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題名：從「避險」到「軟制衡」：美國的策略如何改變越南的中國政策，2014~2019
書刊名：問題與研究
作者：阮功松
作者(外文)：Nguyen, Cong Tung
出版日期：2020
卷期：59:1
頁次：頁143-193
主題關鍵詞：越中關係；美國；避險；軟制衡；越南；Vietnam-China relations；The United States；Hedging；Soft balancing；Vietnam
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
相關次數：
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:24
  • 點閱點閱:11
期刊論文
1.Chung, Jae Ho(2009)。East Asia Responds to the Rise of China: Patterns and Variations。Pacific Affairs，82(4)，657-675。  new window
2.David, Steven R.(1991)。Explaining Third World Alignment。World Politics，43(2)，233-256。  new window
3.Vuving, Alexander L.(2006)。Strategy and Evolution of Vietnam's China Policy: A Changing Mixture of Pathways。Asian Survey，46(6)，805-824。  new window
4.Chan, Steve(2010)。An Odd Thing Happened on the Way to Balancing: East Asian States' Reactions to China's Rise。International Studies Review，12(3)，387-412。  new window
5.黃瓊萩(2015)。Balance of Relationship: the Essence of Myanmar's China Policy。The Pacific Review，28(2)，189-210。  new window
6.Ross, Robert S.(2006)。Balance of Power Politics and the Rise of China: Accommodation and Balancing in East Asia。Security Studies，15(3)，355-395。  new window
7.Miller, Eric A.、Toritsyn, Arkady(2005)。Bringing the Leader Back In: Internal Threats and Alignment Theory in the Commonwealth of Independent States。Security Studies，14(2)，325-363。  new window
8.Schweller, Randall L.(1994)。Bandwagoning for Profit: Bring the Revisionist State Back in。International Security，19(1)，72-107。  new window
9.Copeland, Dale C.(1996)。Economic Interdependence and War: A Theory of Trade Expectations。International Security，20(4)，5-41。  new window
10.Sweeney, Kevin、Fritz, Paul(2004)。Jumping on the Bandwagon: An Interest-Based Explanation for Great Power Alliances。The Journal of Politics，66(2)，428-449。  new window
11.Johnston, Alastair Iain(2013)。How New and Assertive is China's New Assertiveness?。International Security，37(4)，7-48。  new window
12.Lebow, Richard Ned、Valentino, Benjamin(2009)。Lost in Transition: A Critical Analysis of Power Transition Theory。International Relations，23(3)，389-410。  new window
13.Ikenberry, Gilford John(2016)。Between the Eagle and the Dragon: America, China, and Middle State Strategies in East Asia。Political Science Quarterly，131(1)，9-43。  new window
14.薛健吾(20161200)。抗衡或扈從：14個歐亞國家對俄國外交政策選擇的再檢視。東吳政治學報，34(3)，121-178。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.Liff, Adam P.(2016)。Whither the Balancers? The Case for a Methodological Reset。Security Studies，25(3)，420-459。  new window
16.Chang Liao, Nien-Chung(2016)。The sources of China's assertiveness: The system, domestic politics or leadership preferences?。International Affairs，92(4)，817-833。  new window
17.楊三億(20180300)。烏克蘭安全策略選擇：內部因素分析。問題與研究，57(1)，1-28。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Le, Hong Hiep(2013)。Vietnam's hedging strategy against China since normalization。Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs，35(3)，333-368。  new window
