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題名:兩岸直航旅客海空運運具選擇探討--以基隆至廈門間航線為例
書刊名:航運季刊
作者:邱榮和 引用關係陳柏熏
作者(外文):Chiu, Rong-herChen, Bo-xun
出版日期:2011
卷期:20:3
頁次:頁1-17
主題關鍵詞:運具選擇客輪敘述性偏好羅吉特模式Modal choicePassenger shipStated preference methodLogit model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:28
  • 點閱點閱:54
自2001 年開放「小三通」,開啟了兩岸通航之利基。「小三通」政策漸漸的滿足了兩岸探親、觀光旅客以及商務人士的需求。與 2001 年相比較,2008 年經由此一管道往返的旅客成長了 40 倍,達 466 萬人次。經由試辦「小三通」的績效,說明了兩岸往返旅客與來臺觀光的需求非常鉅大。在2008 年 11 月臺灣與大陸簽署協議後,正式開啟兩岸「大三通」,不但使兩岸直航不需彎靠他港,亦同時大幅開放大陸人士來臺觀光旅遊,此政策將使兩岸的交流活動更為頻繁。本研究旨在探討目前海運客輪業面臨的兩岸直航新契機後,如何開啟營運之初步探討。其研究目的有二:(1) 探討兩岸客輪之現況與未來發展;(2) 利用二元羅吉特模式說明消費者選擇行為模式。本研究使用敘述性偏好的問卷設計方式進行資料蒐集,利用問卷調查的資料建立消費者效用函數,以瞭解目前旅客對於臺閩兩地海運客輪服務之需求屬性與品質要求,並進而分析影響搭乘之重要關鍵因素。
The operations of off-shore shipping center in 1997 and “mini three links” in 2001 were the cornerstones of cross-strait transport links between Taiwan and China. The “mini three links” service gradually meets the need for cross-strait visiting relatives, sightseeing tourists and business people. Compared with 2001, the number of passenger trip through this channel increased 40 times with 4.66 million trips in 2008. The tremendous performance of “mini three links” indicates that there is huge demand for cross-strait visit and tourism. Furthermore, the signing of agreements between Taiwan and mainland China in November 2008 officially announced the beginning of “grand three links”; that would not only allow the operation of direct shipping and flight links between Taiwan and China, but also gave permission to more tourists of China traveling to Taiwan. In the end, this open policy will enable more interactions between two sides across the Taiwan Strait. The main purpose of this study is to explore how the passenger shipping operators to start providing services for tourists traveling between Taiwan and China. Two major issues are investigated: (1) the current situation and future development of cross-strait passenger shipping, and (2) using binary logit model to explain consumer’s modal choice behavior. In this study, stated preference questionnaire was utilized for data collection; then, using the survey data to establish a consumer utility function to understand the travelers’ demand properties and quality requirements for passenger ferry service between Taiwan and Fujian province of China. It also analyzes the important key factors affecting the modal choice decision.
