本文整合單國與多國可計算一般均衡分析（CGE）模型，進行加WTO對臺灣農業就業衝擊之動態模擬評估。實證結果顯示，我國加入WTO後，農業就業入口將由2000年74萬人，遞減至2010年51萬8千人，含自然衰減人，合計將減少22萬2千人次，農業人口占全體就業人口比重將由2000年7.8％縮減至2010年5.3％。而相較顧基線預測值，農牧業就業市場將為政策衝擊緅深之部門，入會當年度（2002年）年將釋放出8萬2千人次勞動力，林業及漁業就業人數所受衝擊效果則並不顯著。另就遏年來農業勞動異動統計資料觀察，隨著農業人口加速考化，淨離退之就業人口中，轉業人數不及四成，竑應農業離退人口除凋零外，大多直接退出勞動力，離開職場。而由於農業就業者之從業身份大多為雇主、自營作業者、及無酬家屬工作者等非受雇身份（2000年合計占88.8％），因此非自願性失業發生率相較為低，2000年失業傾向僅佔0.53％。本文利用時間數例資料推故未來十年臺灣農業部門失業傾向，而後結合本文CGE模型所推估之就業人數政策模乾值，計算出臺灣加入WTO後， 2001-2010年間各年度農業失業人數每年學維持在4千人至8千人之間。

　　　　　This paper investigates the impacts of Taiwan's WTO accession on rural labor market. The method adopted in this paper is a two-step approach in the context of the dynamic computable general equilibrium (CGE) analysis. The major finding form our quantitative assessment is that crop and livestock sector is the most vulnerable sector to WTO accession in comparison to other agricultural sector. The employment decrease in this sector is estimated to be above 82,000 during the initial entry year. On the other hand, the impacts of WTO entry on the employment in the fishery and forestry sectors are insignificant. Simulation results show that each year the number of unemployment in the agricultural sector will be about 4,000 to 8,000 during the period of 2001-2010. the main policy implications drawn form our study is two folds. For the aging farmers, the government needs to accelerate its legislation of the pension program or social security system for their retirement. For the younger farmers seeking employment opportunities, job-training programs should be carried out to help them transfer to the service sectors.