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題名:內生增長下排放權分配及增長效應
書刊名:中國社會科學
作者:湯維祺錢浩祺吳力波
作者(外文):Tang, WeiqiQian, HaoqiWu, Libo
出版日期:2016
卷期:2016(1)
頁次:60-81+204-205
主題關鍵詞:碳交易排放權分配干中學效應CGE模型跨期優化
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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我國正處於經濟轉型過程中,各地區、各行業的增長路徑、技術進步路徑都存在顯著差異。氣候政策的設計尤其是碳排放權分配方式,不僅決定著政策的減排效果,更會對長期經濟增長路徑造成持久影響。一般均衡模型顯示,不同的碳排放權分配機制對短期與長期經濟產出有不同影響。基於中國多區域動態一般均衡模型進行的政策仿真模擬表明,靜態的排放權分配機制無法實現跨期經濟產出的優化目標。作為替代,動態地依據生產者產出調整排放權分配,可以激發“幹中學”效應,提高短期的經濟產出,對不同地區、不同行業節能減排及其增長效應的政策設計有重要參考價值,但對長期經濟增長的作用仍較為有限。
China is in the course of economic transformation, and the growth path and technological progress path vary greatly in terms of different regions and industries. The designing of climate policies, especially the allocation method of carbon emission rights, not only determines the emission reduction effects of policies, but exercises permanent influence on the path of long-term economic growth. As the model of a general equilibrium shows, different allocation mechanisms of carbon emission rights exert different influences upon short-and long-term economic outputs. As it is shown by a policy simulation based on the model of general equilibrium of multi-regional dynamics in China, a static allocation mechanism of emission rights cannot reach the optimization goal of intertemporal economic outputs. As a substitute, dynamically adjusting the allocation of emission rights in accordance to the output of producers, which is an optimization mechanism, can inspire a "learning-by-doing" effect, increase short-term economic output, and be used as an important reference for the policy designing concerning the energy saving and emission reduction and growth effects in various areas and industries, but its effect on long-term economic growth is still limited.
期刊論文
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5.Gagelmann, Frank、Frondel, Manuel(2005)。The Impact of Emission Trading on Innovatiorr Science Fiction or Reality?。European Environment,15,203-211。  new window
6.Bohringer, Christoph(2006)。The Efficiency Costs of Separating Carbon Markets under the EU-ETS: A Quantitative Assessment for Germany。Energy Economics,28(1),44-61。  new window
7.Otto, Vincent M.、Loschel, Andreas、Reilly, John(2008)。Directed Technical Change and Differentiation of Climate Policy。Energy Economics,30(6),2855-2878。  new window
8.Grubb, Michael(1997)。Technologies, Energy Systems and the Timing of CO2 Emissions Abatement: An Overview of Economic Issues。Energy Policy,25(2),159-172。  new window
9.Van der Zwaan, Bob C. C.、Gerlagh, Reyer、Schrattenholzer, Leo、Klaassen, G.(2002)。Endogenous Technological Change in Climate Change Modelling。Energy Economics,24(1),1-19。  new window
10.Kahouli-Brahmi, Sondes(2008)。Technological Learning in Energy-Environment-Economy Modeling: A Survey。Energy Policy,1(36),138-162。  new window
11.Jin, Wei(2012)。Can Technological Innovation Help China Take on Its Climate Responsibility? An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Analysis。Energy Policy,49,629-641。  new window
12.王錚(2006)。技術進步作用下中國CO2減排的可能性。生態學報,2006(2)。  延伸查詢new window
13.岳書敬、劉朝明(2006)。人力資本與區域全要素生產率分析。經濟研究,2006(4),90-96。  延伸查詢new window
14.鮑宗客、暴金玲(2014)。中國製造業經驗學習的測度、行業波動及成因差異。財經研究,2014(5)。  延伸查詢new window
15.Rasmussen, Tobias N.(2001)。CO2 Abatement Policy with Learning-by-Doing in Renewable Energy。Resource and Energy Economics,23(4),297-325。  new window
16.Dixon, P. B.、Pearson, K. R.、Piction, M. R.、Rimmer, M. T.。Rational Expectations for Large CGE Models: A Practical Algorithm and a Policy Application。Economic Modelling,22(6),1001-1019。  new window
17.Popp, David(2004)。ENTICE: Endogenous Technological Change in the DICE Model of Global Warming。Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,48(1),742-768。  new window
研究報告
1.Oberndorfer, Ulrich、Rennings, Klaus、Sahin, Bedia(2006)。The Impacts of the European Union Emission Trading Scheme on Competitiveness in Europe。  new window
2.Acemoglu, Daron(2009)。The Environment and Directed Technical Change。  new window
其他
1.國家統計局國民經濟核算司(2007)。2007年中國地區投入產出表(42部門),北京:中國統計出版社。  延伸查詢new window
2.國家發改委,國家統計局(2011)。關於"十一五"各地區節能目標完成情況的公告,http://www.sdpc.gov.cn/zcfb/zcfbgg/201106/t20110610-417376.html。  延伸查詢new window
3.國務院關於印發"十二五"控制溫室氣體排放工作方案的通知,http://www.gov.cn/zwgk/2012-01/13/content-2043645.htm。  延伸查詢new window
4.(20141112)。中美氣候變化聯合聲明,http://news.xinhuanet.com/energy/2014-11/13/c-127204771.htm。  new window
5.陳陽(20150703)。中國應對氣候變化:有了新"藍圖",http://www.ceh.com.cn/ztbd/jnjpzk/862800.shtml。  延伸查詢new window
6.(20151013)。習近平主持召開中央全面深化改革領導小組第十七次會議,http://news.xinhuanet.com/politics/2015-10/13/c_1116812201.htm。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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