The U.S. Balancing Role in Cross-Strait Relations: The Irony of "Muddling Through"_

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題名：	The U.S. Balancing Role in Cross-Strait Relations: The Irony of "Muddling Through"
書刊名：	Issues & Studies
作者：	Clark, Cal
出版日期：	2006
卷期：	42:3
頁次：	頁129-163
主題關鍵詞：	Cross-strait relations；U.S. foreign policy；Muddling through；Two-level game；Chen Shui-bian
原始連結：	連回原系統網址
相關次數：	被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0) 排除自我引用:6 共同引用:9 點閱:24

This paper provides a conceptualization of cross-Strait relations during the first decade of the twenty-first century. In particular, it traces the path by which the Bush administration came to play a balancing role in cross-Strait relations. As will be seen, there is more than a little irony about the current state of cross-Strait relations. First, the Bush administration's policy toward the conflict between China and Taiwan has been measured and primarily reactive, in contrast to its aggressive initiatives elsewhere, suggesting a policy of "muddling through." Second, President George W. Bush has evidently become upset with President Chen Shui-bian on several occasions for acting like, well, President Bush: appealing to his base constituency and being "bold" in foreign affairs. Finally and more analytically, a policy of muddling through (which can be discerned in Beijing and Taipei as well as in Washington) does not imply very good policymaking, especially in such a vital area as the relations between Taiwan and China. Yet, at least so far, muddling through seems to have worked tolerably well in the sense that crises in cross-Strait relations have been defused and that they now appear fairly stable, despite the fundamental disagreement between Beijing and Taipei over Taiwan's sovereignty.

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期刊論文
1.	吳玉山(20060300)。Domestic Political Competition and Triangular Interaction Among Washington, Beijing, and Taipei: The U.S. China Policy。Issues and Studies，42(1)，1-46。
2.	Dittmer, Lowell(200407)。Taiwan and the Issue of National Identity。Asian Survey，44(4)，475-483。
3.	Brown, Deborah A.(2001)。Taiwan's 2000 Presidential Election and Cross-Strait Relations。American Asian Review，19(1)，55-107。
4.	Chan, Steve(1996)。Peace by Pieces? The Economic and Social Bases for 'Greater China'。American Asian Review，14(2)，35-50。
5.	Clark, Cal、Clark, Janet(2005)。Parallels in the Political Dynamics in Taiwan and the United States。American Journal of Chinese Studies，12(1)，103-124。
6.	Putnam, Robert D.(1988)。Diplomatic and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games。International Organization，42(3)，427-460。
7.	Rigger, Shelley(200301)。Taiwan in 2002: Another Year of Political Drought and Typhoons。Asian Survey，43(1)，41-48。
8.	Christensen, Thomas J.(2002)。The Contemporary Security Dilemma: Deterring a Taiwan Conflict。The Washington Quarterly，25(4)，7-21。
9.	Tung, Chen-yuan(200505)。An Assessment of China's Taiwan Policy Under the Third Generation Leadership。Asian Survey，45(3)，343-361。
10.	Chu, Yun-han(2004)。Taiwan's National Identity Politics and the Prospect of Cross-Strait Relations。Asian Survey，44(4)，484-512。
11.	Lindblom, Charles Edward(1959)。The Science of "Muddling Through"。Public Administration Review，19(2)，79-88。

會議論文
1.	Sutter, Robert G.(2002)。Evaluating the George W. Bush Administration's Policy Toward Beijing and Taipei。Conference on Taiwan and the World，University of South Carolina 。
2.	Sutter, Robert G.(2005)。Bush Administration Taiwan Policy: Preserving Stability。Conference on Reframing Taiwan，University of South Carolina 。

