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題名:以退為進:美國退出《中程核武條約》的戰略意圖與影響
書刊名:遠景基金會季刊
作者:沈明室
作者(外文):Shen, Ming-shih
出版日期:2021
卷期:22:3
頁次:頁1-57
主題關鍵詞:中程核武條約軍備競賽核武裁減中程飛彈飛彈防禦INFArms raceNuclear weapon reductionMRBMMissile defense
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:23
  • 點閱點閱:35
期刊論文
1.陳文賢(19980500)。柯林頓政府的核武政策。問題與研究,37(5),1-16+73。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Buzzard, Anthony W.(1956)。Massive Retaliation and Graduated Deterrence。World Politics,8(2),228-237。  new window
3.丁樹範(20050500)。美國導彈防衛與核武態勢評估對中國核武政策影響。問題與研究,44(3),93-123。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Wells, Samuel F. Jr.(1981)。The Origins of Massive Retaliation。Political Science Quarterly,96(1),31-52。  new window
5.陳世民(20120700)。冷戰後美中戰略關係演變:邁向「戰略穩定」的核關係?。全球政治評論,39,63-86。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.Swaine, Michael D.(20170214)。Chinese Views on South Korea's Deployment of THAAD。China Leadership Monitor,52,1-15。  new window
7.王信力(20190600)。川普能重構亞洲權力平衡?--解析美國印太戰略的虛實。臺灣國際研究季刊,15(2),67-102。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.李雪舫(19821000)。美蘇核武實力評估與核武問題談判。問題與研究,22(1),30-44。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.荊元宙(20190900)。美國退出「中程核飛彈條約」之戰略意涵分析。戰略安全研析,157,7-17。new window  延伸查詢new window
10.彭群堂(20190700)。美俄退出中程核彈道飛彈條約(INF)的影響及我國的因應策略。戰略安全研析,156,33-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.張冬青、朱愛平、蘇鑫鑫、何煦虹(2015)。美俄圍繞中導條約的爭議及其未來走向。戰術導彈技術,2015(1),1-6。  延伸查詢new window
12.張業亮(2019)。中程導彈:中美戰略博弈的新焦點。世界知識,2019(17),51-53。  延伸查詢new window
13.許海雲、白雲天(2020)。中導危機下的國際安全走向與中國應對。國際展望,2020(2),58-77。  延伸查詢new window
14.趙學功(2006)。核武器與美蘇冷戰。浙江學刊,2006(3),101-107。  延伸查詢new window
15.蔣翊民(2015)。美俄《中導條約》履約爭議及其未來走向。現代國際關係,2015(2),25-31。  延伸查詢new window
16.凱瑞K.吉爾夏尼克、周茂林(20190300)。強化美日軍事合作支持印太戰略。國防雜誌,34(1),1-42。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.楊承軍、楊晨(20191014)。美退出《中導條約》後中國應如何應對?。祖國,2019(17)。  延伸查詢new window
18.Cropsey, Seth(1994)。The Only Credible Deterrent。Foreign Affairs,73(2),14-20。  new window
19.Götz, Elias(2017)。Putin, the State, and War: The Causes of Russia's Near Abroad Assertion Revisited。International Studies Review,19(2),228-253。  new window
20.Kearn, David W. Jr.(2014)。Air-Sea Battle, the Challenge of Access, and U.S. National Security Strategy。American Foreign Policy Interests,36(1),34-43。  new window
21.Knorr, Klaus(1985)。Controlling Nuclear War。International Security,9(4),79-98。  new window
22.Kühn, Ulrich、Péczeli, Anna(2017)。Russia, NATO, and the INF Treaty。Strategic Studies Quarterly,11(1),66-99。  new window
23.Pasandideh, Shahryar(20190823)。The End of The 'INF Treaty' and the US-China Military Balance。The Nonproliferation Review,26(3/4),267-287。  new window
24.Gady, Franz-Stefan(20190725)。The Significance of the First Ever China-Russia Strategic Bomber Patrol。The Diplomat,2019(Jul.)。  new window
25.Horres, Edward J.(20161108)。Towards a Fourth Offset Strategy。Small Wars Journal,2016(Nov.)。  new window
26.Love, Maryann Cusimano(20190821)。A New Nuclear Arms Race? How the U.S. Withdrawing from a Treaty with Russia Increases the Risk。The Jesuit Review,2018(Aug.)。  new window
27.Manea, Octavian(20180104)。The Role of Offset Strategies in Restoring Conventional Deterrence。Small Wars Journal,2018(Jan.)。  new window
28.Mizokami, Kyle(20190820)。After Leaving Treaty, U.S. Tests Ground Launched Cruise Missile。Popular Mechanics,2019(Aug.)。  new window
29.Mizokami, Kyle(20191113)。The U.S. Is on the Verge of Testing a New BallisticMissile。Popular Mechanics,2019(Nov.)。  new window
30.O'Connor, Tom(20191220)。Russia and China Seek No 'Military Alliance,' Instead A 'Strategic Partnership' of the Most Powerful Kind。Newsweek,2019(Dec.)。  new window
31.Panda, Ankit(20190115)。Report: US to Conduct Army Tactical Missile System Test on Okinawa in 2019。The Diplomat,2019(Jan.)。  new window
