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題名:不動產估價人員之價值探索過程:估價程序與參考點的選擇
書刊名:建築與規劃學報
作者:洪鴻智 引用關係張能政
作者(外文):Hung, Hung-chihChang, Neing-chung
出版日期:2006
卷期:7:1
頁次:頁71-90
主題關鍵詞:不動產估價交易價格比較估價程序偏離探索程序偏差BiasComparable transition valueDepartures from normative appraisal processHeuristic processProperty appraisal
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(1) 專書(1) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:47
  • 點閱點閱:84
本文主要目的乃從行為理論觀點,分析不動產估價人員在估價過程的行為特性與不同影響因素間的關係。透過估價過程參與觀察及問卷訪談法,及同時應用卡方檢定與Mann-Whitney U檢定。結果皆呈現資深估價者在選擇估價參考點,有顯著選擇非交易價格之傾向,然不管對於區域是否熟悉或作業時間的長短,對估價參考點的選擇偏好皆無顯著不同。在估價程序選取上,估價者資歷之深淺無顯著差異。然區域熟悉度與作業時間長短,皆顯著影響估價程序的選擇。另從logit模型的估計成果,發現影響估價者是否選擇標準估價程序的主要因素為:客戶的期待價格、參考點選擇方式、作業時間、區域熟悉度與交易價格比較案例相關資訊蒐集的困難與不確定性。
The main purpose of this article is applying behavioral theory to investigate the valuer's behavioral characteristics in the appraisal process, and to examine the relationship between the decision-making process of process and its influential factors. A process tracing questionnaires survey was conducted in the empirical analysis. In selecting appraisal reference points, both the χ2 test and Mann-Whitney U test statistic reveal evidences that expert appraisers have a significant tendency to choose the non-transition value. However, the results reveal that the level of geographical familiarity and the time spent on the appraisal procedure do not have significant relationship with reference point choice. On the other hand, the senior and junior appraisers may have the same inclination in choosing appraisal procedure. The results also show that the appraisal procedure choice has great divergence with appraiser's geographically familiar and their appraisal operation time. The results of logit analysis present the main factors that would affect appraisers in the determination of selecting appraisal procedure are client's feedback effects, reference point choice, time for operation, level with geographically familiar, and the information collection process.
期刊論文
1.Levy, Deborah、Schuck, Edward(1999)。The influence of clients on valuations。Journal of Property Investment and Finance,17(4),380-400。  new window
2.Wolverton, M. and P. Gallimore, P.(1999)。“Client feedback and the role of the appraiser,”。Journal of Real Estate Research,18,415-432。  new window
3.Kinnard, William N.、Lenk, Margarita M.、Worzala, Elaine M.(1997)。Client Pressure in the Commercial Appraisal Industry: How Prevalent Is It?。Journal of Property Valuation and Investment,15(3),233-244。  new window
4.Gallimore, Paul、Wolverton, Marvin L.(1997)。Price-knowledge-induced Bias: a Cross-cultural Comparison。Journal of Property Valuation and Investment,15(3),261-273。  new window
5.Geltner, D.(1989)。Bias in Appraisal-Based Returns。Journal of the American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association,17(3),338-352。  new window
6.Northcraft, G.、Neale, M.(1987)。Experts, amateurs, and real estate: An anchoring perspective on property pricing decisions。Organization Behavior and Human Decision Processes,39(1),84-87。  new window
7.Coakley, J.(1994)。The integration of property and financial markets。Environment and Planning A,26(5),697-713。  new window
8.Kummerow, M.(1997)。Logical steps in property valuation。The Appraisal Journal,65,25-31。  new window
9.Diaz , J.III(1990)。How appraisers do their work: A test of the appraisal process and the development of a descriptive model。Journal of Real Estate Research,5,1-15。  new window
10.Black, R.T. and Dia.z, J.III(1996)。“The use of information versus asking price in the real property negotiation process,”。Journal of Property Research,13,287-297。  new window
11.Diaz, J.(1997)。An Investigation into the Impact of Previous Expert Value Estimate on Appraisal Judgment。Journal of Real Estate Research,13(1),57-66。  new window
