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題名：經濟國策與企業行為：「一帶一路」倡議與中國大陸石油與鐵路產業的發展
書刊名：中國大陸研究
作者：劉致賢 引用關係
作者(外文)：Liou, Chih-shian
出版日期：2018
卷期：61:4
頁次：頁31-55
主題關鍵詞：一帶一路；國有企業；新古典現實主義；經濟國策；One belt one road；State-owned enterprises；Neoclassical realism；Economic statecraft
原始連結：連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(7) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:7
  • 共同引用共同引用:35
  • 點閱點閱:11
近幾年來中國大陸隨著自身經濟實力的增長，經濟國策在其大戰略的規劃中扮演著越來越重要的角色。從國際權力結構的分布我們可以合理期待身為強權的中國大陸採取擴張型的經濟國策，例如本文所探討的「一帶一路」倡議。然而經濟國策需要靠企業的經營行為予以落實，實際執行狀況不可避免地受到國內政商結構的影響。因此本文將企業視作經濟國策中最關鍵的執行者，並採取新古典現實主義的理論架構，探討企業與全球市場聯結度如何造成經濟國策政策預期以及具體實踐之間的落差。透過比較中國大陸石油與鐵路兩個產業，本文發現同樣受到中國大陸在國際政治權力格局中崛起的有利影響，兩個產業因市場化程度不同而受到全球市場波動的衝擊也不同，導致在執行「一帶一路」倡議時多元化的企業行為。
With the strengthening of its economic muscle, China has often adopted economic statecraft, rather than military forces, to alter other countries' behavior. The ＂One Belt, One Road＂ (OBOR) strategy that was initiated in 2013 is a good example. This article, building upon a neoclassical realist framework and using the cases of petroleum and railway firms, explores the variations in firms' behavior when they carry out the agendas of OBOR. The article also argues that while China's expanding economic statecraft is a function of its rise to great power status in international politics, the firms involved also impact how the agendas are performed, despite them not being the primary player of the OBOR agendas. For example, when a firm links to the global market at a higher degree, it behaves more like a commercial actor rather than as policy agent.
期刊論文
1.Mastanduno, Michael(1998)。Economics and Security in Statecraft and Scholarship。International Organization，52(4)，825-854。  new window
2.Drezner, Daniel W.(2009)。Bad Debts: Assessing China's Financial Influence in Great Power Politics。International Security，34(2)，7-45。  new window
3.Swaine, Michael D.(2015)。Chinese Views and Commentary on the 'One Belt, One Road' Initiative。China Leadership Monitor，47(2)，1-24。  new window
4.Kastner, Scott L.(2016)。Buying Influence? Assessing the Political Effects of China's International Trade。Journal of Conflict Resolution，60(6)，980-1007。  new window
5.Brooks, Stephen Gallup、Wohlforth, William Curti(2015)。The Rise and Fall of the Great Powers in the Twenty-first Century: China's Rise and the Fate of America's Global Position。International Security，40(3)，7-53。  new window
6.Glaser, Charles L.(2015)。A U.S.-China Grand Bargain? The Hard Choice between Military Competition and Accommodation。International Security，39(4)，49-90。  new window
7.Silove, Nina(2016)。The Pivot before the Pivot: U.S. Strategy to preserve the Power balance in Asia。International Security，40(4)，45-88。  new window
8.Alves, Ana Cristina(2013)。Chinese Economic Statecraft: A Comparative Study of China's Oil-Backed Loans in Angola and Brazil。Journal of Current Chinese Affairs，42(1)，99-130。  new window
9.Bessner, Daniel、Guilhot, Nicolas(2015)。How Realism Waltzed Off: Liberalism and Decisionmaking in Kenneth Waltz's Neorealism。International Security，40(2)，87-118。  new window
10.Bräutigam, Deborah、Tang, Xiao-yang(2012)。Economic Statecraft in China's New Overseas Special Economic Zones: Soft Power, Business or Resource Security?。Journal of International Affairs，88(4)，799-816。  new window
11.Drezner, Daniel W.(1999)。The Trouble with Carrots: Transaction Costs, Conflict Expectations, and Economic Inducements。Security Studies，9(1/2)，188-218。  new window
