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題名:最低收益保證對於國民年金基金之資產配置的影響:隨機線性規劃方法之應用
書刊名:臺大管理論叢
作者:周國端吳志遠
作者(外文):Jou, David G.Wu, Chihyuan
出版日期:2005
卷期:16:1
頁次:頁67-92
主題關鍵詞:退休金隨機規劃資產配置保證資產負債管理PensionStochastic programmingAsset allocationGuaranteeALM
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(1) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:6
  • 點閱點閱:42
行政院版之國民年金草案有二個特點,一是提供最低收益保證,二是個人、地方及中央政府之保險費分攤比例受到個人的所得狀態與健康狀態影響。本研究主要是討論最低收益保證對於國民年金基金之最適資產配置決策的影響。本文研究方法有二,第一,採用線性隨機規劃方法來描述資產配置最適化問題,並求得各期之資產配置金額的最佳解。第二,以Copula方法來描述所得狀態與健康狀態的相關性,建立國民年金基金之負債面現金流量模型。本研究發現,(1)健康狀態與所得狀態之相關性,不影響整體現金流量金額;(2)最低收益保證要求同時降低投資風險及預期投資績效;(3)交易成本使得動態調整資產配置比例策略的投資報酬率不一定優於固定資產配置比例策略。
Two outstanding characteristics of the National Pension Program (NPP) proposed by the ROC Executive Yuan are: the minimum return rate guarantee and the differential premium shares in accordance to a person's income level and health conditions. This report focuses on assessing the effects of minimal return reate guarantee on NPP's optimum asset allocation decision. The research is conducted in two ways. First, the asset allocation decision process is examined through linear stochastic proramming approach, under the assumptions of dynamic asset allocation capability, minimal return rate guarantee, and other investment constrains. The optimal solutions of the process can then be determined. Second, the Copula function approach is used to obtain the co-variations between income level and health conditions in order to establish the liability cash flow model for the National Pension Program. The result of our analytical exercises reveals that, (1) the correlation assumptions between income level and health conditions have on visible effect on total NPP cash flow; (2) the minimal return rate guarantee could decrease both the investment risk and expected return as well; (3) due to the existence of transaction costs, the dynamic asset allocation strategy does not always outperform the fixed-ratio asset allocation strategy.
期刊論文
1.Konno, H.、Yamazaki, H.(1991)。Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model and its applications to Tokyo stock market。Management Science,37(5),519-531。  new window
2.Pennacchi, G. G.(1999)。The Value of Guarantees on Pension Fund Returns。Journal of Risk and Insurance,66,219-237。  new window
3.黃介良、李翎竹、陳秋蓉(20040100)。投資收益保證制度之探討--以退撫基金為例。證券市場發展,15(4)=60,37-68。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
5.周國端(20050600)。臺灣社會保險制度之實證研究--財富重分配效果分析。臺大管理論叢,15(2),43-70。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Pennacchi, G. G.、Lewis, C. M.(1994)。The Value of Pension Benefit Guaranty Corporation Insurance。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,26(3),735-756。  new window
7.陳炤良(2000)。退休基金保證成本之估計-針對薪資相關、雇主提撥之確定給付退休金計劃。證券市場發展季刊,12(3),141-162。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.Konno, H.、Wijayanayake, A.(1999)。Mean-absolute deviation portfolio optimization model under transaction costs。Journal of the Operations Research Society of Japan,42(4),422-435。  new window
9.Perold, A. F.(1984)。Large-scale portfolio optimization。Management Science,30(10),1143-1160。  new window
10.吳志遠、李文朗、周國端(2004)。所得狀態之變動機率的估計-臺灣經驗的解析。管理與系統,11(3),279-292。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.Turner, J. A.(2001)。Rate-of-Return Guarantees for Defined Contribution Plans。Benefits Quarterly,17(1),46-53。  new window
12.Arber, S.、Cooper, H.(1999)。Gender Difference in Health in Later Life: The New Paradox?。Social Science & Medicine,48(1),61-76。  new window
13.Breslow, L.、Breslow, N.(1993)。Health Practices and Disability: Some Evidence from Alameda County。Preventive Medicine,22,86-95。  new window
14.張國華、陳香如、劉昌昱(2002)。投資組合之隨機規劃模式。工業工程學刊,19(3),31-41。  延伸查詢new window
15.Carino, D. R.、Ziemba, W. T.(1998)。Formulation of Russell-Yasuda Kasai Financial Planning Model。Operations Research,46(4),433-449。  new window
16.Carino, D. R.、Myers, D. H.、Ziemba, W. T.(1998)。Concepts, Technical Issues, and Uses of the Russell-Yasuda Kasai Financial Planning Model。Operations Research,46(4),450-462。  new window
17.Kouwenberg, R.(2001)。Scenario Generation and Stochastic Programming Models for Asset Liability Management。European Journal of Operational Research,134(2),279-292。  new window
18.Menchik, P.(1993)。Economic Status as a Determinant of Mortality among Nonwhite and White Older Males: Or, Does Poverty Kill?。Population Studies,47(3),427-436。  new window
19.Mulvey, J. M.、Valdimirou, H.(1992)。Stochastic Network Programming for Financial Planning Problems。Management Science,38(11),1642-1664。  new window
20.Rogers, R. G.(1992)。Living and Dying in the U. S. A.: Sociodemographic Determinants of Death among Blacks and Whites。Demography,29(2),287-303。  new window
研究報告
1.行政院經濟建設委員會(2002)。中華民國臺灣地區民國91年至140年人口推計。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
2.中華民國行政院主計處、行政院經濟建設委員會(2002)。中華民國九十一年臺灣地區人力運用調查報告。臺北市:行政院主計處。  延伸查詢new window
3.中華民國內政部統計處(2003)。中華民國九十年度臺閩地區簡易生命表。內政部統計處。  延伸查詢new window
4.Feinstein, J. S.(1993)。Elderly Health, Housing, and Mobility。0。  new window
學位論文
1.朱延明(2001)。台灣退休基金國際資產配置程序之研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳嘉慶(1998)。退休基金之資產配置,沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.符寶玲(1999)。退休基金制度與管理。臺北:華秦書局。  延伸查詢new window
2.Elton, Edwin J.、Gruber, Martin J.(1995)。Modern Portfolio Theory and Investment Analysis。John Wiley and Sons, Inc.。  new window
3.Dert, C. L.(1998)。A Dynamic Model for Asset Liability Management for Defined Bedefit Pension Funds。Worldwide Asset and Liability Modeling。Cambridge, UK/ New York, NY。  new window
4.Ziemba, W. T.、Mulvey, J. M.(1998)。Worldwide Asset and Liability Modeling。Cambridge University Press。  new window
其他
1.行政院戶口普查處(2001)。中華民國八十九年臺閩地區戶口及住宅普查報告,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.Carino, D. R.、Kent, T.、Myers, D. H.、Stacy, C.、Sylvanus, M.、Turber, A. L.、Watanabe, K.、Ziemba, William T.(1998)。The Russell-Yasuda Kasai Model: An Asset/liability Model for a Japanese Insurance Company Using Multistage Stochastic Programming。Worldwide Asset and Liability Modeling。Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Consigli, G.、Dempster, M. A. H.(1998)。The CALM Stochastic Programming Model for Dynamic Asset-liability Management。Worldwide Asset and Liability Modeling。Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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