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引文資料
題名:
The Paradox of the National Identity Issue in Chen Shui-bian's 2004 Presdential Campaign: Base Constituencies vs. the Moderate Middle
書刊名:
Issues & Studies
作者:
Clark, Cal
出版日期:
2005
卷期:
41:1
頁次:
頁53-86
主題關鍵詞:
Presidential elections
;
Campaign strategy
;
Chen Shui-bian
;
National identity
;
Party competition
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(
3
) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:
3
共同引用:
9
點閱:26
The 2004 presidential election in Taiwan was certainly dramatic: in a bitterly contested race, incumbent President Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) won by the razor-thin margin of 50.1 percent to 49.9 percent. In addition, the issue dynamics of the election took a surprising turn, at least from the perspectives of both political science theory and recent historical trends in Taiwan’s electoral politics. Chen Shui-bian clearly centered his campaign on an appeal to Taiwanese nationalism, seemingly giving more importance to activating his base constituency than to appealing to the moderate middle of less ideologically committed voters. This contradicted the normal tendency of politicians and parties to appeal to the median voter which had marked Taiwan politics during the 1990s, when the major parties moved toward the center on the inter-linked issues of national identity and cross-Strait relations. There appear to be three possible explanations for Chen Shui-bian’s victory. The first is that the outcome was determined by idiosyncratic factors, in particular the failed assassination attempt on President Chen and Vice-President Lu Hsiu-lien on the eve of the election. Second, there is at least some evidence that the growth of a Taiwanese identity has changed both the nature of public opinion on this issue and its political consequences. Finally, President Chen has been fairly skillful in creating strategic ambiguity about his pursuit of Taiwanese nationalism, a skillfulness which almost certainly has helped him at the polls. In combination, these three explanations suggest that appealing to the DPP “base” turned out to be an inspired strategy.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Cheng, Tun-jen(1997)。Taiwan in 1996: From Euphoria to Melodrama。Asian Survey,37,43-51。
2.
Budge, Ian(1993)。Parties, Programs,and Policies: A Comparative and Theoretical Framework。American Review of Politics,14,695-716。
3.
Lin, Jih-wen(200406)。Taiwan's Referendum Act and the Stability of the Status Quo。Issues & Studies,40(2),119-153。
4.
Mattlin, Mikael(200406)。Referendum as a Form of Zaoshi: The Instrumental Domestic Political Functions of Taiwan's Referendum Ploy。Issues & Studies,40(2),155-185。
5.
Rigger, Shelley(2003)。Taiwan in 2002: Another Year of Political Droughts and Typhoons。Asian Survey,43(1),41-48。
6.
Rigger, Shelley(2004)。Taiwan in 2003: Plenty of Clouds, Few Silver Linings。Asian Survey,44(1),182-187。
7.
Fell, Dafydd(2004)。Measurement of Party Position and Party Competition in Taiwan。Issues & Studies,40(3/4),101-136。
8.
Riker, William H.(19821200)。The Two-Party System and Duverger's Law: An Essay on the History of Political Science。American Political Science Review,76(4),753-766。
9.
Hsieh, John Fuh-Sheng、Niou, Emerson M. S.(1996)。Salient Issues in Taiwan's Electoral Politics。Electoral Studies,15(2),219-235。
會議論文
1.
Hsieh, John Fuh(2004)。The March Surprise: Taiwan's Presidential Election of 2004。the Annual Conference of the American Association for Chinese Studies,College of William and Mary 。
2.
Lee, Wei-chin(2004)。Taiwan's 'Cultural Revolution:' Identity Politics and Collective Action Since 2000。the Annual Meeting of the American Political Science Association。Chicago。
研究報告
1.
Fell, Dafydd(2001)。Party Platform Change in Taiwan's 1990s Elections。University of Texas at Austin。
圖書
1.
Rae, Douglas W.、Taylor, Michael(1970)。The Analysis of Political Cleavages。New Haven:Yale University Press。
2.
Grofman, Bernard、Lijphart, Arend(1989)。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press。
3.
Chao, Linda、Myers, Ramon H.(1998)。The First Chinese Democracy: Political Life in the Republic of China。Baltimore:Johns Hopkins University Press。
4.
Clark, Cal(2000)。Asia Update: The 2000 Taiwan Presidential Elections。New York:The Asia Society。
5.
Copper, John F.(2000)。Taiwan's 2000 Presidential and Vice Presidential Election: Consolidating Democracy and Creating a New Era of Politics。Baltimore:University of Maryland, School of Law’s Series in Contemporary Asian Studies。
6.
Copper, John F.(2004)。Taiwan's 2004 Presidential and Vice Presidential Election: Democracy's Consolidation or Devolution?。Baltimore:University of Maryland, School of Law's Series in Contemporaiy Asian Studies。
7.
DeLisle, Jacques(2004)。The Aftermath of Taiwan's Presidential Election: A Symposium Report。Philadelphia:Foreign Policy Research Institute。
8.
