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題名:Modeling the Volatility of Rubber Futures by Exchange Rate and Climate Change
書刊名:財金論文叢刊
作者:Guo, JiajieSang, WeichenDong, Jibin
出版日期:2015
卷期:23
頁次:頁1-9
主題關鍵詞:VolatilityCopulaRubber futuresExchange rateClimatic factors
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:17
Natural rubber is a plant of economic importance of Thailand, which has been the world's biggest producer and exporter since 1991. In 2014, Thailand covers the cultivation area of natural rubber of 3.6 million hectares, of which tapping area is 2.78 million hectares. In this paper, we applied the Gaussian copula, T copula, Clayton copula, Frank copula, Gumbel copula, Joe copula, BB1 copula, BB6 copula, BB7 copula, BB8 copula and rotate copulas to determine the relationship between the volatility of Thai rubber futures return, exchange rate of Thai baht and climatic factors. Based on these results, climatic factors and fluctuations in the exchange rate market have significant effects on Thai rubber futures returns. With regards the analysis methods, no single method can provide a complete picture of the dependencies and interrelatedness of the various asset markets. We hope that the results of this study can be used by investor of Thai rubber futures, as well as other key stakeholders in the rubber futures.
期刊論文
1.Kearney, C.(2000)。The determination and international transmission of stock market volatility。Global Finance Journal,11(1/2),31-66。  new window
2.Sang, Wei Chen、Sriboonchitta, Songsak、Rahman, Sanzidur、Huang, Wan Tran、Wiboonpongse, Aree(20120600)。Modeling Volatility and Interdependencies of Thai Rubber Spot Price Return with Climatic Factors, Exchange Rate and Crude Oil Markets。財金論文叢刊,16,1-20。new window  new window
3.Mendelsohn, R.、Nordhaus, W.、Shaw, D.(1994)。The Impact of Global Warming on Agriculture: A Ricardian Analysis。American Economic Review,84,753-771。  new window
4.Theodossiou, P.、Lee, U.(1993)。Mean and volatility spillovers across major national stock markets: Further empirical evidence。The Journal of Financial Research,16(4),337-350。  new window
5.Patton, A. J.(2006)。Modelling asymmetric exchange rate dependence。International Economic Review,47(2),527-556。  new window
6.Eun, Cheol S.、Shim, Sangdal(1989)。International Transmission of Stock Market Movements。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,24(2),241-256。  new window
會議論文
1.Meng, J. L.、Si, Ji Wen、Gong, Pu(2004)。A Dependence Study for Futures Markets with Copula。The Asian FA/TFA/FMA 2003/2004 Conference,(會議日期: 2004/07/14)。Taipei。  new window
研究報告
1.Roncalli, T.、Bouy’e, E.、Durrleman, V.、Nikeghbali, A.、Riboulet, G(2001)。Copulas: an open filed for risk management。Credit Lyonnais。  new window
2.Hu, L.(2002)。Dependence Patterns acoss Financial Market: Methods and Evidence。Yale University。  new window
3.Bartram, S.、Taylor, S. J.、Wang, Y.-H.(2004)。The Euro and European Financials market dependence。Lancaster University:National Central University。  new window
圖書
1.Kaiser, H.、Drennen, T.(1993)。Agricultural Dimensions Global Climate Change。Delray Beach, FL:St. Lucie Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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