19.Schweller, Randall L.、Pu, Xiaoyu(2011)。After Unipolarity: China's Visions of International Order in an Era of U.S. Decline。International Security，36(1)，41-72。  new window
20.Brooks, Stephen G.、Wohlforth, William C.(2016)。The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers in the Twenty-first Century: China's Rise and the Fate of America's Global Position。International Security，40(3)，7-53。  new window
21.Friedman, Max P.、Long, Tom(2015)。Soft Balancing in the Americas。International Security，40(1)，120-156。  new window
22.Huang, Chiung-Chiu(2017)。Embedded Relationality and Role: History and Hierarchy in Vietnam's China Policy。Korean Political Science Review，51(6)，129-146。  new window
23.Liang, Ce(2018)。The Rise of China as A Constructed Narrative: Southeast Asia's Response to Asia's Power Shift。The Pacific Review，31(3)，279-297。  new window
24.Liberthal, Kenneth(20111221)。The American Pivot to Asia。Foreign Policy，2011(Dec.)。  new window
25.Rosato, Sebastian(2015)。The Inscrutable Intentions of Great Powers。International Security，39(3)，48-88。  new window
26.Tran, Thi Bich、Sato, Yoichiro(2018)。Vietnam's Post-Cold War Hedging Strategy: A Changing Mix of Realist and Liberal Ingredients。Asian Politics & Policy，10(1)，73-99。  new window
27.Tran, Phuc Thi、Vieira, Alena Vysotskaya Guedes、Ferreira-Pereira, Laura C.(2013)。Vietnam's Strategic Hedging Vis-à-vis China: The Roles of the European Union and Russia。Revista Brasileira de Política Internacional，56(1)，163-182。  new window
28.Kang, David C.(2003)。Getting Asia Wrong: The Need For New Analytical Frameworks。International Security，27(4)，57-85。  new window
29.Pape, Robert Anthony(2005)。Soft Balancing Against the United States。International Security，30(1)，7-45。  new window
30.Walt, Stephen M.(1985)。Alliance Formation and the Balance of World Power。International Security，9(4)，3-43。  new window
31.Kuik, Cheng-Chwee(2016)。How Do Weaker States Hedge? Unpacking ASEAN States' Alignment Behavior Towards China。Journal of Contemporary China，25(100)，500-514。  new window
32.Schweller, Randall L.(2004)。Unanswered Threats: A Neoclassical Realist Theory of Underbalancing。International Security，29(2)，159-201。  new window
33.Kuik, Cheng-Chwee(2008)。The Essence of Hedging: Malaysia and Singapore's Response to a Rising China。Contemporary Southeast Asia: A Journal of International and Strategic Affairs，30(2)，159-185。  new window
圖書
1.Womack, Brantly(2006)。China and Vietnam: The Politics of Asymmetry。Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Nguyen, Ngoc Truong(2019)。Thế giới 30 Năm: Nhận diện và Xu thế。Hanoi, HN：Labor and Society Publishing House。  new window
3.Mearsheimer, John J.、Alterman, G.(2001)。The Tragedy of Great Power Politics。W. W. Norton & Company。  new window
其他
1.World Bank(2019)。Countries' GDP (current US)，https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.CD。  new window
2.(20181116)。Pence Says South China Sea Doesn't belong to Any One Nation，https://news.abs-cbn.com/overseas/11/16/18/pence-says-south-chinasea-doesnt-belong-to-any-one-nation?fbclid=IwAR1q9d2XPZbTtbX9jYC5Dywdubl_fDoEmeybWzjWFyYkwv2GacK3jJyRZrU。  new window
