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外文摘要
引文資料
題名:
Getting out the Vote: Information and Voting Behavior
書刊名:
經濟論文叢刊
作者:
陳依依
作者(外文):
Chen, Yi-yi
出版日期:
2021
卷期:
49:2
頁次:
頁207-262
主題關鍵詞:
資訊揭露
;
民調
;
造勢
;
策略性投票
;
集體選擇
;
Information revelation
;
Polls
;
Campaigns
;
Strategic voting
;
Collective choice
原始連結:
連回原系統網址
相關次數:
被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
排除自我引用:0
共同引用:
5
點閱:1
本文以實驗方法,探究資訊對Palfrey-Rosenthal關鍵投票者模型(簡稱PR模型)中的投票行為的影響。作者比較完全資訊情境和部分資訊情境:前者為受試者知道每一政黨的基本盤大小,後者為受試者知道某一政黨基本盤大小,而另一政黨基本盤大小,受試者僅知其機率。兩發現如下:第一,部分資訊情境下,當知悉某政黨為小基本盤時,受試者相信自己是關鍵投票者的機率會高於理論值,使其投票率增加,不低於其在完全資訊情境的投票率。第二,完全資訊情境下,當受試者支持的政黨為大基本盤時,受試者投票率會增加,顯著高於其相信自己為關鍵投票者的機率下的最適反應;PR模型結合厭惡失望效果可解釋此行為。
以文找文
This paper experimentally examines the effects of information on voter turnout in the Palfrey-Rosenthal pivotal voter (PR) model. In particular, I compare two different degrees of information revelation: one is that voters know each party's support base (complete information scenario), and the other is that voters know one party's support base but are limited to knowing the probability of the support base of the other party (partial information scenario). There are two main findings. First, in the partial information scenario with a revelation of a weak support base, subjects tend to have a higher belief in being pivotal than theory predicts, which causes their turnout rate to be not lower than those in the corresponding complete information scenario. Second, in the complete information scenario, turnout of the subjects of the frontrunner party is significantly higher than the subjects' best response to their pivotal belief, which can be explained by a PR model incorporating the generalized disappointment aversion effect.
以文找文
期刊論文
1.
Gul, Faruk(1991)。A Theory of Disappointment Aversion。Econometrica,59(3),667-686。
2.
Palfrey, Thomas R.、Rosenthal, Howard(1985)。Voter Participation and Strategic Uncertainty。American Political Science Review,79(1),62-78。
3.
Abdellaoui, Mohammed、Bleichrodt, Han、Paraschiv, Corina(2007)。Loss aversion under prospect theory: a parameter-free measurement。Management Science,53(10),1659-1674。
4.
Fischbacher, Urs(2007)。z-Tree: Zurich toolbox for ready-made economic experiments。Experimental Economics,10(2),171-178。
5.
Mattlin, Mikael(20040600)。Referendum as a Form of Zaoshi: The Instrumental Domestic Political Functions of Taiwan's Referendum Ploy。Issues & Studies,40(2),155-185。
6.
Kőszegi, Botond、Rabin, Matthew(2006)。A model of reference-dependent preferences。The Quarterly Journal of Economics,121(4),1133-1165。
7.
Tversky, Amos、Kahneman, Daniel(1992)。Advances in prospect theory: Cumulative representation of uncertainty。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,5(4),297-323。
8.
Agranov, Marina、Goeree, Jacob K.、Romero, Julian、Yariv, Leeat(2018)。What Makes Voters Turn Out: The Effects of Polls and Beliefs。Journal of the European Economic Association,16(3),825-856。
9.
Bonomo, Marco、Garcia, René、Meddahi, Nour、Tédongap, Roméo(2011)。Generalized Disappointment Aversion, Long-run Volatility Risk, and Asset Prices。Review of Financial Studies,24(1),82-122。
10.
Chapman, David A.、Polkovnichenko, Valery(2009)。First-Order Risk Aversion, Heterogeneity, and Asset Market Outcomes。Journal of Finance,64(4),1863-1887。
11.
Clark, Cal(2004)。Taiwan's 2004 Presidential Election: The End of Chen Shui-bian's "Strategic Ambiguity" on Cross-Strait Relations?。East Asia,21(4),25-37。
12.
Duffy, John、Tavits, Margit(2008)。Beliefs and Voting Decisions: A Test of the Pivotal Voter Model。American Journal of Political Science,52(3),603-618。
13.
Etchart-Vincent, Nathalie(2004)。Is Probability Weighting Sensitive to the Magnitude of Consequences? An Experimental Investigation on Losses。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,28(3),217-235。
14.
Fennema, Hein、van Assen, Marcel(1998)。Measuring the Utility of Losses by Means of the Tradeoff Method。Journal of Risk and Uncertainty,17(3),277-296。
15.
Großer, Jens、Schram, Arthur(2010)。Public Opinion Polls, Voter Turnout, and Welfare: An Experimental Study。American Journal of Political Science,54(3),700-717。
16.
Karni, Edi(2009)。A Mechanism for Eliciting Probabilities。Econometrica,77(2),603-606。
17.
Kartal, Melis(2015)。Laboratory Elections with Endogenous Turnout: Proportional Representation versus Majoritarian Rule。Experimental Economics,18(3),366-384。
18.
Klor, Esteban F.、Winter, Eyal(2007)。The Welfare Effects of Public Opinion Polls。International Journal of Game Theory,35(3),379-394。
19.
Kőszegi, Botond、Rabin, Matthew(2007)。Reference-Dependent Risk Attitudes。American Economic Review,97(4),1047-1073。
20.
Levine, David K.、Palfrey, Thomas R.(2007)。The Paradox of Voter Participation? A Laboratory Study。American Political Science Review,101(1),143-158。
21.
Liu, Hening、Miao, Jianjun(2015)。Growth Uncertainty, Generalized Disappointment Aversion and Production-based Asset Pricing。Journal of Monetary Economics,69,70-89。
22.
McKelvey, Richard D.、Palfrey, Thomas R.(1995)。Quantal Response Equilibria for Normal Form Games。Games and Economic Behavior,10(1),6-38。
23.
Routledge, Bryan R.、Zin, Stanley E.(2010)。Generalized Disappointment Aversion and Asset Prices。Journal of Finance,65(4),1303-1332。
24.
Schunk, Daniel、Betsch, Cornelia(2006)。Explaining Heterogeneity in Utility Functions by Individual Differences in Decision Modes。Journal of Economic Psychology,27(3),386-401。
25.
Abdellaoui, Mohammed(2000)。Parameter-Free Elicitation of Utility and Probability Weighting Functions。Management Science,46(11),1497-1512。
圖書
1.
Morton, Rebecca B.(2006)。Analyzing Elections。New York:W. W. Norton and Company。
2.
Luce, R. Duncan(1959)。Individual choice behavior: A theoretical analysis。John Wiley & Sons。
3.
Downs, Anthony(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper & Row。
圖書論文
1.
McFadden, Daniel L.(1974)。Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior。Frontiers in Econometrics。Academic Press。
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