期刊論文
1.張通榮、張志清、林光、林財生(20100900)。基隆港市共同發展策略。航運季刊,19(3),67-85。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.Kroes, E. P.、Sheldon, R. J.(1988)。Stated Preference Methods. An Introduction。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22(1),11-25。  new window
3.Wardman, M.(1988)。A Comparison of Revealed Preference and Stated Preference Models of Travel Behavior。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22(1),71-92。  new window
4.Hensher, D. A.、Barnard, P. O.、Troung, T. P.(1988)。The Role of Stated Preference Methods in Studies of Travel Choice。Journal of Transport Economics and Policy,22(1),45-58。  new window
5.Pantouvakis, A.、Lymperopoulos, K.(2008)。Customer satisfaction and loyalty in the eyes of new and repeat customers: evidence from the transport sector。Managing Service Quality,18(6),623-643。  new window
6.Bardi, E. J.、Bagchi, P. K.、Raghunathan, T. S.(1989)。Motor Carrier Selection in a Deregulated Environment。Transportation Journal,29(1),4-11。  new window
7.Morash, E. A.、Calantone, R. J.(1991)。Rail Selection, Service Quality, and Innovation。Journal of the Transportation Research Forum,32(1),205-215。  new window
8.Fowkes, T.、Preston, J.(1991)。Novel Approaches to Forecasting the Demand for New Local Rail Services。Transportation Research,25(4),209-218。  new window
9.De Palma, A.、Rochat, D.(2000)。Mode choice for trips to work in Geneva: an empirical analysis。Journal of Transport Geography,8(1),43-51。  new window
10.蕭丁訓、張志清、林光、陳基國(20071200)。臺灣港埠發展加值型服務港埠之啟思。航運季刊,16(4),61-80。new window  延伸查詢new window
11.邱榮和、林光(20071200)。The Potential for Developing Short Sea Shipping between Taiwan and Mainland China。航運季刊,16(4),17-38。new window  new window
12.周永暉(1998)。台鐵連續假期尖峰旅客偏好模式之建立--以西幹線為例。運輸計劃季刊,27(2),279-314。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Mylonakis, J.、Vlachos, G.(2000)。The specialized market of coastal passenger ferry vessels and its service marketing implications。The Cyprus Journal of Science and Technology,2(2),76-93。  new window
14.Pantouvakis, A.M.(2007)。Who pays the ferryman? an analysis of the ferry passenger's selection dilemma。Maritime Policy and Management,34(6),591-612。  new window
會議論文
1.Adler, T.、Falzarano, C. S.、Spitz, G.(2005)。Modeling Service Trade-Offs in Air Itinerary Choice。TRB Annual Meeting。  new window
學位論文
1.江伯尹(1999)。高速鐵路服務品質對旅客選擇行為影響之研究(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.呂江泉(2001)。旅客選擇海上郵輪旅遊之動機與體驗之研究--以貝里茲評定四星級之海上郵輪為例(碩士論文)。中國文化大學。  延伸查詢new window
3.巫行健(1997)。兩岸海上客運系統營運可行性之初步分析(碩士論文)。國立交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.吳舜丞(1999)。高速鐵路運輸需求尖離峰特性之研究(碩士論文)。國立交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
5.鄭偉強(2005)。以敘述性偏好法探討臺鐵營運方式改變對旅運者運具選擇之影響(碩士論文)。逢甲大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.姜榮新(2000)。捷運系統票價彈性之研究(碩士論文)。國交通大學。  延伸查詢new window
7.劉慧燕(1992)。敘述偏好模式之實驗設計(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.謝文淵(2002)。高鐵高北城際旅客旅次規劃行為之研究(碩士論文)。國立成功大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.凌瑞賢(2001)。運輸規劃原理與實務。臺北市:鼎漢國際工程。  延伸查詢new window
2.Washington, S. P.、Karlaftis, M. G.、Mannering, F. L.(2003)。Statistical and Econometric Methods for Transportation Data Analysis。Washington, DC:Chapman & Hall/ CRC。  new window
3.Pearmain, D.、Swanson, J.、Kroes, E.(1991)。Stated preference techniques: a guide to practice。New York。  new window
4.Ben-Akiva, Moshe E.、Lerman, Steven R.(1985)。Discrete choice analysis: Theory and application to travel demand。Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press。  new window
5.王慶瑞(1996)。運輸系統規劃。臺北市:亞聯工程顧問公司出版社。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.中華海運研究協會(1999)。未來兩岸通航海運運輸旅客可行性及相關問題分析。臺北市:航貿出版社。  延伸查詢new window
7.Georgadopoulos, G.P.、Vlachos, G.(1997)。Maritime Economics。Piracus:J&J Hellas Publications。  new window
其他
1.行政院大陸委員會(2010)。兩岸大事紀,http://www.mac.gov.tw/index1.htm, 2010/05。  延伸查詢new window
2.盧展猷(20110302)。郵輪產業發展。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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