3.(20180519)。South China Sea Dispute: China Lands Bombers on Island，https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-44180773。  new window
4.IMF(2019)。GDP Based on PPP, Share of World，https://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/PPPSH@WEO/OEMDC/ADVEC/WEOWORLD/CHN/USA。  new window
5.Manning, Robert A.(2015)。America's 'China Consensus' Implodes，https://nationalinterest.org/feature/americas-china-consensus-implodes-12938。  new window
6.(20141002)。U.S. Eases Embargo on Arms to Vietnam，https://www.nytimes.com/2014/10/03/world/asia/us-eases-embargo-on-arms-to-vietnam.html。  new window
7.Pham, Tuan，Grant, Newsham(2018)。China's Worst Nightmare: RIMPAC 2020 in the South China Sea?，https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/chinas-worstnightmare-rimpac-2020-south-china-sea-32327?page=0%2C1。  new window
8.Reuters(20140507)。U.S. Criticizes Chinese Oil Rig Move Amid Vietnam Protests，https://www.reuters.com/article/us-china-vietnam-usa/u-s-criticizes-chineseoil-rig-move-amid-vietnam-protests-idUSBREA450WL20140506。  new window
9.Reuters(20161018)。Vietnam Gives Thumbs-up to U.S. Regional Role as Pivot Stumbles，https://www.reuters.com/article/us-vietnam-usa-idUSKCN12I1BR。  new window
10.Reuters(20190403)。U.S. hopes for Second Aircraft Carrier Visit to Vietnam this Year: Official，https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-vietnam/us-hopes-for-secondaircraft-carrier-visit-to-vietnam-this-year-official-idUSKCN1RF1OS。  new window
11.Sands, Gary(2018)。How Vietnam Benefits From US Strategy in the South China Sea，https://thediplomat.com/2018/10/how-vietnam-benefits-from-us-strategyin-the-south-china-sea/。  new window
12.SIPRI(2018)。Trends in International Arms Transfers, 2017，https://www.sipri.org/publications/2018/sipri-fact-sheets/trends-international-arms-transfers-2017。  new window
13.The Obama White House(2015)。National Security Strategy 2015，https://obamawhitehouse.archives.gov/sites/default/files/docs/2015_national_security_strategy_2.pdf。  new window
14.The Trump White House(2017)。National Security Strategy of the United States of America，https://www.whitehouse.gov/wp-content/uploads/2017/12/NSSFinal-12-18-2017-0905.pdf。  new window
15.Vuving, Alexander L.(2017)。What Vietnam Can Offer America，https://nationalinterest.org/feature/what-vietnam-can-offer-america-20874?page=0%2C2。  new window
16.(20181017)。Bộ trưởng Ngô Xuân Lịch tiếp Bộ trưởng Mattis tại TP.HCM，https://baomoi.com/bo-truong-ngo-xuanlich-tiep-bo-truong-mattis-tai-tp-hcm/c/28194056.epi。  new window
17.(20150804)。Hợp tác hướng tới tương lai--bài học lớn nhất trong quan hệ Việt-Mỹ，https://dantri.com.vn/the-gioi/hop-tac-huong-toi-tuong-lai-bai-hoclon-nhat-trong-quan-he-viet-my-20150804181942582.htm。  new window
18.(20180207)。Tổng Bí thư: 'Tôi nói thẳng mà ông Tập Cận Bình không hề tự ái'，https://dantri.com.vn/chinh-tri/tong-bi-thu-toinoi-thang-ma-ong-tap-can-binh-khong-he-tu-ai-20180207152354033.htm。  new window
