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題名:黃豆期貨價格對臺灣食品類股股價的影響度研究
書刊名:財金論文叢刊
作者:劉文祺張文娟廖秀湘
作者(外文):Liu, Wen-chiChang, Wen-chuanLiao, Hsiu-hsiang
出版日期:2015
卷期:22
頁次:頁1-14
主題關鍵詞:黃豆期貨價格食品類股股價單根檢定VAR模型Soybean futures pricesFood stocks priceUnit root testVAR model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:96
食品業主要的變動成本是原物料,再加上食品產業正是民生必需產業,和日常生活密不可分。其中黃豆價格高低會影響食品產業的進口成本,進而影響食品業股價行情。本研究以單根及自我向量迴歸模型為研究方法,探究黃豆價格對食品類股股價的影響。在此以臺灣食品類股為研究對象,並蒐集芝加哥的期貨行情價格-芝加哥期貨交易所(CBOT)和臺灣食品類股股價進行分析。本研究採用週資料,研究期間為2009年1月2日至2014年3月7日,實證結果發現:5檔食品類股中,黃豆期貨價格對福懋、福壽及大統益三檔食品類股股價具有領先關係,黃豆期貨價格領先食品類股股價一週,呈正向變動。
Food product from agricultural supply is essential for human life to energize us. Soybean is very important to our daily diet among consumer food products. The previous studies indicated the soybean’s futures price largely influenced the profits of the food companies and their stock prices. In this paper, the unit root tests and vector auto-regression model were employed to explore the impacts of soybean prices on the stock prices. This paper focused on the listed Taiwanese food companies by analyzing weekly data from the Chicago futures market price (i.e., Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT)) and stock prices of Taiwanese companies. The research period was from January 2nd, 2009 to March 7th, 2014. The result showed that he soybean’s futures price positively significantly led a week ahead of the stock prices of three food companies (FORMOSA, FWUSOW, and TTET UNION).
期刊論文
1.Kraus, A.、Stoll, H. R.(1972)。Price impact of block trading on the New York stock exchange。Journal of Finance,27(3),569-588。  new window
2.Ying, C. C.(1966)。Stock Prices and Volumes of Sales。Econometrica,34,676-685。  new window
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4.Gervais, S.、Kaniel, R.、Mingelgrin, D. H.(2001)。The High-Volume Return Premium。The Journal of Finance,56(3),877-919。  new window
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學位論文
1.高崇傑(2000)。臺灣股價與景氣循環關係之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.王加欽(2010)。原油、原物料與台灣股市變動之關連性研究(碩士論文)。樹德科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.王啟明(1982)。我國黃豆期貨交易之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.李宗祥(1989)。股價指數期貨之探索性研究(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.游珮筠(2004)。聖嬰現象對黃豆期貨價格之影響(碩士論文)。國立中興大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.劉光育(2010)。溫度變動對芝加哥穀物期貨價格波動之影響--以玉米、黃豆、小麥為例(碩士論文)。南華大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.蔡獻逸(2008)。全球主要原物料商品價格景氣循環預測分析--馬可夫狀態轉換向量自我迴歸模型應用(碩士論文)。世新大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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