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題名:開放平盤以下放空與現股當沖對效率市場之影響:臺灣股市之實證
書刊名:會計與財金研究
作者:洪瑞成 引用關係王偉權 引用關係紀佳芳
作者(外文):Hung, Jui-chengWang, Wei-chuanChi, Chia-fang
出版日期:2014
卷期:7:2
頁次:頁43-69
主題關鍵詞:弱式效率市場變異數比率檢定多重變異數比率檢定Weak-form efficient marketVariance ratio testsMultiple variance ratio tests
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:20
  • 點閱點閱:5
自2008年金融海嘯與2009年的歐債危機後,全世界的金融市場陷入空前低迷,經濟狀況趨向悲觀,台灣股市也無法幸免於難。金管會為了刺激經濟,振興台灣股市,分別於2013年9月23日施行了平盤以下可放空股票以及2014年1月6日開放現股當沖的兩項新政策,期望能提升台灣股市的成交量,帶動整體經濟情勢向上攀升,促使經濟能逐漸好轉。本文使用了Lo and Mackinlay(1998)的參數型變異數比率檢定,接著以Wright(2000)以rank與sign為基礎之非參數變異數比率檢定,最後以Chow and Denning(1993)之多重變異數比率來檢定,並針對此兩項新制度施行的前後三個月對市場效率的影響。由實證結果得知,在此兩項新制度施行後,約有五成的股票顯示由拒絕弱效率市場假說轉為接受此假說,尤以電子類股更加明顯。由此可知,當開放帄盤以下可放空股票與現股當沖後,對於部份的股票市場效率性的確有所提升。
After the 2008 financial tsunami and 2009 European debt crisis, financial markets and economies around the world sank into depression and the Taiwan stock market is unable to get away from this situation as well. To stimulate the economy and invigorate the stock market, the financial authority in Taiwan revoked the short selling restriction on Sep 23, 2013 and implemented day trading on Jan 6, 2014, expecting these policies can promote the volume of stock market so as to push forward the economy. This study uses the parametric variance ratio test of Lo and Mackinlay (1998), the multiple variance ratio test of Chow and Denning (1993), and the rank- and size-based nonparametric variance ratio test of Wright (2000) to examine the impacts of these two policies on the market efficiency. The empirical results indicate that the weak-form efficient market hypothesis, originally rejected before the policies are implemented, is accepted for 50% stocks after the policies are implemented. This evidence is more significant for those in electrical sector. This implies that the market efficiency is gradually improved by these two policies.
期刊論文
1.詹司如、林靖中、郭玟秀(20080700)。平盤以下可融券賣出對股票價格行為之影響。經濟與管理論叢,4(2),203-228。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Lee, S. B.、Chung, J. S.(1996)。Price Limits and Stock Market Efficiency。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,23(4),585-601。  new window
3.Belaire-Franch, J.、Opong, K. K.(2005)。Some Evidence of Random Walk Behavior of Euro Exchange Rates using Ranks and Signs。Journal of Banking and Finance,29(7),1631-1643。  new window
4.Belaire-Franch, J.、Opong, K. K.(2005)。A Variance Ratio Test of the Behaviour of Some FTSE Equity Indices using Ranks and Signs。Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,24,93-107。  new window
5.Campbell, B.、Dufour, J. M.(1997)。Exact Nonparametric Tests of Orthogonality and Random Walk in the Presence of a Drift Parameter。International Economic Review,38,151-173。  new window
6.Lo, A. W.、Mackinlay, A. C.(1989)。The Size and Power Variance Ratio test in Finite Samples: A Monte Carlo Investigation。Journal of Econometrics,40,203-238。  new window
7.Luger, R.(2003)。Exact Non-parametric Tests for a Random Walk with Unknown Drift under Conditional Heteroskedasticity。Journal of Econometrics,115,259-276。  new window
8.Wright, J. H.(2000)。Alternative Variance-ratio Tests using Ranks and Signs。Journal of Business & Economic Statistics,18(1),1-9。  new window
9.許溪南、王耀斌、洪銓(20110500)。臺灣股票市場成分波動性之分解、趨勢與影響因素。中華管理評論,14(2),(6)0-(6)27。  延伸查詢new window
10.Kim, J. H.、Shamsuddin, A.(2008)。Are Asian stock markets efficient? Evidence from new multiple variance ratio tests。Journal of Empirical Finance,15(3),518-532。  new window
11.Jarque, C. M.、Bera, A. K.(1987)。A Test for Normality of Observations and Regression Residuals。International Statistical Review,55(2),163-172。  new window
12.黃德芬(19951000)。臺灣股票市場波動性之研究。證券市場發展,7(4)=28,157-184。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.胡星陽、梁敏芳(19950100)。漲跌幅限制與臺灣股票市場波動。證券市場發展,7(1)=25,1-25。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Chow, K. V.、Denning, K. C.(1993)。A simple multiple variance ratio test。Journal of Econometrics,58(3),385-401。  new window
15.Liu, Christina Y.、He, Jia(1991)。A Variance-Ratio Test of Random Walks in Foreign Exchange Rates。Journal of Finance,46(2),773-785。  new window
16.Alexander, G. J.、Peterson, M. A.(1999)。Short Selling on the New York Stock Exchange and the Effect of the Uptick Rule。Journal of Financial Intermediation,8(1/2),90-116。  new window
17.Demirguc-Kunt, A.、Maksimovic, V.(1996)。Stock Market Development and Financing Choices of Firms。World Bank Economic Review,10(2),341-369。  new window
18.Lee, S. B.、Chung, J. S.(1998)。The Effect of Market Transparency: Volatility and Liquidity in Korean Stock Market。Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting,11,23-35。  new window
19.洪瑞成、劉洪鈞、顏偉倫(20080500)。延時交易對臺股指數效率性的影響--變異數比率檢定之應用。輔仁管理評論,15(2),41-59。new window  延伸查詢new window
20.Fama, Eugene F.(1970)。Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work。The Journal of Finance,25(2),383-417。  new window
21.Lo, Andrew W.、MacKinlay, A. Craig(1988)。Stock market prices do not follow random walks: Evidence from a simple specification test。Review of Financial Studies,1(1),41-66。  new window
會議論文
1.陳樹(2013)。台灣證券市場發展所面臨之挑戰。金融與經濟政策研討會。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Belaire-Franch, J.、Contreras, D.(2004)。Ranks and Signs-based Multiple Variance Ratio Tests。University of Valencia。  new window
學位論文
1.劉宏亮(2008)。台灣50指數成分股取消融券價格限制對指數商品間價格發現之影響(碩士論文)。國立臺灣科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.郭晃庭(2007)。股市交易制度變動對市場衝擊之研究--以台灣的漲跌幅制度、競價撮合制度與庫藏股制度為例(碩士論文)。國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.張美燕(2006)。股價升降級距與最佳五檔揭示對股市的影響(碩士論文)。中原大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.馬黛(1993)。台灣股市波動因素及穩定措施之研究--停板限制、信用交易保證金及證交稅對股市波動性之影響。台灣股市結構與制度。中華民國管理科學學會。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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