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14.Liou, Chih-shian(2009)。Bureaucratic Politics and Overseas Investment by Chinese Stateowned Oil Companies: Illusory Champion。Asian Survey，49(4)，670-690。  new window
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16.Summers, Tim(2016)。China's 'New Silk Roads': Sub-National Regions and Networks of Global Political Economy。Third World Quarterly，37(9)，1628-1643。  new window
17.Putnam, Robert David(1988)。Diplomacy and Domestic Politics: The Logic of Two-Level Games。International Organization，42(3)，427-460。  new window
18.耿曙(20090900)。經濟扭轉政治？中共「惠臺政策」的政治影響。問題與研究，48(3)，1-32。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
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2.中華人民共和國商務部、中華人民共和國國家統計局、國家外匯管理局(2016)。2015年度中國對外直接投資統計公報。北京：中國統計出版社。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Trubowitz, Peter(1998)。Defining the National Interest: Conflict and Change in American Foreign Policy。University of Chicago Press。  new window
2.Brown, Michael Edward、Lynn-Jones, Sean M.、Miller, Steven E.(1995)。The Perils of Anarchy: Contemporary Realism and International Security。The MIT Press。  new window
3.Johnston, Alastair Iain(1995)。Cultural Realism: Strategic Culture and Grand Strategy in Chinese History。Princeton, New Jersey：Princeton University Press。  new window
4.門洪華(2005)。構建中國大戰略的框架：國家實力、戰略觀念與國際制度。北京：北京大學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Rosecrance, Richard、Stein, Arthur A.(1993)。The Domestic Bases of Grand Strategy。Cornell University Press。  new window
6.Yergin, Daniel(2011)。The quest: Energy, security, and the remaking of the modern world。Penguin Books。  new window
7.Baldwin, David Allen(1985)。Economic Statecraft。Princeton University Press。  new window
8.Steinfeld, Edward E.(2010)。Playing Our Game: Why China's Rise Doesn't Threaten the West。Oxford University Press。  new window
9.高柏(2012)。高鐵與中國21世紀大戰略。北京：社會科學文獻出版社。  延伸查詢new window
10.Norris, William J.(2016)。Chinese economic statecraft: Commercial actors, grand strategy, and state control。Cornell University Press。  new window
11.林伯強(2014)。中國能源發展報告2014。北京：北京大學出版社。  延伸查詢new window
12.財新周刊(2017)。復興號降價風波。  延伸查詢new window
13.財新傳媒編輯部(2015)。「一帶一路」引領中國：國家頂層戰略設計與行動布局。北京：中國文史出版社。  延伸查詢new window
14.Blackwill, Robert Dean、Harris, Jennifer M.(2016)。War by Other Means: Geoeconomics and Statecraft。Harvard University Press。  new window
15.Ripsman, Norrin M.、Taliaferro, Jeffrey W.、Lobell, Steven E.(2016)。Neoclassical Realist Theory of International Politics。Oxford University Press。  new window
16.Schweller, Randall L.(1998)。Deadly Imbalances: Tripolarity and Hitlers Strategy of World Conquest。New York：Columbia University Press。  new window
17.Zakaria, Fareed(1998)。From Wealth to Power: The Unusual Origins of Americas World Role。Princeton：Princeton University Press。  new window
18.Lobell, Steven E.、Ripsman, Norrin M.、Taliaferro, Jeffrey W.(2009)。Neoclassical Realism, the State, and Foreign Policy。Cambridge University Press。  new window
19.Wohlforth, William Curtis(1993)。The Elusive Balance: Power and Perceptions During the Cold War。Ithaca, NY：Cornell University Press。  new window
20.Goldstein, Avery(2005)。Rising to the Challenge: China's Grand Strategy and International Security。Stanford University Press。  new window
21.Christensen, Thomas J.(1996)。Useful Adversaries: Grand Strategy, Domestic Mobilization, and Sino-American Conflict, 1947-1958。Princeton University Press。  new window
其他
1.Reilly, James(2013)。China's Economic Statecraft: Turning Wealth into Power，https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publications/chinas-economic-statecraft-turning-wealth-power。  new window