19.(20180811)。Mỹ hoàn tất tẩy độc sân bay Đà Nẵng, chuyển giao tàu tuần tra trên biển，https://dantri.com.vn/chinh-tri/my-hoan-tat-tay-docsan-bay-da-nang-chuyen-giao-tau-tuan-tra-tren-bien-20180811111129494.htm。  new window
20.(20180814)。Bộ Kế hoạch và Đầu tư cảnh báo: Vay vốn Trung Quốc 'cần xem xét và cân nhắc'，https://dantri.com.vn/kinh-doanh/bo-ke-hoach-va-dau-tu-canh-bao-vay-von-trung-quoc-canxem-xet-va-can-nhac-20180814061042783.htm。  new window
21.(20190608)。Bộ Kế hoạch: Nguy cơ nhiều doanh nghiệp Việt bị Trung Quốc thâu tóm, thôn tính，https://dantri.com.vn/kinh-doanh/boke-hoach-nguy-co-nhieu-doanh-nghiep-viet-bi-trung-quoc-thau-tom-thontinh-20190607163332108.htm。  new window
22.HCM Academy(2017)。Bảo vệ chủ quyền biển, đảo Việt Nam trong bối cảnh mới，https://hcma.vn/tintuc/Pages/dien-dan-chinh-tri-tu-tuong.aspx?CateID=201&ItemID=27542。  new window
23.Hải Quân Việt Nam(2018)。Tình hình xuất khẩu, nhập khẩu hàng hóa của Việt Nam tháng 12 và năm 2018，https://www.customs.gov.vn/Lists/ThongKeHaiQuan/ViewDetails.aspx?ID=1559&Category=Ph%C3%A2n%20t%C3%ADch%20%C4%91%E1%BB%8Bnh%20k%E1%BB%B3&Group=Ph%C3%A2n%20t%C3%ADch。  new window
24.Le, Dang Doanh(2017)。Tránh phụ thuộc một thị trường，https://nld.com.vn/thoi-su-trong-nuoc/tranh-phu-thuoc-motthi-truong-20170312213839736.htm。  new window
25.Le, Vinh Truong(20160115)。VN đã hết thời chính sách 'ba không'?，https://www.bbc.com/vietnamese/forum/2016/01/160115_vn_het_thoi_chinh_sach_ba_khong。  new window
26.MPI Vietnam(2018)。Tình hình thu hút Đầu tư nước năm 2018，http://fia.mpi.gov.vn/tinbai/6110/Tinh-hinh-thu-hut-Dau-tu-nuoc-ngoainam-2018。  new window
27.MPI Vietnam(2019)。Tình hình thu hút Đầu tư nước ngoài 5 tháng năm 2019，http://fia.mpi.gov.vn/tinbai/6184/Tinh-hinh-thu-hut-dau-tu-nuoc-ngoai-5-thang-dau-nam-2019。  new window
28.NLD(2018)。Tận dụng FTA, giảm lệ thuộc thương mại Trung Quốc，https://nld.com.vn/kinh-te/tan-dung-fta-giam-le-thuoc-thuong-mai-trungquoc-20140605104218597.htm。  new window
29.NLD(2018)。Mỹ hoan nghênh Việt Nam tham gia RIMPAC 2018，https://nld.com.vn/thoi-su-quocte/my-hoan-nghenh-viet-nam-tham-gia-rimpac-2018-20180629220630291.htm。  new window
30.Nguyen, Manh Hung(20160518)。Việt Nam: điểm nhấn trong Tái cân bằng châu Á của Mỹ，https://news.zing.vn/viet-nam-diem-nhan-trong-tai-can-bang-chau-a-cua-my-post649954.html。  new window
31.Nguyen, Ngoc Truong(20140630)。Hãy cài đặt lại quan hệ Việt-Trung，http://toquoc.vn/y-kien-binh-luan/hay-cai-dat-laiquan-he-viettrung-125000.html。  new window
32.(20181116)。Thủ tướng Nguyễn Xuân Phúc kết thúc tốt đẹp chuyến tham dự Hội nghị cấp cao ASEAN 33 và các hội nghị cấp cao liên quan，http://www.nhandan.com.vn/chinhtri/tin-tuc-su-kien/item/38264402-thu-tuong-nguyen-xuan-phuc-ket-thuc-tot-depchuyen-tham-du-hoi-nghi-cap-cao-asean-33-va-cac-hoi-nghi-cap-cao-lienquan.html。  new window
33.TCCS(2018)。Vấn đề đối tác-đối tượng trong chiến lược bảo vệ Tổ quốc，http://www.tapchicongsan.org.vn/Home/Nghiencuu-Traodoi/2015/31758/Van-de-doi-tac-doi-tuong-trongchien-luoc-bao-ve.aspx。  new window