32.Panda, Ankit(20190314)。After the INF Treaty: US Plans First Tests of New Short and Intermediate-Range Missiles。The Diplomat,2019(Mar.)。  new window
33.Panda, Ankit(20191114)。New U.S. Missiles in Asia Could Increase the North Korean Nuclear Threat。Foreign Policy,2019(Nov.)。  new window
34.Rich, Timothy S.、Einhorn, Madelynn、Cohen, Parker(20190927)。Which Is the Bigger Nuclear Threat, Iran or North Korea?。The Diplomat,2019(Sep.)。  new window
35.Stefanovich, Dmitry(20191025)。Russia to Help China Develop an Early Warning System。The Diplomat,2019(Oct.)。  new window
36.Yoon, Sukjoon(20150220)。Are China's THAAD Fears Justified?。The Diplomat,2015(Feb.)。  new window
37.袁易(20040500)。中國與導彈建制:國際規範之挑戰與遵循。問題與研究,43(3),97-133。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Heginbotham, Eric、Nixon, Michael、Morgan, Forrest E.、Heim, Jacob L.、Li, Sheng Tao、Engstrom, Jeffrey、Libicki, Martin C.、DeLuca, Paul、Shlapak, David A.、Frelinger, David R.、Laird, Burgess、Brady, Kyle、Morris, Lyle J.、Hagen, Jeff(2015)。The U.S.-China Military Scorecard: Forces, Geography, and the Evolving Balance of Power, 1996-2017。RAND Corporation。  new window
2.U.S. Department of Defense(20190601)。Indo-Pacific Strategy Report: Preparedness, Partnerships, and Promoting a Networked Region。U.S. Department of Defense。  new window
圖書
1.The White House(2017)。National Security Strategy of the United States of America。The White House。  new window
2.Krepinevich, Andrew F. Jr.(2017)。Archipelagic Defense: The Japan-U.S. Alliance and Preserving Peace and Stability in the Western Pacific。The Sasakawa Peace Foundation。  new window
3.Kissinger, Henry Alfred(1957)。Nuclear Weapons and Foreign Policy。New York:Harper。  new window
4.Osgood, Robert E.(1957)。Limited War: The Challenge to American Strategy。University of Chicago Press。  new window
5.Erickson, Andrew S.(2013)。Chinese Anti-Ship Ballistic Missile (ASBM) Development: Drivers, Trajectories, and Strategic Implications。The Jamestown Foundation。  new window
6.Hey, Nigel(2006)。The Star Wars Enigma: Behind the Scenes of the Cold War Race for Missile Defense。Potomac Books Inc。  new window
7.Leighton, Richard(2010)。History of the Office of the Secretary of Defense: Strategy, Money, and the New Look, 1953-1956。Historical Office; Office of the Secretary of Defense。  new window
8.Mets, David R.(2010)。A Companion for Aspirant Air Warriors: A Handbook for Personal Professional Study。Air University Press。  new window
9.National Intelligence Council(2012)。Global Trends 2030: Alternative Worlds。Director of National Intelligence。  new window
10.Office of the Under Secretary of Defense(2021)。Pacific Deterrence Initiative。Office of the Under Secretary of Defense。  new window
11.United States Congress House, Committee on Foreign Affairs(1988)。The Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces (INF) Treaty and Its Implications for US Arms Control Policy。US Government Printing Office。  new window
單篇論文
1.Williams, Ian(20191016)。More Than Missiles: China Previews Its New Way of War,https://www.csis.org/analysis/more-missiles-china-previews-its-new-way-war。  new window
其他
1.Bureau of East Asian and Pacific Affairs, United States Department of State(20191104)。A Free and Open Indo-Pacific: Advancing A Shared Vision,https://www.state.gov/wp-content/uploads/2019/11/Free-and-Open-Indo-Pacific-4Nov2019.pdf。  new window
2.(20190806)。外交部:中國不會坐視美國部署陸基中程導彈,http://m.us.sina.com/bg/international/phoenixtv/2019-08-06/detail-ifzmsucz7140537.shtml。  延伸查詢new window
3.尤里安(20190916)。美國退出《中程核武條約》重演美蘇冷戰對峙?,https://forum.ettoday.net/news/1536297#ixzz6CZA1EFTf。  延伸查詢new window
4.朱明(20210106)。台灣首款打擊中國戰略性武器2年內研製射程逾1千公里「戟鋒」中程地對地飛彈,https://www.upmedia.mg/news_info.php?SerialNo=103856。  延伸查詢new window
5.汪哲仁(20200608)。俄羅斯公布新版「國家核嚇阻基本政策」評析,https://indsr.org.tw/tw/News_detail/2194/%E4%BF%84%E7%BE%85%E6%96%AF%E5%85%AC%E5%B8%83%E6%96%B0%E7%89%88%E3%80%8C%E5%9C%8B%E5%AE%B6%E6%A0%B8%E5%9A%87%E9%98%BB%E5%9F%BA%E6%9C%AC%E6%94%BF%E7%AD%96%E3%80%8D%E8%A9%95%E6%9E%90。  new window