2.BHI華信捷中國擬在建項目網(2015)。中巴一帶一路能源合作項目一覽，http://www.bhi.com.cn/ydyl/gwdt/13087.html。  延伸查詢new window
3.Financial Times中文網(20170718)。中國「高鐵外交」受阻，http://big5.ftchinese.com/story/001073452。  延伸查詢new window
4.人民網(20160412)。王玉普履職中石化董事長一年，正部級掌門人的減虧大戰，http://energy.people.com.cn/BIG5/n1/2016/0412/c71661-28269149.html。  延伸查詢new window
5.人民網(20170521)。中共中央國務院印發《關於深化石油天然氣體制改革的若干意見》，http://politics.people.com.cn/n1/2017/0521/c1001-29289522.html。  延伸查詢new window
6.中國石化上海石油化工股份有限公司(2016)。中國石化上海石油化工股份有限公司2015年年度報告摘要，http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2016/0316/ltn20160316726_c.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
7.中國石油天然氣股份有限公司(2016)。中國石油天然氣股份有限公司2016年中期業績報告，http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2016/0824/ltn20160824236_c.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
8.中國共產黨新聞網(20160906)。習近平的「一帶一路」足跡，http://cpc.people.com.cn/xuexi/BIG5/n1/2016/0906/c385474-28694919.html。  延伸查詢new window
9.中國金融智庫(2016)。支持「一帶一路」建設中石油護航東盟能源大通道，http://www.zgjrzk.com/news/201605/371999.html。  延伸查詢new window
10.中華人民共和國中央人民政府(2016)。國務院關於支持沿邊重點地區開發開放若干政策措施的意見，http://www.gov.cn/zhengce/content/201601/07/content_10561.htm。  延伸查詢new window
11.中華人民共和國國家發展和改革委員會(2015)。推動共建絲綢之路經濟帶和21世紀海上絲綢之路的願景，http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/gzdt/201503/t20150328_669091.html。  延伸查詢new window
12.中華人民共和國國家發展和改革委員會(2016)。中歐班列建設發展規劃(2016~2020年)，http://www.ndrc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbghwb/201610/P020161017547345656182.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
13.日經中文網(2017)。印尼爪哇鐵路項目也要「棄日投中」？，http://zh.cn.nikkei.com/politicsaeconomy/politicsasociety/26035-2017-07-14-04-55-00.html。  延伸查詢new window
14.國務院國有資產監督管理委員會(2015)。中國海油積極踐行「一帶一路」戰略，http://www.sasac.gov.cn/n2588025/n2588124/c3808118/content.html。  延伸查詢new window
15.國際能源署(2017)。2017年石油市場報告，https://www.iea.org/publications/freepublications/publication/MarketReportSeries_Oil2017_ChinaFocusChinese.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
16.鳳凰周刊(2015)。南北車合併前景不明，http://www.ifengweekly.com/detil.php?id=1655。  延伸查詢new window
17.Goldstein, Lyle J.(2016)。China's 'One Belt One Road' is a Big Deal. So What is the Role for Beijing's Military? And How will Trump Respond，http://nationalinterest.org/feature/chinas-one-belt-one-road-big-deal-so-what-the-role-beijings-18456。  new window
18.Rose, Gideon(1998)。Review: Neoclassical Realism and Theories of Foreign Policy，https://www.jstor.org/stable/25054068。  new window
圖書論文
1.Steinfeld, Edward S.(2008)。The Capitalist Embrace: China Ten Year after the Asian Financial Crisis。Crisis as Catalyst: Asia's Dynamic Political Economy。Cornell University Press。  new window
2.Kennedy, Paul(1991)。Grand Strategy in War and Peace: Toward a Broader Definition。Grand Strategy in War and Peace。Yale University Press。  new window
3.林毅夫(2015)。「一帶一路」與自貿區：中國新的對外開放戰略。「一帶一路」引領中國：國家頂層戰略設計與行動布局。北京：中國文史出版社。  延伸查詢new window
4.盧鋒(2015)。「一帶一路」戰略的核心內涵與推進思路。「一帶一路」引領中國：國家頂層戰略設計與行動布局。北京：中國文史出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Mastanduno, Michael(2008)。Economic Statecraft Revisited。Foreign Policy: Theories, Actors and Cases。Oxford：Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Tsai, Kellee S.、Naughton, Barry(2015)。Introduction: State Capitalism and the Chinese Economic Miracle。State Capitalism, Institutional Adaptation, and the Chinese Miracle。Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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