34.(20140514)。Bắt giữ gần 600 đối tượng trộm cắp, kích động gây rối ở Bình Dương，https://thanhnien.vn/thoi-su/bat-giu-gan-600-doi-tuongtrom-cap-kich-dong-gay-roi-o-binh-duong-79903.html。  new window
35.(20180809)。Duy trì đà phát triển mạnh mẽ của quan hệ Đối tác toàn diện Việt-Mỹ，https://thanhnien.vn/thoi-su/duy-tri-da-phat-trienmanh-me-cua-quan-he-doi-tac-toan-dien-viet-my-991264.html。  new window
36.Tran, Viet Thai(20150708)。Ba ý nghĩa chuyến thăm Mỹ lịch sử của Tổng bí thư，https://tuoitre.vn/ba-y-nghia-cua-chuyen-tham-lich-su-774159.htm。  new window
37.Tran, Viet Thai(20171108)。Trump thăm Việt Nam: 'Sự kiện đặc biệt'，https://www.bbc.com/vietnamese/media-41916155。  new window
38.(20180307)。Duyên nợ của Mỹ với Cam Ranh，https://tuoitre.vn/duyen-no-cua-my-voi-camranh-20180307092819458.htm。  new window
39.(20180329)。Mỹ chuyển giao 6 xuồng tuần tra giúp Việt Nam chống 'người xấu'，https://tuoitre.vn/my-chuyen-giao-6-xuong-tuan-tra-giup-viet-namchong-nguoi-xau-20180329152700571.htm。  new window
40.VASI(2018)。Đẩy mạnh thực hiện Nghị quyết 09-NQ/TW, Về chiến lược biển Việt Nam đến năm 2020，http://www.vasi.gov.vn/757/day-manh-thuc-hien-nghi-quyet-09nqtw-ve-chien-luoc-bien-viet-namden-nam-2020/t708/c247/i473。  new window
41.Vietnam MOFA(2004)。Chính sách đối ngoại của Việt Nam trong giai đoạn hiện nay，http://www.mofahcm.gov.vn/vi/mofa/cs_doingoai/cs/ns040823163300。  new window
42.Vietnam MOFA(2015)。Tài liệu cơ bản về Trung Quốc và quan hệ Việt Nam-Trung Quốc，http://www.mofahcm.gov.vn/vi/mofa/cn_vakv/ca_tbd/nr040818094447/ns150401025706。  new window
43.Vietnam MOFA(2018)。Việt Nam hoan nghênh sáng kiến kinh tế Ấn Độ Dương-Thái Bình Dương của Mỹ，https://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/viet-nam-hoannghenh-sang-kien-kinh-te-an-do-duong-thai-binh-duong-cua-my-3786783.html。  new window
44.(20140524)。Không có hữu nghị viển vông，http://vietnamnet.vn/vn/tuanvietnam/khong-co-huu-nghi-vienvong-177171.html。  new window
45.(20160523)。Tổng thống Obama chào xã giao Tổng bí thư，http://vietnamnet.vn/vn/thoi-su/chinh-tri/obama-tham-vn-le-don-chinh-thuc-306227.html。  new window
46.(20160523)。Tổng thống Obama gặp các lãnh đạo cấp cao VN，http://vietnamnet.vn/vn/thoisu/doi-ngoai/tong-thong-obama-gap-cac-lanh-dao-cap-cao-vn-306364.html。  new window
47.(20180802)。Việt Nam nói về thông tin mua vũ khí Mỹ gần 100 triệu USD，http://vietnamnet.vn/vn/thoi-su/quoc-phong/viet-namnoi-ve-thong-tin-mua-vu-khi-my-gan-100-trieu-usd-467751.html。  new window
48.(20190605)。Phi công quân sự Việt Nam đầu tiên hoàn thành khóa huấn luyện tại Mỹ，https://vietnamnet.vn/vn/thoi-su/quoc-phong/phi-congquan-su-viet-nam-dau-tien-hoan-thanh-khoa-huan-luyen-tai-my-538768.html。  new window
49.(20160524)。Ông Obama đọc bài thơ thần "Nam quốc sơn hà" của Lý Thường Kiệt，https://www.vietnamplus.vn/ong-obama-doc-bai-tho-than-nam-quoc-son-ha-cua-ly-thuong-kiet/387493.vnp。  new window
50.(20160514)。Cựu Đại sứ Lê Văn Bàng: Mỹ có thể giúp cân bằng lực lượng Biển Đông，https://viettimes.vn/cuu-dai-su-le-van-bang-myco-the-giup-can-bang-luc-luong-bien-dong-276995.html。  new window