Duverger, Maurice(1954)。Political Parties: Their Origin and Activity in the Modern State。New York:John Wiley。
9.
Hood, Steve J.(1997)。The Kuomintang and the Democratization of Taiwan。Boulder, Colo.:Westview。
10.
Gary, Rawnsley(2004)。The Day after the Night Before: Thoughts on the 2004 Presidential Election。Nottingham:Institute for National Policy Research, Taiwan Perspective e-Paper。
11.
Wilensky, Harold L.(2002)。Rich Democracies: Political Economy, Public Policy, and Performance。Berkeley:University of California Press。
12.
Rigger, Shelley(2001)。From Opposition to Power: Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party。Boulder, Colorado:Lynne Rienner Publishers。
13.
Rigger, Shelley(1999)。Politics in Taiwan: Voting for Democracy。Routledge。
14.
Wachman, Alan M.(1994)。Taiwan: National Identity and Democratization。M. E. Sharpe。
15.
Mair, Peter(1997)。Party System Change: Approaches and Interpretations。Oxford:New York:Oxford University Press。
16.
Rae, Douglas W.(1971)。The Political Consequences of Electoral Laws。New Haven, Conn.:Yale University Press。
17.
Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。
18.
Sartori, Giovanni(1976)。Parties and Party Systems: A Framework for Analysis。Cambridge University Press。
19.
Lijphart, Arend(1999)。Patterns of democracy: government forms and performance in thirty-six countries。Yale University Press。
20.
Brown, Melissa J.(2004)。Is Taiwan Chinese? The Impact of Culture, Power, and Migration on Changing Identities。University of California Press。
21.
Gold, Thomas Barton(1986)。State and Society in the Taiwan Miracle。Armonk:M. E. Sharpe。
其他
1.
Chang, Yun-ping(20040229)。Two Million Rally for Peace。
2.
Fang, Riat(20041029)。Conference Explores Paths to Ethnic Harmony。
3.
Huang, Tai-lin(20040315)。Saturday’s Massive March Fills Pan-Blue Sails。
4.
Purdum, Todd S.(200411104)。Electoral Affirmation of Shared Values Provides Bush a Majority,www.nytimes.com。
5.
Rigger, Shelley(2003)。A New Crisis in the Taiwan Strait,www.fpri.org。
6.
(20040227)。Polls Indicated Few Want Status Quo Changed。
7.
Yeh, Lindy(20040321)。Controversial Victory for Chen。
圖書論文
1.
Clark, Cal(2002)。Democratization and the Evolving Nature of Parties, Issues, and Constituencies in the ROC。Taiwan's Modernization in Global Perspective。Westport, Conn:Praeger。
2.
Clark, Cal(2003)。Lee Teng-hui and the Emergence of a Competitive Party System in Taiwan。Sayonara to the Lee Teng-hui Era: Politics in Taiwan, 1988-2000。Lanham, Md:University Press of America。
3.
Hsieh, John Fuh-sheng(2002)。Continuity and Change in Taiwan's Electoral Politics。How Asia Votes。Chatham House Publisher。
4.
Hsieh, John Fuh-sheng(2002)。Whither the Kuomintang?。Assessing the Lee Teng-hui Legacy in Taiwan’s Politics: Democratic Consolidation and External Relations。Armonk, N.Y.:M.E. Sharpe。
5.
Lin, Chia-lung(2001)。National Identity and Taiwan Security。Taiwan's National Security: Dilemmas and Opportunities。Aldershot:Ashgate。
6.
Rigger, Shelley(1999)。Is Taiwan Independence Passe? Public Opinion, Party Platforms, and National Identity in Taiwan。The ROC on the Threshold of the 21st Century: A Paradigm Reexamined。Baltimore:School of Law's Series in Contemporary Asian Studies。
7.
Riker, William H.(1986)。Duverger's Law Revisited。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press。
8.
Wang, T. Y.(2000)。One China, One Taiwan: An Analysis of the Democratic Progressive Party’s China Policy。Taiwan in Perspective。Leiden:Brill。
9.
Cheng, Tun-jen、Hsu, Yung-ming(2002)。The March 2000 Election in Historical and Comparative Perspectives: Strategic Voting, the Third Party, and the Non-Duvergerian Outcome。Assessing the Lee Teng-hui Legacy in Taiwan's Politics: Democratic Consolidation and External Relations。Armonk:M. E. Sharpe。
10.
Sartori, Giovanni(1986)。The Influence of Electoral Systems: Faulty Laws or Faulty Methods?。Electoral Laws and Their Political Consequences。New York:Agathon Press。
11.
Lipset, Seymour M.、Rokkan, S.(1967)。Cleavage Structures, Party Systems, and Voter Alignments: An Introduction。Party Systems and Voter Alignments: Cross-National Perspectives。New York:Free Press。
12.
Ho, S.-Y.,、Liu, I.-C.,(2003)。The Taiwanese/Chinese Identity of the Taiwan People in the 1990’s。Sayonara to the Lee Teng-hui Era: Politics in Taiwan, 1988-2000。University Press of America。
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