圖書
1.	Zheng, Yong-nian(1999)。Discovering Chinese Nationalism in China: Modernization, Identity and International Relations。Cambridge University Press。
2.	Rigger, Shelley(2003)。New Crisis in the Taiwan Strait。Foreign Policy Research Institute E-Notes。
3.	Clark, Cal(2000)。Asia Update: The 2000 Taiwan Presidential Elections。New York：The Asia Society。
4.	Copper, John F.(2000)。Taiwan's 2000 Presidential and Vice Presidential Election: Consolidating Democracy and Creating a New Era of Politics。Baltimore：University of Maryland Series in Contemporary Asian Studies。
5.	Copper, John F.(2004)。Taiwan's 2004 Presidential and Vice Presidential Election: Democracy's Consolidation or Devolution?。Baltimore：University of Maryland Series in Contemporary Asia Studies。
6.	Romberg, Alan D.(2003)。Rein In at the Brink of the Precipice: American Policy Toward Taiwan and US,-PRC Relations。Washington, D.C.：The Henry L. Stimson Center。
7.	Suettinger, Robert L.(2003)。Beyond Tiananmen: The Politics of US.-China Relations, 1989-2000。Washington, D.C.：Brookings Institution Press。
8.	Morgan, Patrick M.(2003)。Deterrence Now。Cambridge University Press。
9.	Stolper, Thomas E.(1985)。China, Taiwan, and the offshore islands: Together with an Implication for Outer Mongolia and Sino-Soviet Relations。Armonk, New York：M. E. Sharpe。
10.	Sutter, Robert G.(2005)。China s Rise in Asia: Promises and Perils。Rowman & Littlefield。
11.	Lasater, Martin L.(2000)。The Taiwan Conundrum in U.S. China Policy。Boulder, CO：Westview。
12.	Wachman, Alan M.(1994)。Taiwan: National Identity and Democratization。M. E. Sharpe。
13.	Waltz, Kenneth N.(1979)。Theory of International Politics。McGraw Hill。
14.	Zhao, Suisheng(2004)。A Nation-State by Construction: Dynamics of Modern Chinese Nationalism。Stanford University Press。
15.	Zhao, Suisheng(1999)。Across the Taiwan Strait: Mainland China, Taiwan, and the 1995-1996 Crisis。Routledge。
16.	Gries, Peter Hays(2004)。China's New Nationalism: Pride, Politics, and Diplomacy。University of California Press。
17.	Harding, Harry(1992)。A Fragile Relationship: The United States and China since 1972。Washington, DC：Brookings Institution。
18.	Brown, Melissa J.(2004)。Is Taiwan Chinese? The Impact of Culture, Power, and Migration on Changing Identities。University of California Press。

其他
1.	Culpan, Tim，Cody, Edward(20060228)。Taiwan Scraps Council on Unity with China。
2.	Glaser, Bonnie(20040513)。Washington's Hands-On Approach to Managing Cross-Strait Tension，http://www.cis.org/päcfor。
3.	Glaser, Bonnie(20060202)。Sino-U.S. Relations: Drawing Lessons from 2005，http://www.cis.org/pacfor。
4.	Kahn, Joseph，Bradsher, Keith(20060301)。Beijing Accuse Taiwan Leader of 'Grave Provocation'，http://www.nytimes.com。
5.	林岡(20051200)。Traversing the Dangerous Waters [評Dangerous Strait: The U.S.-Taiwan-China Crisis by Nancy Bernkopf Tucker]。

圖書論文
1.	Wu, Yu-Shan(1995)。Economic Reform, Cross-Straits Relations, and the Politics of Issue Linkage。Inherited Rivalry: Conflict Across the Taiwan Straits。Boulder, Colorado：Lynne Rienner。
2.	Chao, Chien-min(2002)。The Republic of China's Foreign Relations under Lee Teng-hui: A Balance Sheet。Assessing Lee Teng-hui's Legacy in Taiwan's Politics: Democratic Consolidation and External Relations。Armonk, N. Y.：M. E. Sharpe。
3.	Clark, Cal(2006)。Taiwan Enters Troubled Waters: The Elective Presidencies of Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bia。Taiwan: A New History。Armonk, N.Y.：M.E. Sharpe。
4.	Horowitz, Shale、Heo, Uk、Tan, Alexander C.(2006)。Democratization and National Identity in the China-Taiwan and Korean Conflicts。Identity and Change in East Asian Conflicts。New York：Macmillan。
5.	Lampton, David(1994)。Commentary。Taiwan in World Affairs。Boulder, Colo.：Westview。
6.	Rubinstein, Murray A.(1999)。Political Taiwanization and Pragmatic Diplomacy in the Eras of Chiang Ching-kuo and Lee Teng-hui, 1971-1994。Taiwan: A New History。Armonk, N.Y.：M. E. Sharpe。
7.	Chase, Michael S.(2005)。U.S.-Taiwan Security Cooperation: Enhancing an Unofficial Relationship。Dangerous Strait: The U.S.-Taiwan-China Crisis。New York：Columbia University Press。
8.	Rigger, Shelley(2005)。The Unfinished Business of Taiwan's Democratization。Dangerous Strait: The U.S.-China-Taiwan Crisis。New York：Columbia University Press。
9.	Tucker, Nancy Bernkopf(2005)。Strategic Ambiguity or Strategic Clarity?。Dangerous Strait: The U.S.-Taiwan-China Crisis。New York：Columbia University Press。

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