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題名：國際貨幣權力理論的應用：中國匯率政策改變的原因分析
書刊名：問題與研究
作者：趙文志 引用關係
作者(外文)：Chao, Wen-chih
出版日期：2011
卷期：50:2
頁次：頁143-167
主題關鍵詞：中國；美國；人民幣；國際貨幣權力；China；United States；RMB；International monetary power
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:12
  • 點閱點閱:49
雖然中國政府重申不會在國際壓力下改革人民幣匯率，但其終究在2005年7月21日改革人民幣匯率體制與水平，本文透過貨幣權力關係理論的途徑探討為什麼中國會改變人民幣匯率政策。本文論證了美國是國際貨幣權力關係中的強國，在貨幣權力理論中延遲的權力與轉移的權力上，確認了美國的貨幣權力高於中國，讓美國得以在此一國際貨幣權力關係中向中國施壓，使得中國在人民幣匯率政策上無法說不，而必須改變人民幣實施多年的固定匯率體制。但由於中國並非美國傳統上的盟邦且在軍事、安全面向上並不依賴美國，加上美國貨幣權力並非無限，隨著美國經常帳赤字的擴大，讓中國的改革得以在主觀意願與客觀環境壓力下，以漸進的方式讓人民幣升值。
Although the Chinese government has reiterated that the reform of Renminbi（RMB）exchange rate would not be influenced by international political pressure, it adjusted the exchange rate regime and level on July 21, 2005. The main purpose of the paper is trying to analyze why the Chinese government changed the exchange rate policy through international monetary power theory. The paper proved that the U.S. is a stronger power than China in the dimension of international liquidity, owned reserves, borrowing capacity, degree of openness and adaptability in monetary power relations. It is the reason for the U.S. to successfully pressurize the Chinese government to adjust the exchange rate policy. Although not traditional allies, increasing deficit in current account and independent of the military and security of the U.S., Chinese government appreciated RMB exchange rate and reformed its foreign exchange rate policy gradually.
期刊論文
1.Kaelberer, Matthias(200510)。Structural Power and the Politics of International Monetary Relations。The Journal of Social, Political, and Economics Studies，30(3)，333-359。  new window
2.Strange, Susan(1988)。The Future of the American Empire。Journal of International Affairs，42(1)，1-17。  new window
3.Strange, Susan(1987)。The Persistent Myth of Lost Hegemony。International Organization，41(4)，551-574。  new window
4.Frieden, Jeffry A.(1991)。Invested Interests: The Politics of National Economic Policies in a World of Global Finance。International Organization，45(4)，425-451。  new window
5.趙文志(20081200)。美、中政府與市場在人民幣匯率改革中的角色：2003-2005。中國大陸研究，51(4)，51-88。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Helleiner, Eric(2008)。Political Determinants of International Currencies: What Future for the US Dollar?。Review of International Political Economy，15(3)，354-378。  new window
7.Andrews, David M.(1994)。Capital Mobility and State Autonomy: Towards a Structural Theory of International Monetary Relations。International Studies Quarterly，38(2)，193-218。  new window
8.Broz, Lawrence、Frieden, Jeffry(2001)。The Political Economy of International Monetary Relations。Annual Review of Political Science，4，317-343。  new window
9.McKinnon, Ronald I.(1963)。Optimum Currency Areas。American Economic Review，53(4)，717-725。  new window
10.Mundell, Robert A.(1961)。A theory of optimum currency areas。American Economic Review，51(4)，657-665。  new window
11.童振源(20051100)。人民幣匯率之國際政治經濟分析。問題與研究，44(6)，133-155。new window  延伸查詢new window
12.Bernhard, William、Leblang, David(1999)。Democratic Institutions and Exchange-Rate Commitments。International Organization，53(1)，71-97。  new window
13.Bowles, Paul、Wang, Baotai(2008)。The Rocky Road Ahead: China, the US and the Future of the Dollar。Review of International Political Economy，15(3)，335-353。  new window
14.Cha, Victor(2007)。Winning Asia: Washington’s Untold Success Story。Foreign Affairs，86(6)，98-113。  new window
15.Clark, William Roberts、Hallerberg, Mark(2000)。Mobile Capitial, Domestic Institutions and Electorally Induced Monetary and Fiscal Policy。American Political Science Review，94(2)，323-346。  new window
16.Cohen, Benjamin J.(2005)。The Macrofoundation of Monetary Power。EUI Working Papers，3，1-16。  new window
17.Dorn, James A.(2006)。U.S.-China Relations: The Case for Economic Liberalism。Cato Journal，26(3)，425-443。  new window
18.Simon, Herbert A.(1953)。Notes on the Observation and Measurement of Political Power。Journal of Politics，15(4)，500-516。  new window
19.Strange, Susan(1990)。Finance, Information and Power。Review of International Studies，16(3)，259-274。  new window
20.Willett, Thomas D.(2006)。Optimum Currency Area and Political Economic Approaches to Exchange Rate Regimes: Toward an Analytical Synthesis。Current Politics and Economics of Europe，17(1)，25-52。  new window
21.Henning, C. Randall(1998)。Systemic Conflict and Regional Monetary Integration: The Case of Europe。International Organization，52(3)，537-573。  new window
22.Helleiner, Eric(2005)。Structural Power in International Monetary Relations。EUI Working Papers, Rscas No. 2005/10，3，1-15。  new window
23.Kirshner, Jonathan(2008)。Dollar Primacy and American Power: What’s at Stake?。Review of International Political Economy，15(3)，418-438。  new window
學位論文
1.趙文志(2008)。國際政治因素對於匯率體制與政策的影響：以人民幣匯率為例(博士論文)。國立政治大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Strange, Susan(1998)。Mad Money。Ann Arbor：University of Michigan Press。  new window
