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題名：人口流動、居住模式與地區間犯罪率差異
書刊名：社會學研究
作者：程建新／劉軍強／王軍
作者(外文)：Cheng, Jianxin／Liu, Junqiang／Wang, Jun
出版日期：2016
卷期：2016(3)
頁次：218-241+246
主題關鍵詞：人口流動；居住模式；犯罪；防御空間；犯罪模式
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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人口流動與犯罪的關系是城市化和社會管理中需要回答的基礎問題，也是一個廣受熱議但仍存爭議的公共議題。本文通過匯集和分析2010年中國地級以上306市 (地州盟) 檢察機關數據，結合對5個省 (自治區) 9位公安、檢察人員的訪談，發現人口流動程度與起訴率顯著相關，但租住率卻是批捕率的更好預測指標。由於人口流動與租住率的相關性，這可能意味著人口流動促進了高犯罪，但很大程度上是通過居住狀態等因素起作用。人口流動與全部犯罪關聯度高，但居住狀態作為空間結構性力量，與較嚴重犯罪關聯更緊密。本研究的啟示在於，在城市問題日益重要的今天，我們應反思中國城市化進程及其意外后果，重新審視住房政策的社會政策屬性，重視居住的安全防控功能和空間融合效應。
Although it is commonly perceived that immigration leads to high crime rate, this relationship is far from conclusive. This paper contributes to this line of research by exploring the case of China, a country undergoing rapid and profound urbanization. We collect and analyze the arresting and accusation data from the prosecutorial office of 306 prefectures in China, combined with interviews with 9 policemen and procurators from 5 provinces. We find that domestic migration rate of different cities is significantly related to the accusation rate, while housing renting rate is a better predictor of arresting rate. These findings imply that migration may introduce crime, but mainly through residential status. Compared with the accusation cases, arresting cases indicate more grave crimes in China. It suggests that residential status plays an important role in the crime emergences and prevention. The findings call for reflections on urbanization and its unintentional consequences. Housing policy should not be considered merely in its economic sense and we should never neglect it as an important social policy instrument in crime prevention and social inclusion.
期刊論文
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研究報告
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其他
1.陳明(20111111)。劉志庚：東莞容納650萬人口比較適宜。  延伸查詢new window
2.褚馨(20111027)。2015年蘇州常住人口控制在1100萬左右。  延伸查詢new window
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7.四川省統計局(2015)。2015年四川進城務工人員市民化現狀調查報告--市民化意願及訴求篇，http://www.sc.gov.cn/10462/10464/10465/10574/2015/11/12/10358529.shtml。  延伸查詢new window
8.新華社(20140917)。李克強在推進新型城鎮化建設試點工作座談會強調：改革創新試點先行 扎實推進以人為核心的新型城鎮化。  延伸查詢new window
9.(20151222)。中央城市工作會議在北京舉行，http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2015-12/22/c_1117545528.htm。  延伸查詢new window
10.新華網大連(2015)。李克強：中國的工業化城鎮化意味著巨大的內需空間，http://news.xinhuanet. com/finance /2015 - 09/09/c_128212917.htm， 2015/09/09。  延伸查詢new window
11.葉明華，劉昊(20111013)。2015年深圳常住人口1100萬。  延伸查詢new window
12.莊慶鴻(20150924)。出租屋和流動人口落腳點管理創新--城鎮化大潮下，用"互聯網+"破解流動人口管理難題。  延伸查詢new window
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圖書論文
1.Brantingham, P. J.、Brantingham, P. L.(2011)。Crime Pattern Theory。Environmental Criminology and Crime Analysis。New York：London：Routledge。  new window
2.Martinez, R. Jr.、Lee, M. T.(2000)。On Immigration and Crime。The Nature of Crime: Continuity and Change, Volume 1: Criminal Justice。Washington, DC：National Institute of Justice。  new window
 
 
 
 
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