51.(20100826)。Chính sách 'ba không' của quốc phòng Việt Nam，https://vnexpress.net/tin-tuc/the-gioi/chinh-sachba-khong-cua-quoc-phong-viet-nam-2173776.html。  new window
52.(20140103)。Cam Ranh--24 năm làm căn cứ quân sự của Liên Xô，https://vnexpress.net/thoisu/cam-ranh-can-cu-quan-su-lung-lay-mot-thoi-2930501-p2.html。  new window
53.(20150702)。Tướng Nguyễn Chí Vịnh: 'Việt-Mỹ cam kết không xâm hại lợi ích chiến lược'，https://vnexpress.net/tintuc/the-gioi/tuong-nguyen-chi-vinh-viet-my-cam-ket-khong-xam-hai-loi-ichchien-luoc-3241672.html。  new window
54.(20180521)。Trung Quốc có thể sắp lập vùng nhận dạng phòng không ở Biển Đông，https://vnexpress.net/the-gioi/trung-quoc-co-the-sap-lapvung-nhan-dang-phong-khong-o-bien-dong-3752535.html。  new window
55.(20190119)。Thủ tướng: 'Việt Nam sẽ tăng mua hàng Mỹ'，https://vnexpress.net/kinhdoanh/thu-tuong-viet-nam-se-tang-mua-hang-my-3870584.html。  new window
56.(20190215)。Cuộc chiến biên giới phía Bắc sẽ có vị trí xứng đáng trong sách giáo khoa，https://vnexpress.net/40-nam-cuoc-chien-bao-ve-bien-gioi-phiabac/cuoc-chien-bien-gioi-phia-bac-se-co-vi-tri-xung-dang-trong-sach-giaokhoa-3881522.html。  new window
57.(20190603)。Mỹ bán trinh sát cơ không người lái cho Việt Nam，https://vnexpress.net/the-gioi/my-ban-trinh-sat-cokhong-nguoi-lai-cho-viet-nam-3932680.html。  new window
58.(2018)。Việt Nam 'đặt mua' gần 100 triệu đôla vũ khí Mỹ，https://www.voatiengviet.com/a/viet-nam-dat-mua-hang-chuc-trieu-dola-vu-khi-cuamy/4508935.html。  new window
59.(2015)。Tổng Bí thư Nguyễn Phú Trọng trả lời phỏng vấn báo chí Hoa Kỳ，https://vov.vn/chinh-tri/tong-bi-thu-nguyen-phu-trong-tra-loi-phong-van-baochi-hoa-ky-411636.vov。  new window
60.(2017)。Toàn văn Tuyên bố chung Việt Nam-Hoa Kỳ，https://vov.vn/chinh-tri/toan-van-tuyen-bo-chung-viet-namhoa-ky-513808.vov。  new window
61.Vu, Hong Lam(20190611)。Việt Nam có đang xích lại gần Hoa Kỳ, xa Trung Quốc?，https://www.bbc.com/vietnamese/forum-48560839。  new window
62.Vuving, Alexander L.(20150706)。TBT Trọng đi Mỹ: Chuyến đi mở cục diện mới，https://www.bbc.com/vietnamese/forum/2015/07/150706_forum_nguyenphutrong_us_visit_vuhonglam。  new window
63.(20140528)。Việt Nam chi bao nhiêu cho quốc phòng?，https://news.zing.vn/viet-nam-chi-bao-nhieu-cho-quocphong-post420668.html。  new window
64.(20160523)。Vietnam's Defense Spending is Billion and Rising Fast，https://money.cnn.com/2016/05/23/news/vietnam-military-spending/index.html。  new window
圖書論文
1.Goldstein, Avery(2012)。U.S.-China Interactions in Asia。Tangled Titans: The United States and China。Lanham, MD：Rowman & Littlefield Publishers。  new window
2.Shambaugh, David(2012)。Tangled Titans: Conceptualizing the U.S.-China Relationship。Tangled Titans: The United States and China。Lanham, MD：Rowman & Littlefield Publishers。  new window
3.包宗和、吳玉山(20090000)。權力不對稱與兩岸關係研究。重新檢視爭辯中的兩岸關係理論。臺北：五南。new window  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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