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題名:國際資本流動、金融發展與經濟成長:亞洲國家之驗證
書刊名:亞太經濟管理評論
作者:柏婉貞
出版日期:2009
卷期:13:1
頁次:頁39-52
主題關鍵詞:國際資本流動金融發展經濟成長International capital flowFinancial developmentEconomic growth
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:13
  • 點閱點閱:44
本文主要利用異質性追蹤共整合技術來檢視亞洲10國的國際資本流動、金融發展與經濟成長之間的關係,研究期間為1980-2007年。本研究有別於過去學者之研究。首先,我們使用追蹤資料以擴大樣本觀察值,並利用追蹤共整合檢定來提升更強的檢定力與更高的自由度。其次,本研究利用虛擬變數來探討1997年亞洲金融危機結構性改變之影響。最後,本文建構動態追蹤誤差修正模型來估計變數之間的長、短期因果關係。研究結果發現亞洲國家的金融發展與經濟成長之間存在長期雙向因果關係,支持各國金融發展追隨經濟成長的「需求追隨」假說,且國際資本流動有助於亞洲各國金融發展與經濟成長,但高度國際資本流動反而導致經濟衰退。
This paper using the new heterogeneous panel cointegration technique to investigates the relationship among international capital flow, financial development and economic growth in 10 Asian countries over the period 1980-2007. Our paper is distinct from other researches in several respects. First, it uses a cointegration test for panel data which provides more powerful tests and allows us to increase the degrees of freedom. Next, this paper uses the dummy variable to representative 1997 financial crisis to deal with exist the structure break. Finally, it structures a panel dynamic model to distinguish between long and short run relationship among the variables. The paper finds that in the long run there is a bi-directional causality relationship between finance development and economic growth in Asian countries, and support the finance development follow economic growth hypothesis. Moreover, international capital flow has positive effect on finance development and economic growth, but over international capital flow has significantly negative effect on it.
期刊論文
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5.Borensztein, E.、De Gregorio、Lee, J. W.(1998)。How Does Foreign Investment Affect Growth ?。Journal of International Economics,45,34-53。  new window
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18.Acemoglu, Daron、Zilibotti, Fabrizio(1997)。Was Prometheus Unbound by Chance? Risk, Diversification, and Growth。Journal of Political Economy,105(4),709-751。  new window
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20.Arellano, Manuel、Bond, Stephen R.(1991)。Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations。The Review of Economic Studies,58(2),277-297。  new window
21.莊希豐(19991200)。金融發展與經濟成長之臺灣實證研究。臺灣銀行季刊,50(4),64-85。new window  延伸查詢new window
22.Kao, C.、Chiang, M.-H.(2000)。On the Estimation and Inference of a Cointegrated Regression in Panel Data。Advances in Econometrics,15,179-222。  new window
23.李建強(20050300)。銀行發展、股市發展與經濟成長--臺灣的實證研究。臺灣經濟預測與政策,35(2),79-105。new window  延伸查詢new window
24.Arestis, Philip、Demetriades, Panicos O.、Luintel, Kul B.(2001)。Financial Development and Economic Growth: The Role of Stock Markets。Journal of Money, Credit and Banking,33(1),16-41。  new window
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26.Rajan, Raghuram G.、Zingales, Luigi(1998)。Financial Dependence and Growth。American Economic Review,88(3),559-586。  new window
27.Levine, R.(1999)。Law, Finance, and Economic Growth。Journal of Financial Intermediation,8(1/2),8-35。  new window
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29.Levine, Ross、Zervos, Sara(1998)。Stock Markets, Banks and Economic Growth。The American Economic Review,88(3),537-558。  new window
30.Levine, Ross(1997)。Financial Development and Economic Growth: Views and Agenda。Journal of Economic Literature,35(2),688-726。  new window
31.Levin, Andrew、Lin, Chien-Fu、Chu, Chia-Shang James(2002)。Unit Root Tests in Panel Data: Asymptotic and Finite-Sample Properties。Journal of Econometrics,108(1),1-24。  new window
32.Lucas, Robert E. Jr.(1988)。On the Mechanics of Economic Development。Journal of Monetary Economics,22(1),3-42。  new window
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34.Demetriades, Panicos O.、Hussein, Khaled A.(1996)。Does Financial Development Cause Economic Growth? Time-Series Evidence form 16 Countries。Journal of Development Economics,51(2),387-411。  new window
35.Henry, P. B.(2000)。Do Stock Market Liberalizations Cause Investment Booms?。Journal of Financial Economics,58,301-334。  new window
36.Pedroni, P.(2004)。Panel contegration: asymptotic and finite sample properties of pooled time series tests with an application to the PPP hypothesis: new results。Econometric Theory,20,597-627。  new window
37.Rioja, F.、Valev, N.(2004)。Does One Size Fit All? A Reexamination of the Finance and Growth Relationship。Journal of Development Economics,74,429-447。  new window
38.Singh, A.(1997)。Financial Liberalization, Stock Markets and Economic Development。Economic Journal,107,771-782。  new window
研究報告
1.Alfaro, L.、Chanda, A.、Kalemli-Ozcan, S.、Sayek, S. N.(2001)。FDI and Economic Growth, “The Role of Local Financial Markets。  new window
2.Beck, T.、Demirguc-Kunt, A.、Levine, R.、Maksimovic, V.(2000)。Financial Structure and Economic Development: Firm, Industry and Country Evidence。The World Bank。  new window
3.Blomstrom, M.、Lipsey, R.、Zejan, M.(1994)。What Explains Growth in Developing Countries。  new window
4.Williamson, J.(1999)。Whether and When to Liberalize Capital Account and Financial Services。  new window
5.Edwards, S.(2001)。Capital Mobility and Economic Performance: Are Emerging Economies Different?。  new window
6.Klein, M. W.、Olivei, G.(1999)。Capital Account Liberalization, Financial Depth and Economic Growth。  new window
圖書
1.Eichengreen, B.(2001)。Capital Account Liberalization: What Do Cross-country Studies till Us ?。Berkeley:University of California。  new window
2.Loayza, N.、Ranciere, R.(2002)。Financial Fragility, Financial Development, and Growth。World Bank。  new window
圖書論文
1.Carkovic, M.、Levine, R.(2002)。Does Foreign Direct Investment Accelerate Economic Growth?。University of Minnesota Carlson School of Management。  new window
2.Kroszner, R. S.、Strahan, P. E.。Regulation and Deregulation of the US banking Industry: Cause, Consequences, and Implications for the Future。Economics of Regulation。  new window
3.Levine, R.。Finance and Growth。Elsevier Science。Amsterdam, the Netherlands。  new window
 
 
 
 
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