2.Strange, Susan(1986)。Casino Capitalism。Oxford：Basil Blackwell。  new window
3.Hanning, C. R.、Henning, C. R.(1994)。Currencies and Politics in the United States, Germany, and Japan。Washington, D.C.：Institute for International Economics。  new window
4.McAdams, D.、Josselson, R.、Lieblich, A.(2006)。Introduction。Washington, DC：American Psychological Association.。  new window
5.Pauly, Louis W.(1997)。Who Elected the Bankers? Surveillance and Control in the World Economy。Ithaca, NY：Cornell University Press。  new window
6.Baldwin, David A.(1993)。Neorealism and Neoliberalism:the Contemporary Debate。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
7.Strange, Susan(1988)。States and Markets: An Introduction to the International Political Economy。London：Pinter Press。  new window
8.Nagel, J. H.(1975)。The Descriptive Analysis of Power。New Haven, CT：Yale University Press。  new window
9.Simon, Herbert A.(1957)。Models of man: social and rational, mathematical essays on rational human behavior in society setting。New York, NY：John Wiley & Sons。  new window
10.Baldwin, David Allen(1985)。Economic Statecraft。Princeton University Press。  new window
11.Cohen, Benjamin J.(1971)。The Future of Sterling as an International Currency。London：Macmillan。  new window
12.Strange, Susan(1971)。Sterling and British Policy: A Political Study of an International Currency in Decline。Oxford University Press。  new window
13.Cohen, Benjamin J.(1998)。The Geography of Money。Cornell University Press。  new window
14.Lasswell, Harold D.、Kaplan, Abraham(1950)。Power and Society: A Framework for Political Inquiry。Yale University Press。  new window
15.Knorr, Klaus(1975)。The Power of Nations: The Political Economy of International Relations。New York：Basic Books。  new window
16.Cohen, Benjamin(1977)。Organizing the World's Money: The Political Economy of International Monetary Relations。New York：Basic Press。  new window
17.Deutsch, Karl Wolfgang(1978)。The Analysis of International Relations。Prentice-Hall, Inc.。  new window
18.Andrews, David M.(2006)。Chapter One: Monetary Power and Monetary Statecraft。International Monetary Power。New York。  new window
19.Cohen, Benjamin J.(2009)。Toward A Leaderless Currency System。The Future of the Dollar。New York。  new window
20.Kenen, Peter B.(1969)。The Theory of Optimu, Currency Areas: An Eclectic View。Monetary Problems of the International Economy。Chicago。  new window
21.Oatley, Thomas H.(1997)。Monetary Politics: Exchange Rate Cooperation in the European Union。Ann Arbor。  new window
22.Shambaugh, George(1999)。States, Firms, and Power: Successful Sanctions in United States Foreign Policy。Albany。  new window
23.Strange, Susan, “Still an Extraordinary Power: America’s Role in a Global Monetary System,” in R. Lombra and W. Witte,ed., The Political Economy of Domestic and International Monetary PolicyAmes, Iowa: Iowa State University,(1982)。Still an Extraordinary Power: America’s Role in a Global Monetary System。The Political Economy of Domestic and International Monetary Policy。Ames, Iowa。  new window
24.Cohen, Benjamin J.(2006)。Macrofoundations of Monetary Power。International Monetary Power。New York。  new window
25.Kirshner, Jonathan(1995)。Currency Coercion: The Political Economy of International Monetary Power。Princeton。  new window
26.Dhal, Robert A.(1970)。Modern PoliticalAanalysis。Englewood Cliffs, New Jersey。  new window
27.Helleiner, Eric(2003)。The Making of National Money: Territorial Currencies in Historical Perspective。Cornell University Press。  new window
28.Henning, C. Randall(2006)。The Exchange-Rate Weapon and Macroeconomic Conflict。International Monetary Power。New York。  new window
29.Kenen, Peter B.(2002)。Currency Unions and Policy Domain。Governing the World Money。Ithaca。  new window
30.Walter, Andrew(2006)。Domestic Sources of International Monetary Leadership。International Monetary Power。Ithaca ; London。  new window
31.Walter, Andrew(1991)。World Power and World Money: The Role of Hegemony and International Money Order。New York ; London。  new window
其他
1.(2003)。溫家寶：人民幣穩定有利於世界經濟金融穩定，http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2003-08/05/content_1011625.htm， 20080105。  延伸查詢new window
2.(2004)。溫家寶：經濟發展處重要關口 宏觀調控至關重要，http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2004-02/10/content_1308001.htm， 20080105。  延伸查詢new window
3.(2001)。戴相龍行長在第六屆世界華商大會的講話，http://www.pbc.gov.cn/detail.asp?col=4200&ID=111， 20080105。  延伸查詢new window
4.(2002)。戴相龍行長在經濟全球化與銀行業未來國際金融高層研討會演講，http://www.pbc.gov.cn/detail.asp?col=4200&ID=98， 20080105。  延伸查詢new window
5.王旭(2003)。匯率政策別國無權干涉。  延伸查詢new window
6.林則宏(2003)。人行行長周小川：押賭人民幣升值，投機客必輸無疑。  延伸查詢new window
7.(2005)。溫家寶：人民幣匯率基本穩定有利國際金融穩定，http://news.xinhuanet.com/newscenter/2005-06/26/content_3136894.htm， 20080105。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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