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題名:為什麼不認輸:強與弱的敵對關係
書刊名:全球政治評論
作者:賴文儀 引用關係
作者(外文):Lai, Mark W.
出版日期:2016
卷期:53
頁次:頁159-191
主題關鍵詞:戰爭相關資料戰爭米蘭對話不認輸Correlates of WarWar and peaceMelian dialogueWar
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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  • 點閱點閱:33
本文探論弱國面對強國的威脅時為何不認輸,並且從解答的過程中分析戰爭歷史、國際關係理論、國內政治因素等等題目。文獻探討中統整出3 個主要不認輸的理由,分別是國際關係架構、戰場勝負不明、國內因素變化。接下來檢索戰爭相關資料庫(Correlates of War),選擇符合時代性強弱配對的戰爭31 個,分類為非國與國的強弱對抗12 個、國家實力接近的強弱對抗11 個、國家實力懸殊的強弱對抗八個,然後與三個主要不認輸理由進行交叉分析。研究結論為,國內因素往往是最核心的不認輸理由,對勝負不明的憧憬幫助弱國壯膽,而國際架構並沒有在戰爭的抉擇時發揮關鍵力量。本研究進一步提供三點啟發,第一,對強國來說,強凌弱很難獲得戰場勝利與長期利益,第二,對弱國來說,經濟交流與政治開放是避免戰爭的最好方法,第三,國際關係理論需要多注意價值觀與文化面向的重要性,以產出務實的戰爭和平理論。
The ancient realist notion stated that "the strong do as they can and the weak suffer what they must." However, cross the world and over the time, there have been more than enough cases showing that weak state does not necessarily submit to the strong state in the international relations. This paper studied the reason why don't they submit. The searching process to the answer explored the history of wars, international relations theory and domestic politics. Conducting data analysis in the Correlates of War dataset, the main findings of this research is: not international structure or strategies in the battlefield, but the domestic political factors played a more important role in explaining weak states' decision making when facing a stronger enemy.
期刊論文
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7.Vellut, Jean-Lec(1967)。Smaller States and the Problem of War and Peace Some Consequences of the Emergence of Smaller States in Africa。Journal of Peace Research,4(3),252-269。  new window
8.Alker, Hayward R. Jr.(1988)。The Dialectical Logic of Thucydides' Melian Dialogue。The American Political Science Review,82(3),806-805。  new window
9.Maoz, Zeev(1989)。Power, Capabilities, and Paradoxical Conflict Outcomes。World Politics,41(2),239-266。  new window
10.Sarkees, Meredith Reid(2000)。The Correlates of War Data on War: An Update to 1997。Conflict Management and Peace Science,18(1),123-144。  new window
11.Partem, Michael Greenfield(1983)。The Buffer System in International Relations。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,27(1),3-26。  new window
12.Nikolaos-Zahariadis(1994)。Nationalism and Small-State Foreign Policy: The Greek Response to the Macedonian Issue。Political Science Quarterly,109(4),647-667。  new window
13.Sullivan, Patricia L.(2007)。War Aims and War Outcomes: Why Powerful States Lose Limited Wars。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,51(3),496-524。  new window
14.Hensel, Paul R.、Diehl, Paul(1994)。It takes Two to Tango: Nonmilitarized Response in Interstate Disputes。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,38(3),479-506。  new window
15.Polachek, Solomon、Robst, John、Chang, Yuan-Ching(1999)。Liberalism and Interdependence: Expecting the Trade-Conflict Model。Journal of Peace Research,36(4),405-422。  new window
16.Brown, Stephen N.、Price, David、Raichur, Satish(1976)。Public-Good Theory and Bargaining between Large and Small Countries。International Studies Quarterly,20(3),393-414。  new window
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18.Zeev-Maoz, Resolve(1983)。Resolve, Capabilities, and the Outcomes of Interstates Disputes, 1816-1976。The Journal of Conflict Resolution,27(2),195-229。  new window
19.James, Patrick、Oneal, John R.(1991)。The influence of domestic and international politics on the president's use of force。Journal of Conflict Resolution,35(2),307-332。  new window
20.Jervis, Robert L.(1978)。Cooperation under the Security Dilemma。World Politics,30(2),167-214。  new window
圖書
1.Fordham, Benjamin O.(1998)。Building the Cold War Consensus: The Political Economy of U.S. National Security Policy, 1949-1951。Ann Arbor, MI:University of Michigan Press。  new window
2.de Mesquita, Bruce Bueno(2000)。Principles of International Politics。Washington, DC:CQ Press。  new window
其他
1.(20011005)。Taliban will try Bin Laden if US provides evidence,http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2001/oct/05/afghanistan.terrorism。  new window
2.Currie, Kelley(20091022)。The Doctrine of 'Strategic Reassurance': What Does the Obama Formula for U.S.-China Relations Really Mean?,http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424052748704224004574488292885761628.html。  new window
圖書論文
1.Rosenau, James(1966)。Pre-theories and Theories of International Relations。Approaches to Comparative and International Politics。Evanston, IL:Northwestern University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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