6.李福源(20190731)。中國外交部:北京拒絕加入《中程飛彈條約》戰略對話,https://www.hk01.com/%E5%8D%B3%E6%99%82%E5%9C%8B%E9%9A%9B/358222/%E4%B8%AD%E5%9C%8B%E5%A4%96%E4%BA%A4%E9%83%A8-%E5%8C%97%E4%BA%AC%E6%8B%92%E7%B5%95%E5%8A%A0%E5%85%A5-%E4%B8%AD%E7%A8%8B%E5%B0%8E%E5%BD%88%E6%A2%9D%E7%B4%84-%E6%88%B0%E7%95%A5%E5%B0%8D%E8%A9%B1。  new window
7.翁明賢(20190209)。美國「抵銷戰略」的具體實踐,https://taiwan-strategy.com/news/2019-02-09/49-%E7%BE%8E%E5%9C%8B%E3%80%8C%E6%8A%B5%E9%8A%B7%E6%88%B0%E7%95%A5%E3%80%8D%E7%9A%84%E5%85%B7%E9%AB%94%E5%AF%A6%E8%B8%90。  new window
8.費學禮(20190811)。中程核飛彈條約壽終正寢對臺灣是個好消息,https://news.ltn.com.tw/news/politics/paper/1309812。  延伸查詢new window
9.Feickert, Andrew(20210316)。U.S. Army Long-Range Precision Fires: Background and Issues for Congress,Congressional Research Service。  new window
10.Sayler, Kelley M.(2020)。Hypersonic Weapons: Background and Issues for Congress,Congressional Research Service。,https://sgp.fas.org/crs/weapons/R45811.pdf。  new window
11.(20160428)。US Election 2016: Trump Details 'America First' Foreign Plan,https://www.bbc.com/news/election-us-2016-36152947。  new window
12.(20190124)。US Believes That Russia Tested 9M729 Missile for Range Beyond 500 Km,https://tass.com/defense/1041549。  new window
13.(20190202)。Russia Vows Response to US' Withdrawal from INF Treaty-Diplomat,https://tass.com/politics/1042917。  new window
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15.(20191213)。US Tests Nuclear-Capable Ground-Launched Ballistic Missile after INF Treaty Exit,https://www.euractiv.com/section/defence-and-security/news/us-tests-nuclear-capable-ground-launched-ballistic-missile-after-inf-treaty-exit/。  new window
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21.Blank, Stephen(20190910)。After the INF: Russia's Propaganda and Real Threats,https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2019/09/10/after_the_inf_russias_propaganda_and_real_threats_114732.html。  new window
22.Boese, Wade(2002)。U.S. Withdraws From ABM Treaty; Global Response Muted,https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2002-07/news/us-withdraws-abm-treaty-global-response-muted。  new window
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28.Capaccio, Anthony(20200128)。Pentagon to Test Hypersonic Missile at Five Times Speed of Sound,https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-01-28/pentagon-to-test-bombs-to-glide-at-five-times-the-speed-of-sound。  new window
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30.Dunai, Peter(20190620)。No Alternative to Ballistic Missile Defense in Central Eastern Europe,https://www.ainonline.com/aviation-news/defense/2019-06-20/no-alternative-ballistic-missile-defense-central-eastern-europe。  new window
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32.Gill, Bate(20210629)。Exploring Post-INF Arms Control in The Asia-Pacific: China's Role in The Challenges Ahead,https://www.iiss.org/blogs/research-paper/2021/06/post-inf-arms-control-asia-pacific-china。  new window
33.Grove, Thomas,Page, Jeremy(20180911)。China Joins Russian Drill in Sign of Growing Military Ties,https://www.wsj.com/articles/china-to-join-russian-drills-in-sign-of-growing-military-ties-1536595659。  new window
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36.Huang, Kristin(20200826)。Chinese Military Fires 'Aircraft-Carrier Killer' Missile into South China Sea in 'Warning to the United States',https://www.scmp.com/news/china/military/article/3098972/chinese-military-launches-two-missiles-south-china-sea-warning。  new window
37.Johnson, Jesse(20181022)。China's Missile Buildup: A Threat to U.S. Bases in Japan,https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2018/10/22/asia-pacific/russia-blamed-china-real-reason-u-sinf-exit/#.Xjty4Kh-Wcw。  new window
