其次是國際政治如何對人民幣施壓?第三是中國政府與決 策者如何反應?第四是市場如何反應與考量國際壓力對匯率的影響。 研究結果顯示中國人民幣的發展,一開始中國政府主要思考因素是建基 於國內經濟如何發展與改革之上,匯率水平的訂定是根據中國國內需求與國 內政治目的而決定。隨著中國逐漸融入國際貿易體系,不斷累積對外國貿易 順差(最大來源主要是美國),引起外國的不滿而施壓。中國基於國內經濟 發展與政治穩定的考量始終不同意國際社會的要求。但面對貿易失衡狀況愈 加嚴重,以美國為首的國際壓力不斷加大施壓力道,中國最後還是改變匯率 體制為管理是浮動匯率制度並調升人民幣匯率水平2.1%。藉此來滿足國際 社會的要求,卻又不至於對中國經濟產生過大的衝擊。因此,這顯示國際政 治因素在人民幣的案例上,對其匯率體制與名目匯率產生影響,促使中國放 棄實施多年的匯率體制。
This article examines relations between international politics and validity of exchange in the case of Chinese currency, RMB, and attempts to answer the following questions. First of all, is the exchange rate of RMB and its regime affected by international politics? Secondly, how does the international politics affect the exchange rate and regime of Chinese currency? Third, how should the market behavior respond to interactions between the international political actor and Chinese government? Lastly, how does Chinese government respond to the pressure from the international community and market? The author argues that the exchange rate and regime of RMB is affected by the pressure of international politics, especially from U.S. government. Chinese government principally made strategies and decisions with an aim to maintain sustained growth of Chinese economy. At first, Chinese government refused to reform the exchange rate and regime of RMB. Yet, owing to the growing trade surplus with foreign countries, particularly from U.S., Chinese government faces challenging pressure. It is difficult for Chinese government to sustain de facto pegged exchange rate regime and to integrate the strategy into international trade system as a result. Accordingly, on July 21, 2005, the Chinese government eventually announced to change the exchange rate system from dollar peg system to a managed floating exchange rate regime. This indicates that international politics has tremendous influence on the exchange rate and regime of RMB, urging Chinese government to abandon
期刊論文
1.Lobo, Bento J.、Tufte, David(1998)。Exchange Rate Volatility: Does Politics Matter?。Journal of Macroeconomics,20(2),351-365。  new window
2.Obstfeld, Maurice(1996)。Models of Currency Crises with Self-Fulfilling Features。European Economic Review,40(3-5),1037-1047。  new window
3.童振源(20070300)。The Renminbi Exchange Rate in the Increasingly Open Economy of China: A Long-Term Strategy and a Short-Term Solution。Issues & Studies,43(1),79-114。new window  new window
4.陳雨露、王芳、楊明(2005)。作為國家競爭戰略的貨幣國際化:美元的經驗證據--兼論人民幣的國際化問題。經濟研究,2005(2),35-44。  延伸查詢new window
5.童振源(20051100)。人民幣匯率之國際政治經濟分析。問題與研究,44(6),133-155。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Chang, Gene Hsin、Shao, Qin(2004)。How Much Is The Chinese Currency Undervalued? A Quantitative Estimation。China Economic Review,15,366-371。  new window
7.Chu, Ted H.(2005)。The Chinese RMB: Its Value, Its Peg, and Its Future。Business Economics,40(2),7-17。  new window
8.劉江永(2003)。國際政治與匯率變動。世界经济与政治,10,33-37。  延伸查詢new window
9.Deutsche Bank(2003)。Asia: Economic Analysis。Emerging Market Monthly。  new window
10.曹鳳岐(2005)。人民幣匯率形成機制研究。金融研究,1,43-51。  延伸查詢new window
11.郭樹清(2005)。中國宏觀經濟分析基礎。金融研究,1,8-23。  延伸查詢new window
12.張斌、何帆(2005)。如何調整人民幣匯率政策:目標、方案和時機。国际经济评论,17-22。  延伸查詢new window
13.劉建江、徐長生(2005)。本幣對外升值引發通貨緊縮的機制-從日圓升值經驗看人民幣升值的可能影響。當代經濟研究,1,39-44。  延伸查詢new window
14.黃薇(2005)。人民幣匯率制度:現狀、近期選擇與改革操作。當代經濟科學,27(3),9-13。  延伸查詢new window
15.Whitman, Marina V. N.(1975)。Global Monetarism and the Monetary Approach to the Balance of Payment。Brookings Paper on Economic Activity,3,491-555。  new window
16.Bachman, Daniel(1992)。The Effect of Political Risk on the Forward Exchange Bias: The Case of Elections。Journal of International Money and Finance,11(2),208-219。  new window
17.雷達、于春海(2004)。開放過程中的貨幣政策目標和匯率制度選擇。经济理论与经济管理,12,20-25。  延伸查詢new window
18.Shimpalee, L. Pattama、Breuer, Janice Boucher(2006)。Currency Crises and Institutions。Journal of International Money and Finance,25,125-145。  new window
19.Taylor, Mark P.(1995)。The Economics of Exchange Rate。Journal of Economic Literature,33,13-47。  new window
20.Keidel, Albert(200506)。China's Currency: Not the Problem。Carnegie Endowment Policy Brief,39,1-8。  new window
21.Blomberg, S. B.、Hess, G.(1997)。Politics and Exchange Rate Forecasts。Journal of International Economics,43,189-205。  new window
22.Leblang, David(2002)。The Political Economy of Speculative Attacks in the Developing World。International Studies Quarterly,46,69-91。  new window
23.Krugman, Paul R.(1979)。A Theory of Balance of Payments Crises。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,11(3),311-325。  new window
24.Arbetman, Marina(1995)。The Impact of Politics on Exchange Rate Fluctuations: The Untold Story。International Interactions,21(2),127-153。  new window
