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題名:勞工保險老年給付的投資報酬探討
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:羅紀琼 引用關係
作者(外文):Lo, Joan C.
出版日期:2013
卷期:44:1
頁次:頁1-25
主題關鍵詞:勞工保險老年給付投資報酬Labor insuranceOld-age benefitsContribution's value
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 共同引用共同引用:4
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勞工保險潛藏債務高達新臺幣7.3兆元,開源節流勢不可免。本研究利用勞工保險被保險人異動檔及老年給付檔為分析基礎,探討被保險人老年給付的投資報酬-保險給付與保險費現值比。綜合而言,以自付保險費計算,舊制一次給付是繳1元領3.7元,新制年金給付是繳1元領8.3元至9.6元(視未來的折現率而定);而以總保險費計算,分別是繳1元領2.3元及繳1元領5.3元至6.1元;投資報酬相對偏高。行政院2013年元月的改革方案中以更長期間的平均月投保薪資做為給付計算基礎,並搭配投保薪資在3萬元以上部分調降給付率至1.3%的做法,每年僅可節省給付約2%。
The potential liability of Taiwan's Labor Insurance (LI) program has reached NT$7.3 trillion, so it is imperative to generate more funding and reduce outlays. This study aims to investigate the contribution's value-the ratio of the present value of the benefits and the contributions, by utilizing the database of the insured and old-age benefit claims of the LI.In general, each dollar of the contribution is worth 2.3 dollars in the old benefit scheme. It is worth 5.3 to 6.1 dollars in the new benefit scheme, depending on the discount rate used. If the government subsidy is excluded, each dollar of the contribution of the insurees is worth 3.7 dollars in the old scheme; it is worth 8.3 to 9.6 dollars in the new scheme. The contribution's value is way too high for the system to be sustainable. Extending the benefit base to cover more past earnings, together with the redistribution feature in the reform proposal can lower the benefit 2% per annum, which amounts to 17.4% in 10 years.
期刊論文
1.羅紀琼(20130300)。勞工保險老年給付之投保薪資誘因探討。臺灣經濟預測與政策,43(2),1-22。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Biggs, Andrew G.、Springstead, Glenn R.(2008)。Alternate Measures of Replacement Rates for Social Security Benefits and Retirement Income。Social Security Bulletin,68(2),1-19。  new window
3.Edwards, A. C.(2005)。Pension Reforms and Employment。International Economic Journal,19(2),305-319。  new window
4.呂瑞秋、何詠恩(20101200)。勞保老年年金的隱含內部報酬率--與一次金的比較。保險專刊,26(2),179-187。new window  延伸查詢new window
會議論文
1.羅紀琼(2011)。勞工退休制度的回顧與展望。臺灣經濟發展的回顧與展望研討會。臺北:中央研究院經濟研究所。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.行政院勞工委員會勞工保險局(2010)。民國98年勞工保險普通事故保險費率精算及財務評估。  延伸查詢new window
2.行政院勞工委員會(2012)。勞工保險普通事故保險費率精算及財務評估。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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