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題名:旅運者運具選擇行為異質性之研析:混合羅吉特模式之應用
書刊名:運輸計劃
作者:邱裕鈞 引用關係溫傑華 引用關係陳韋穎王穆衡傅強曾幸敏林育瑄
作者(外文):Chiou, Yu-chiunWen, Chieh-huaChen, Wei-yingWang, Mu-hanFu, ChiangTseng, Hsing-minLin, Yu-shiuan
出版日期:2014
卷期:43:2
頁次:頁143-171
主題關鍵詞:運具選擇混合羅吉特模式多項羅吉特模式Mode choice behaviorsMixed logit modelMultinomial logit model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:2
  • 共同引用共同引用:12
  • 點閱點閱:61
由於臺灣地區之旅運者相當依賴使用私人運具,不僅使得旅運者在有限的道路容量下會產生交通壅塞問題,對於環境亦會造成汙染。鼓勵旅運者多使用公共運輸無疑是最有效的改善對策之一。此外,由於公共運輸服務水準及使用私人運具的便利程度,會因旅運者居住地區而異,因此,本研究在分析旅運者之運具選擇行為時,先依據旅運者居住地區分為 3群,並分別建立該地區之運具選擇模式。同時利用可分析異質性的混合羅吉特模式加以模化。推估結果顯示,分群所建立的混合羅吉特模式皆顯著優於多項羅吉特模式,表示運具選擇行為確實存在個體異質性。最後,進行彈性分析及市場占有率預測,以了解提昇公共運輸使用率的關鍵因素,並提出對應的市場行銷及改善策略。
Due to the high dependency on private vehicles of travellers in Taiwan, the traffic conditions in many surface roadway systems are rather congested with serious problems of energy consumption and emissions. To promote the usage of public transportation is undoubtedly the of the most effective countermeasures. Additionally, to acknowledge the roneemarkably different service levels of public transportation and different convenient levels in using private vehicles in different residential areas, significant differences must exist in their mode choice preferences and decisions. Thus, the heterogeneity of mode choice behaviors should be analyzed. Accordingly, this study separately develops the mode choice models for those travellers living in the districts/townships with different levels of population density by using mixed logit models (MXL). The estimation results show that MXL models for three groups perform significantly better than multinomial logit models in terms of likelihood ratio tests, suggesting the existence of heterogeneity in mode choice behaviors. Finally, elasticity analysis and marketing share prediction are conducted to identify the key factors for promoting public transportation. Corresponding marketing and improvement strategies for public transportation are then proposed accordingly.
期刊論文
1.Yanez, M. F.、Raveau, S.、Ortuzar, J. de D.(2010)。Inclusion of Latent Variables in Mixed Logit Models: Modelling and Forecasting。Transportation Research Part A,44,744-753。  new window
2.Diana, M.(2010)。From Mode Choice to Modal Diversion: A New Behavioural Paradigm and an Application to the Study of the Demand for Innovative Transport Services。Technological Forecasting & Social Change,7,429-441。  new window
3.Cervero, R.(2002)。Built Environments and Mode Choice: Toward a Normative Framework。Transportation Research Part D,7,265-284。  new window
4.O’Fallon, C.、Sullivan, C.、Hensher, D. A.(2004)。Constraints Affecting Mode Choices by Morning Car Commuters。Transport Policy,11(2004),17-29。  new window
5.Hensher, D. A.、Reyes, A. J.(2000)。Trip Chaining as a Barrier to the Propensity to Use Public Transport。Transportation,27(4),341-361。  new window
6.Li, H.、Huang, H.、Liu, J.(2010)。Parameter Estimation of the Mixed Logit Model and Its Application。Journal of Transportation Systems Engineering and Information Technology, Vol. Issue,5(2010),73-78。  new window
7.Shen, J.(2009)。Latent Class Model or Mixed Logit Model? A Comparison by Transport Mode Choice Data。Applied Economics,41(2009),2915-2924。  new window
8.Dissanayake, D.、Morikawa, T.(2010)。Investigating Household Vehicle Ownership, Mode Choice and Trip Sharing Decisions Using a Combined Revealed Preference/Stated Preference Nested Logit Model: Case Study in Bangkok Metropolitan Region。Journal of Transport Geography,18,402-410。  new window
9.Parkany, E.、Gallagher, R.、Viveiros, P.。Are Attitudes Important in Travel Choice。Journal of the Transportation Research Board,1894,127-139。  new window
10.Ben(1990)。Estimation of Travel Demand Models from Multiple Data Sources461-476。  new window
11.McFadden, D.、Train, K.(2000)。Mixed MNL Models of Discrete Response。Journal of Applied Econometrics,15(5),447-470。  new window
12.賴文泰、呂錦隆(20080600)。應用涉入理論於運具選擇行為之研究。運輸計劃,37(2),237-262。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Arunotayanun, K.、Polak, J. W.(2011)。Taste Heterogeneity and Market Segmentation in Freight Shippers’ Mode Choice Behavior。Transportation Research Part E,47(2),138-148。  new window
會議論文
1.溫傑華、楊朝翔、黃琬雯、陳丹妮(2009)。應用潛在群體模式探討大眾捷運接駁運具選擇。中華民國運輸學會98年學術論文研討會。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.Niemeier, D. A.(1994)。A Consumer Welfare Approach to Measuring Accessibility(碩士論文)。University of Washington。  new window
2.魏嘉儀(2011)。偏遠地區居民運具選擇行為之影響因素分析(碩士論文)。國立交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Lee, B. J.、Fujiwara, A.、Zhang, J.、Sugie, Y.(2003)。Analysis of Mode Choice Behaviours Based on Latent Class Models。Lucerne, Switzerland。  new window
 
 
 
 
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