25.Meon, Pierre-Guillaume(2001)。A Model of Exchange Rate Crises with Partisan Governments。Journal of Macroeconomics,23(4),517-535。  new window
26.Calvo, Guillermo A.、Mendoza, Enrique G.(199611)。Mexico's Balance-of-payments Crisis: A Chronicle of a Death Foretold。Journal of International Economics,41(3/4),235-264。  new window
27.Bernhard, William、Leblang, Davis(2002)。Domestic Process, Political Risk and Foreign Exchange Markets。American Journal of Political Science,46(2),316-333。  new window
28.Leblang, David、Bernhard, William(2000)。The Politics of Speculative Attacks in Industrial Democracies。International Organization,54(2),291-324。  new window
29.Leblang, David(2006)。Institutions, Expectations, and Currency Crises。International Organization,60(1),245-262。  new window
30.Obstfeld, Maurice(1986)。Rational and Self-fulfilling Balance-of-payments Crises。American Economic Review,76(1),72-81。  new window
31.張志柏(2005)。以相對購買力評價估值人民幣匯率。国际金融研究,52-56。  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.Goldstein, Morris(2005)。Renminbi Controversies。0。  new window
2.Frankel, Jeffrey(2004)。On the Renminbi: The Choice between Adjustment under a Fixed Exchange Rate and Adjustment under a Flexible Rate。0。  new window
研究報告
1.Block, Steven A.(2002)。Political Conditions and Currency Crises: Empirical Regularities in Emerging Markets。  new window
2.Sachs, Aaron、Jeffrey, Tornell、Velasco, Andres。The Collapse of the Mexican Peso: What Have We Learned。0。  new window
3.Prasad, Eswar、Rumbaugh, Thomas、Wang, Qing(2005)。Putting the Cart before the Horse? Capital Account Liberalization and Exchange Rate Flexibility in China。0。  new window
4.Dunaway, Steven、Li, Xiangming(2005)。Estimating China's 'Equilibrium' Real Exchange Rate。0。  new window
圖書
1.Copeland, Laurence S.(2005)。Exchange Rates and International Finance。Harlow:Pearson Education Limited。  new window
2.Bergsten, C. Fred、Gill, Bates、Lardy, Nicholas R.、Mitchell, Derek(2006)。China: The Balance Sheet。New York, NY:The Center For Strategic and International Studies。  new window
3.中國人民銀行。貨幣政策執行報告(2001-2004年)。貨幣政策執行報告(2001-2004年)。北京。  延伸查詢new window
4.Krugman, Paul R.、Obstfeld, Maurice(2006)。International Economy: Theory and Policy。International Economy: Theory and Policy。Boston, MA。  new window
5.Leblang, David A.(2002)。Political Uncertainty and Speculative Attacks。Coping with Globalization: Cross-national Patterns in Domestic Governance and Policy Performance。London, UK。  new window
6.Frieden, Jeffry A.(1997)。The Politics of Exchange Rates。Mexico 1994: The Anatomy of an Emerging-market Crash。Washington, DC。  new window
7.Calvo, Guillermo A.(2000)。Balance-of-payments Crises in Emerging Market: Large Capital Inflows and Sovereign Government。Currency Crises。Chicago, IL/ London, UK。  new window
8.Frenkel, Jacob A.、Johnson, Harry G.(1976)。The Money Approach to the Balance of Payment。Toronto:University of Toronto Press。  new window
9.王勇(2007)。中美經貿關係。中美經貿關係。北京。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.中國工商銀行(2007)。外匯期權之策略篇:與銀行細算隔夜換匯點數,0。  延伸查詢new window
2.Algemene Bank Nederl and Amsterdam and Rotterdam Bank。What If the RMB Appreciates,0。  new window
3.Phil English(2003)。H. R. 3058: Currency Harmonization Initiative through Neutralizing Action Act of 2003 (Introduced in House),The House of Representatives of The United States。  new window
4.World Bank。China Quick Facts,0。  new window
5.U. S. Census Bureau。Trade in Goods (Imports, Exports and Trade Balance) with China,0。  new window
6.U. S. Census Bureau。U.S. Total Trade Balance in Goods and Services, January 1994 to October 2008,0。  new window
7.National Association of Manufactures(2003)。NAM Welcomes Senate Letter to Treasury Demanding Action on Chinese Currency Undervaluation,0。  new window
8.Algemene Bank Nederl and Amsterdam and Rotterdam Bank(2003)。Gradual RMB Appreciation Not Feasible,0。  new window
9.U. S. Department of Commerce(2008)。Fact Sheet: The People's Republic of China's Request for Review of Non-market EconomyStatus,0。  new window
10.Algemene Bank Nederl and Amsterdam and Rotterdam Bank(2003)。RMB - The Bet is on the Timing,0。  new window
11.Algemene Bank Nederl and Amsterdam and Rotterdam Bank(2005)。Screening off the Noise from Renminbi,0。  new window
12.Jen, Stephen L.(2003)。A Stable RMB: Why Rock the Boat in a Storm,0。  new window
13.Cooper, Richard N.(2005)。Living with Global Imbalance: A Contrarian View。  new window
14.Congressional China Currency Action Coalition(2006)。Before the Office of the United States Trade Representive,0。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top