12.Diaz, J.、Wolverton, M. L.(1998)。A Longitudinal Examination of the Appraisal Smoothing Hypothesis。Real Estate Economics,26(2),349-358。  new window
13.周賓凰、池祥萱、周冠男、龔怡霖(2002)。行為財務學--文獻回顧與展望。證券市場發展季刊,14(2)=54,1-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
14.Kahneman, D.、Tversky, A.(1979)。Prospect theory: An analysis of decision under risk。Econometrica,47(2),263-291。  new window
15.Diaz, Julian III(1999)。The first decade of behavioral research in the discipline of property。Journal of Property Investment and Finance,17(4),326-332。  new window
16.Rosen, Sherwin(1974)。Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition。Journal of Political Economy,82(1),34-55。  new window
17.Black, R.T., Brown, M.G, Diaz, J.III. , Gibler, K.M. and Grisson, T.V. ,(2003)。Behavioral research in real estate: A search for the boundaries。Journal of Real Estate Practice and Education,6,85-112。  new window
18.Diaz, J.III(1990)。“The process of selecting comparable sales。The Appraisal Journal,58,533-540。  new window
19.Diaz, J.III and Hansz, J. A.(1997)。“How valuers use the value options of others,”。Journal of Property valuation and Investment,15,256-260。  new window
20.Gallimore, P.(1994)。Aspects of information processing in valuation judgement and choice。Journal of Property Research,11(2),97-110。  new window
21.Gallimore, P.(1996)。“Confirmation bias in the valuation process: A test for corroborating evidence,”。Journal of Property Research,13,261-273。  new window
22.Gallimore, P. and Wolverton, M.(2000)。“The objective in valuation: A study of the influence of client feedback,”。Journal of Property Research,17,47-57。  new window
23.Quan, D.C. and Quigley, J.M.(1991)。“Price formation on the appraisal function in real estate market,”。Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics,4,127-146。  new window
24.Smith, H.C.(1986)。“Inconsistencies in appraisal theory and practice,”。The Journal of Real Estate Research,1,1-17。  new window
25.Tversky, A.、Kahneman, D.(1974)。Judgment and Uncertainty: Heuristics and biases。Science,185(4157),1124-1131。  new window
26.William, H.III,(1999)。“Behavioral research into heuristics and bias as an academic pursuit: Lessons from other disciplines and implications for real estate,”。Journal of Property Investment and Finance,17,333-352。  new window
27.Whipple, R.T.M.(1992)。“Valuations: A problem-solving perspective,”。The Valuer and Land Economist,32,18-22。  new window
會議論文
1.李易璇、陳奉瑤(2005)。「不動產估價科學嗎?心中有價行為與偏誤之研究」。台中。  延伸查詢new window
2.洪鴻智(2001)。不動產投資與風險分析。台北。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Diaz, J.Ill and Hansz, J.A.(2000)。“The use of reference points in valuation judgment,”。  new window
2.Einhorn, H.J. and Hogarth, R.M.(1985)。“A contrast/surprise model for updating beliefs,”。  new window
學位論文
1.張能政(2004)。不動產估價行為研究--行為理論之應用(碩士論文)。國立臺北大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Rothenberg, J., Galster, G.C., Butler, R.V. and Pitkin, JR.(1991)。Maze of Urban Housing Markets。Chicago:The University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Evans, J.(1989)。Biases in Human Reasoning: Causes and Consequences。Nillsdale, NJ:Erlbaum。  new window
3.Bloom, G.E and Harrison, H.S.(1978)。Appraising the Single Family Residence。Chicago:American Institute of Real Estate Appraiser。  new window
4.Simon, Herbert A.(1957)。Models of man: social and rational, mathematical essays on rational human behavior in society setting。New York, NY:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
圖書論文
1.Simon, H.(1978)。“Information-processing theory of human problem solving,”。Handbook of Learning and Cognitive Process (Vol.5)。Hillsdale NJ:Erlbaum。  new window
 
 
 
 
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