38.Johnson, Jesse(20190804)。U.S. Looks to Deploy New Missiles to Asia, Defense Chief Says Amid Tensions with China,https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/08/04/asia-pacific/u-s-looks-deploy-new-missiles-asia-defense-chief-says-amid-tensions-china/#.XlPyxah-Wcw。  new window
39.Johnson, Jesse(20190820)。U.S. Test of Previously Banned Missile Raises Fears of New Nuclear Arms Race,https://www.japantimes.co.jp/news/2019/08/20/asia-pacific/u-s-test-previously-banned-missile-raises-fears-new-nuclear-arms-race/#.Xjynn6h-Wcw。  new window
40.Leone, Dario(20190822)。Taiwan Really Wants to Buy the THAAD Missile Defense System and F-35 Stealth Fighters,https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/taiwan-really-wants-buy-thaad-missile-defense-system-and-f-35-stealth-fighters-75431。  new window
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43.Kramer, Andrew E.(20190202)。Russia Pulls Out of INF Treaty in 'Symmetrical' Response to U.S. Move,https://www.nytimes.com/2019/02/02/world/europe/russia-inf-treaty.html。  new window
44.Kirk, Donald,Dickey, Christopher(20200106)。The Nuclear Threats From Iran and North Korea, Working Together, Grow by the Day,https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-nuclear-threats-from-iran-and-north-korea-working-together-grow-by-the-day。  new window
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46.Martinage, Robert(20141027)。Toward a New Offset Strategy: Exploiting U.S. Long-Term Advantages to Restore U.S. Global Power Projection Capability,https://csbaonline.org/research/publications/toward-a-new-offset-strategy-exploiting-u-s-long-term-advantages-to-restore。  new window
47.Mehta, Aaron(20190819)。Watch the Pentagon Test Its First Land-Based Cruise Missile in a Post-INF Treaty World,https://www.defensenews.com/pentagon/2019/08/19/pentagon-tests-first-land-based-cruise-missile-in-a-post-inf-treaty-world/。  new window
48.Mehta, Aaron(20191113)。Is the US About to Test a New Ballistic Missile?,https://www.defensenews.com/space/2019/11/13/is-the-us-about-to-test-a-new-ballistic-missile/。  new window
49.Mendelsohn, Jack(1999)。NATO's Nuclear Weapons: The Rationale for 'No First Use',https://www.armscontrol.org/act/1999-07/features/natos-nuclear-weapons-rationale-first-use。  new window
50.Phillips, Morgan(20210528)。Biden: China Thinks It Will 'Own America' by 2035,https://www.foxnews.com/politics/biden-chinaown-america-2035。  new window
51.Pifer, Steven(20190125)。The Blame Game Begins over the INF Treaty's Demise, and Washington is Losing,https://www.brookings.edu/blog/order-from-chaos/2019/01/25/the-blame-game-beginsover-the-inf-treatys-demise-and-washington-is-losing/。  new window
52.Reif, Kingston(2018)。Trump to Withdraw U.S. From INF Treaty,https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2018-11/news/trump-withdraw-us-inf-treaty。  new window
53.Reif, Kingston(2019)。U.S. and Allied Ballistic Missile Defenses in the Asia-Pacific Region,https://www.armscontrol.org/factsheets/us-allied-ballistic-missile-defenses-asia-pacific-region。  new window
54.Reif, Kingston,Bugos, Shannon(2021)。U.S., Russia Extend New START for Five Years,https://www.armscontrol.org/act/2021-03/news/us-russia-extend-new-start-five-years。  new window
55.Roblin, Sebastien(20190409)。A2/AD: The Phrase That Terrifies the U.S. Military (And China and Russia Love It),https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/a2ad-phrase-terrifies-us-military-andchina-and-russia-love-it-51597。  new window
56.The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission(20170223)。China's Advance Weapons,https://www.uscc.gov/sites/default/files/transcripts/ China’s%20Advanced%20Weapons.pdf。  new window
57.Schneider, Mark B.(20190911)。Russia's Hypersonic Missile Threat to the U.S. National Command Authority,https://www.realcleardefense.com/articles/2019/09/11/russias_hypersonic_missile_threat_to_the_us_national_command_authority_114736.html。  new window
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