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題名:臺灣股票市場波動性與總體經濟波動性關係之研究
書刊名:東海管理評論
作者:蕭慧玲黃勁豪
作者(外文):Shiao, Huey-lingHwang, Chin-hou
出版日期:2002
卷期:4:1
頁次:頁27-54
主題關鍵詞:個股波動性分解法總體經濟波動性Firm-level volatilityDisaggregated approachMacroeconomics volatility
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:7
  • 點閱點閱:21
本研究的主旨在探討臺灣股市波動性,以及影響臺灣股市波動性之因子。尤其是個股波動性相對市場與產業波動性之變化與總體經濟波動性對臺灣股市波動性之影響更是本研究的重點。本研究根據Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel and Xu (2001)提出的分解法(disaggregated approach)檢視臺灣股票市場中,個股之波動相對於市場與產業的波動性是否有顯著之增加。其次觀察總體經濟變數,即利率、通貨膨脹率、貨幣供給額、工業生產力、及匯率,對股票市場波動之影響。本研究其發現市場與公司層級波動的變異程度較產業層級波動為大。市場波動、產業波動與公司層級波動,幾乎只受本身落後值的影響,而不受總體經濟變數波動性落後期的影響。臺灣股票市場的風險,在同時期受到總體經濟波動性一定程度之影響。
This study examines the relation of stock market volatility and macroeconomics volatility in Taiwan. According to Campbell, Lettau, Malkiel and Xu (2001), this paper uses a disaggregated approach to study the volatility of common stocks at the market, industry, and firm levels. Over the period 1981-2000 there has been a noticeable increase in firm-level volatility relative to market volatility. Secondly, we want to verify the effects of macroeconomics variables-rates, exchanges rates, money supply, industry productivity and inflations can affect the stock market volatility or not. We found that the volatility of market, industry and firm level was effected by its own lagged value, and by nothing to do with the macroeconomics variables. But the stock volatility was affect by macroeconomics variable’s contemporaneous value.
期刊論文
1.Davidian, M.、Carroll, R. J.(1987)。Variance Function Estimation。Journal of American Statistical Association,82,1079-1091。  new window
2.Dhakil, D.、Kandil, M.、Sharma, S. C.(1993)。Causality Between The Money Supply and Share Prices。Quarterly Journal of Business and Economics,32,53-71。  new window
3.Duffee, G. R.(1995)。Stock Returns and Volatility: A Firm-Level Analysis。Journal of Financial Economics,37,399-420。  new window
4.French, Kenneth R.、Schwert, G. W.、Stambaugh, R.(1987)。Excepted Stock Returns and Volatility。Journal of Financial Economics,19,3-30。  new window
5.Glejser, H.(1969)。A New Test For Heteroskedasticity。Journal of the American Statistical Association,64(325),316-323。  new window
6.Fortune, P.(1989)。An Assessment of Financial Market Volatility: Bills, Bonds, and Stocks。New England Economic Review,1989(Nov.),13-28。  new window
7.Hamilton, J. D.、Lin, G.(1996)。Stock Market Volatility and The Business Cycle。Journal of Applied Econometrics,11,573-593。  new window
8.Koutmos, G.(1999)。Asymmetric Price and Volatility Adjustments In Emerging Asian Stock Markets。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,26(1/2),83-101。  new window
9.Liljeblom, E.、Stenius, M.(1997)。Macroeconomic Volatility and Stock Market Volatility: Empirical Evidence on Finnish Data。Applied Financial Economics,7,419-426。  new window
10.Merton, R. C.(1980)。On Estimating the Excepted Return on the Market: An Exploratory Investigation。Journal of Financial Economics,8,323-361。  new window
11.Officer, R. R.(1973)。The Variability of the Market Factor of New York Stock Exchange。Journal of Business,46,434-453。  new window
12.鄒孟文(19931200)。臺灣股價指數與貨幣供給之因果關係檢定。臺灣經濟金融月刊,29(12)=347,26-34。  延伸查詢new window
13.Fleming, J.、Kirby, C.、Ostdiek, B.(1998)。Information and Volatility Linkages in the Stock, Bond, and Money Markets。Journal of Financial Economics,49,111-137。  new window
14.黃德芬(19951000)。臺灣股票市場波動性之研究。證券市場發展,7(4)=28,157-184。new window  延伸查詢new window
15.Hardouvelis, Gikas A.(1990)。Margin requirements, volatility, and the transitory component of stock prices。American Economic Review,80(4),736-762。  new window
16.Schwert, G. W.(1990)。Stock Market Volatility。Financial Analysts Journal,46(3),23-34。  new window
17.Sill, D. K.(1993)。Predicting Stock: Market Volatility。Business Review--Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia,1993(Jan./Feb.),15-28。  new window
18.Campbell, John Y.、Lettau, Martin、Malkiel, Burton G.、Xu, Yexiao(2001)。Have Individual Stocks Become More Volatile? An Empirical Exploration of Idiosyncratic Risk。Journal of Finance,56(1),1-43。  new window
19.Schwert, G. William(1989)。Why Does Stock Market Volatility Change Over Time?。Journal of Finance,44(5),1115-1153。  new window
20.Newey, Whitney K.、West, Kenneth D.(1994)。Automatic Lag Selection in Covariance Matrix Estimation。Review of Economic Studies,61(4),631-653。  new window
學位論文
1.李秀雯(1998)。股票市場波動性與總體經濟波動性及市場交易量之關係(碩士論文)。淡江大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳功業(1998)。台灣股票市場波動性之研究(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.許文成(1996)。臺灣股票市場波動性之衡量及其影響因子之探討(碩士論文)。國立中山大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.楊晴華(2000)。影響股巿波動因素之研究--以台灣股巿為例(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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