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題名:直接投資對RCA動態效果之研究--臺灣之實證
書刊名:亞太管理評論
作者:周文賢古金英
作者(外文):Chou, Wen-tsanKu, Jin-ying
出版日期:1999
卷期:4:3
頁次:頁271-288
主題關鍵詞:外來直接投資對外直接投資RCA單位產品出口利潤動態效果Inward FDIOutward FDIPar earning of unit product exportDynamic effects
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:16
  • 點閱點閱:20
     本文利用動態 ARIMA 轉移函數模式之模式辨認、參數估計、預測產生及模式診斷 等步驟,以 1975-1996 年之時間序列資料從事實證檢定。 驗證結果發現,外來直接投資對 於臺灣之 RCA 具有正向的影響,且於落差一期後仍具有相同的解釋力, 但僅屬於邊際的正 向影響效果。 對外直接投資則對於 RCA 在靜態檢定上屬於負面的效果,隱含企業進行海外 投資,為產生企業內貿易之母國與地主國間之輸出替代效果與逆輸入效果。單位產品出口利 潤亦獲證為與 RCA 具顯著的正向統計相關,且對於 RCA 的解釋力最強。
     This study used the dynamic ARIMA transfer function model to identify, diagnose and estimate the model based on yearly time series data from 1975-96. From the dynamic perspective the empirical results show that inward FDI had had a positive impact on Taiwan's RCA, and it was still true while inward FDI was lagged one period, though the influential power was marginal. Nevertheless outward FDI had had a negative effects on Taiwan's RCA from a static viewpoint. The implication is that outward FDI produced the replace export effect and adverse import effect of the intra-industry trade behaviors. The explanatory variable “ the par earning of unit product exported ” was also significantly positively related to RCA, and the impact was more powerful than that of the other explanatory variables.
期刊論文
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研究報告
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