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題名:臺鐵連續假期尖峰旅客偏好模式之建立--以西幹線為例
書刊名:運輸計劃
作者:周永暉
作者(外文):Chou, Yung-hui
出版日期:1998
卷期:27:2
頁次:頁279-314
主題關鍵詞:鐵路假期尖峰旅客偏好模式效用函數需求分析RailroadHoliday peakTravellers' preference modelsUtility functionDemand analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(2) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:11
  • 點閱點閱:58
     鑑於臺鐵假期尖峰旅客需求強度甚高,惟其強度受旅次長度不同而有所差異,為 能有效反映旅客需求,乃運用市場區隔理論,將旅客群依長、中、短途運程作差異化策略, 以為調節列車運輸服務之依據。本文先探討臺鐵連續假期高級列車旅客需求特性,並參酌國 外文獻構建旅客偏好模式,經選取旅行時間差距、發車時間與有無座位服務作為效用函數決 策變數, 就民國 86 年青年節與清明節兩次連續假期進行問卷調查,復以 GCM 模式執行校 估與檢定,計有二十七個不同車種不同運程之旅客需求偏好選擇模式,最後再進行敏感度分 析。本研究結果顯示不同距離的運輸情境組合,可以明顯區隔各車種乘客偏好,尤其在中長 途運程旅客對列車行駛時間、座位與列車品牌均具有偏好特性。本文期以旅客假期尖峰需求 偏好模式之建立,作為臺鐵假期營運計畫與旅客期望間的重要媒介,以供臺鐵研擬連續假期 旅客疏運策略及列車規劃之重要參考。
     In Taiwan, railroad has an extremely high demand during holiday peak periods. The traffic pattern in holidays, such as time of demand and average travel distance, are very different from that of the normal days. In order to develop a better train schedule for holiday travelers, this paper first determined the train passengers' preference pattern from the historical booking data of Taiwan Railway Administration (TRA). Based on the concept of market separation, the railroad's passenger market during long-weekend holidays was divided into three different categories according to the distance of travel. Passengers in each category are assumed to have different demand characteristics. Different traveling time, differnet departure time, and the availability of seat are used as the three basic factors to develop the decision function for travellers in each category. Questionnaire surveys were conducted on passengers in selected train stations during two holiday periods in 1997. The general choice model (GCM) was used to analyze the responses. Twenty-seven models for three different classes of train service and three different market sectors were calibrated. Sensitive analyses were also performed on the preference models developed in this study. The results indicated that passengers in different market segments have significant different preferences with respect to service characteristics. For example, medium- and long- distance passengers are more sensitive to the change of travelling time, the availability of seat, and the class of service than short distance passengers. It is hoped that the passenger preference models can be used as a useful tool for TRA to plan and improve the train scheduling in holidays and to better utilize its facilities as well.
期刊論文
1.Kroes, E. P.、Sheldon, R. J.(1988)。Stated Preference Methods: An Introduction。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22,11-25。  new window
2.Ben-Akiva, M.、Morikawa, T.(1990)。Estimation of switching models from revealed preferences and stated intentions。Transportation Research,24(6),485-495。  new window
3.段良雄、劉慧燕(19960300)。敘述偏好模式之實驗設計與校估方法。運輸計劃,25(1),1-44。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.戚正明(1996)。臺鐵客運中長程旅次流量分析。臺鐵資料,290,1-34。  延伸查詢new window
5.Ceder, A.(1989)。Optimal Design of Transit Short-Turn Trips。Transportation Research Record,1221,8-22。  new window
6.Crevo, C.、Virkud, U.(1994)。Practical Approach to Deriving Peak-Hour Estimates from 24-Hour Travel Demand Models。Transportation Research Record,1443,30-37。  new window
7.Kikuchi, S.、Perincherry, V.(1991)。Model to Estimate Passenger O-D Pattern on a Rail Transit Line。Transportation Research Record,1349。  new window
8.Wardman, M.(1991)。Stated Preference Methods and Travel Demand Forecasting: An Examination of the Scale Factor Problem。Transportation Research, Part A: General,25A,79-89。  new window
研究報告
1.許添本(1994)。臺灣地區連續假期整體輸運策略之研究。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.郭柏君(1996)。臺鐵西部幹線城際客運列車系統規劃,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.交通部運輸研究所(1993)。臺鐵經營管理之課題及改善策略。沒有紀錄:交通部運輸研究所。  延伸查詢new window
2.Kanafani, A.(1983)。Transportation Demand Analysis。New York:McGraw-Hill Book Company。  new window
3.陳武正(1996)。臺鐵假日輸運改善計劃研究。臺鐵假日輸運改善計劃研究。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
4.張淳智(1994)。GCM(General Choice Model)軟體簡介。GCM(General Choice Model)軟體簡介。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
5.周永暉(1997)。臺灣地區連續假期西部走廊鐵路運輸旅客偏好模式之研究。臺灣地區連續假期西部走廊鐵路運輸旅客偏好模式之研究。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
6.Fowkes, T.、Wardman, M.(1991)。Disaggregate Methods。Analysing Demand for Rail Travel。United Kingdom。  new window
7.Marks,P.、Wardman, M.(1991)。Leisure Travel。Analysing Demand for Rail Travel。United Kingdom。  new window
8.Roberts, J.、Lilien, G.(1992)。Consumer Behavior。Marketing Models。沒有紀錄。  new window
 
 
 
 
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