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題名:世紀之交中共的軍事政策與亞太安全: 防禦取向模糊性的探討
書刊名:中國大陸研究
作者:張雅君
作者(外文):Chang, Ya-chun
出版日期:1999
卷期:42:3
頁次:頁25-44
主題關鍵詞:防禦性軍事政策攻勢性軍事政策亞太安全積極防禦中共威脅論螺旋模式政策貪婪國家高技術條件下局部戰爭Defensive military policyOffensive military policyAsian-Pacific securityActive defenseChina threatSpiral modelDeterrence modelGreedy stateLocal war under high-tech condition
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(2) 專書(2) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:22
     冷戰結束後,中共在戰略上進一步從內陸走向海洋,並繼續推動軍事現代化,同 時強調「高技術條件下局部戰爭」的戰略,此種態勢明顯導至美國及亞太國家的不安,致 使中國威脅論聲浪高漲,因而中共在冷戰結束後仍面對了來自於美國、日本和印度的潛在 威脅。為袪除亞太國家的安全疑慮,中共在一九九五年後不斷強調國防政策是防禦屬性, 企圖為其軍事行為,以及軍事現代化發展作一個明確化界定,以扭轉負面的國際形象,並 防止美國及周邊國家制定不利於中共的戰略或政策。然而,中共積極防禦軍事戰略本身是 攻守結合的,高技術條件局部戰爭理論又蘊含了更大的積極威懾成分;此外,中共軍事現 代化的步調固然是漸進性的,但中共把有限的國防資源選擇性的集中於部分項目的強化, 諸如導彈技術,資訊戰爭技術等方面,使得中共軍事現代化明顯呈現了攻勢性和威懾性, 尤其是對臺海,這也導致中共軍事政策在攻勢和防禦性之間仍呈現了模糊性,美國及亞太 國家對中共的疑慮因此難以消弭,更思圖反制中共,世紀之交亞太安全的發展因此仍呈現 潛在的圍堵和反圍堵的對抗陰影。
     After the end of the cold war, Mainland China has further developed her security, including emphasis on becoming a maritime power, and has continued to advance military modernization with the emphasis of "local war under hight-tech conditions." This policy orientation apparently creates misgivings for the United States and East Asian countries, leading to the increase of the China threat perception. Therefore, China still faces severely potential threats from the U.S., Japan and India at the turn of the century. Since 1995, China has continually stressed that its security policy is defensive in nature in order to improve international requtations and prevent formulating anti-China policy other countries might do. However, the active defense military strategy that China emphasizes can also be viewed as offensive . Moreover, her doctrine of local war under high-tech conditions contains more elements of active deterrence in fact. Additionally, in spite of stressing the pace of incremental development in military modernization, China has concentrated defense resources on selectively strategic items, such as missile technology and information warfare. This ambiguity between offensive and active military strategy necessarily makes it difficult for the U.S. and neighboring countries to not to be concern about Chinese military threat. The current trends of Asian security, therefore, still mirrors containment and anti-containment situations that existed in the cold war period.
期刊論文
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9.江澤民(1992)。加快改革開放和現代化建設步伐,奪取有中國特色社會主義事業的更大勝利在中國共產黨第十四次全國代表會議上的報告。新華月報,11。  延伸查詢new window
10.Roy, D.(1996)。The China Threat Issues。Asian Survey,34(8),759-761。  new window
11.馬玉安(1997)。日本近期調整對臺政策的原因和意圖。國際關係學院學報,3。  延伸查詢new window
12.陶文明、陳森寶(1997)。日本發展遠洋型海軍。現代軍事,7,43-45。  延伸查詢new window
13.Shambaugh, David(1997)。The United States and China: Cooperation or Confrontation?。Current History,96(611),244-245。  new window
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18.Frolov, Viacheslav A.(1988)。China's Armed Forces Prepare for High-Tech Warfare。Defense & Foreign Affairs Strategic Policy,26。  new window
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21.Godwin, Paul H.(1997)。Uncertainty, Insecurity, and China's Military Power。Current History,96(611),252-253。  new window
22.甘棠(1996)。評析中共軍事戰略之「積極防禦」。中國大陸月刊,29(2),77-81。  延伸查詢new window
23.羅海曦(1997)。建設21世紀的中國國防:黨的第三代領導核心對毛澤東、鄧小平國防思想的運用和發展。軍事經濟研究,9。  延伸查詢new window
24.郭驊(1995)。中共對臺展開第四維戰爭。中國大陸月刊,8。  延伸查詢new window
25.Richard, D.(1997)。How America's Friends Are Building China's Military Power。Background,1146。  new window
26.廖文中(1998)。對中共解放軍武器裝備發展戰略。中共研究,9。  延伸查詢new window
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會議論文
1.楊念祖(1996)。後冷戰時期中共軍事戰略的分析:積極防禦的時代意義與內涵。高雄縣岡山鎮。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.林宗達(1997)。中共軍事演習之研究(1990-1996),0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Quester, George H.(1977)。Offense and Defense in the International System。New York:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
2.閰學通(1995)。中國國家利益分析。天津:天津人民出版社。  延伸查詢new window
3.Lewis, John Wilson、Xue, Litai(1994)。China' Strategic Seapower: The Politics of Force Modernization in the Nuclear Age。China' Strategic Seapower: The Politics of Force Modernization in the Nuclear Age。Stanford。  new window
4.木津澈(1986)。艦隊防空的革命神盾系統鑑。巡洋艦隊。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
5.(1992)。鄧小平軍事思想研究。鄧小平軍事思想研究。瀋陽。  延伸查詢new window
6.(1987)。新時期軍隊建設重要論述選編。新時期軍隊建設重要論述選編。北京。  延伸查詢new window
7.王文昌、劉義昌、王鼎巨(1991)。海灣戰爭。海灣戰爭。北京。  延伸查詢new window
8.(1996)。新時期中共國防政策及其影響之探討。一九九六年中共年報。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
9.(1998)。高技術局部戰爭理論研究。高技術局部戰爭理論研究。北京。  延伸查詢new window
10.(1998)。East Asian Strategy Report 1998: The United States Security for the East Asia-Pacific Region。East Asian Strategy Report 1998: The United States Security for the East Asia-Pacific Region。Washington, DC。  new window
11.(1997)。對一九九七年共軍加強軍事外交之研析。一九九七年中共年報。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
12.(1991)。中國人民解放軍官手冊(海軍部分)。中國人民解放軍官手冊(海軍部分)。青島。  延伸查詢new window
13.(1997)。對共軍發展高技術條件下信息戰之研析。一九九七年中共年報。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
14.Fisher, Richard D., Jr.(1997)。The Accelerating Modernization of China's Military。Between Diplomacy and Deterrance: Strategies for U. S. Relations with China。Washington, DC。  new window
其他
1.Lord, Winston(1995)。U. S. Must Allocate Resources to Back Security Policies in Asia,0。  new window
 
 
 
 
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