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題名:從國際垂直分工的觀點探討臺灣貿易的形態及其變動
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:陳宏易 引用關係
作者(外文):Chen, Hung-yi
出版日期:2002
卷期:32:2
頁次:頁60-92
主題關鍵詞:國際分工垂直專業化貿易產業關聯表International productionVertical specializationInput-output tables
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:47
  • 點閱點閱:87
     近二、三十年來全球商品貿易的本質有很大的改變,尤其是產品的製造過程中,國際間垂直分工(vertically linked in international production)的程度越來越大,使得一個出口產品往往是經由多國階段不同的專業化分工形態所完成。根據Hummels, Ishii, and Yi (2001)的研究指出,自二次世異大戰以來垂直專業化貿易(vertical specialization in trade)的形態是造成全球貿易的成長多於所得成長的重要原因。所謂「垂直專業化貿易」是指一國自他國進口中間財做為該國產品的中間投入,經過加工和製造後,再將產品出口的貿易形態。本文分析台灣在民國70年到民國85年的垂直專業化貿易的程度及其對產業結構的影響。主要的結論如下:(1)歷年來垂直專業化的程度逐漸提高,由民國70年的48.32%不斷上升至85年的69.05%。這表示過去二十年來台灣在國際貿易上有相當的比例是朝著全球化的國際分工趨勢而演變。(2)工業部門佔整體產業的垂直專業化程度最高,比重超過90%。(3)實證結果顯示,關稅的逐年降低對垂直專業化貿易程度之增加有顯著的影響。這表示在透過關稅減讓的貿易自由化之下,生產的模式將逐漸趨向國際垂直專業化的分工形態。(4)產業結構、出口結構、進口結構、以及出口依賴程度也會影響垂直專業化貿易的程度。
     The nature of international trade changes dramatically in last few decades. Production sequence of a good involves several countries, with each country specializing in particular stages of good's production. These vertical linkages referring to imported inputs are used to produce goods that are then exported are called vertical specialization. Using the input-output table, this paper estimates Taiwan's vertical specialization in trade and the accompanying changes in the structure of industries from the selected years of 1964 to 1994 for country level and industry level. Key findings and implications are presented as follows. (1)The degree of total VS share of export was 48.32% in 1981 and 69.05% in 1996, a 42.9% increase in tow decades. This implies that a significant portion of international trade in the last tow decades has been following the trend of the world trade in moving toward the pattern of global production sharing. (2)Noteworthy is the manufacturing sector, whose VS share of exports has been steadily increasing and has accounted for more that 90% of the total VS shares of exports. (3)The effect of tariffs on trade verticality in our econometric analysis is statistically significant and negative. This suggests that trade liberalization through tariff reduction tends to modify the pattern of international production toward vertical specialization. (4)Sectors whose exports (and imports) constitute a higher proportion of total exports (total imports) in the economy, sectors whose export reliance index is smaller, and sectors whose relative size in the economy is smaller, tend to have a higher degree of VS-based trade.
期刊論文
1.Sanyal, Kalyan K.、Jones, Ronald W.(1982)。The Theory of Trade in Middle Products。American Economic Review,72(1),16-31。  new window
2.Krugmann, P.(1995)。Growing World Trade: Causes and Consequences。Brooklings Papers on Economic Activity,1,327-362。  new window
3.Hummels, David、Ishii, Jun、Yi, Kei-Mu(2001)。The Nature and Growth of Vertical Specialization in World Trade。Journal of International Economics,54(1),75-96。  new window
4.Hummels, David、Rapoport, Dana、Yi, Kei-Mu(1998)。Vertical Specialization and the Changing Nature of World Trade。Economic Policy Review,4(2),79-99。  new window
5.Feenstra, Robert Christopher(1998)。Integration of Trade and Disintegration of Production in the Global Economy。Journal of Economic Perspectives,12(4),31-50。  new window
6.Arndt, S. W.(1997)。Globalization and the Open Economy。North American Journal of Economics & Finance,8(1),71-79。  new window
7.Dornbusch, R.、Fischer, S.、Samuelson, P. A.(1977)。Comparative advantage, trade and payments in a Ricardian model with a continuum of goods。American Economic Review,67(5),823-839。  new window
8.王塗發(19860300)。投入產出分析及其應用--臺灣地區實證研究。臺灣銀行季刊,37(1),186-218。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Ethier, W. J.(1982)。National and International Returns to Scale in the Modern Theory of International Trade。The American Economic Review,72(3),389-405。  new window
10.Bhagwati, J. N.、Srinivasan, T. N.(1973)。The General Equilibrium Theory of Effective Protection and Resource Allocation。Journal of International Economics,3(3),259-281。  new window
11.Deardoff, A. V.(1979)。Weak Links in the Chain of Comparative Advantage。Journal of International Economics,9,197-209。  new window
12.Dixit, A. K.、Grossman, B. M.(1982)。Trade and Protection with Multistage Production。The Review of Economic Studies,49,583-594。  new window
13.Findlay, R.(1978)。An Austrian Model of International Trade and Interest Rate Equalization。Journal of Political Economy,86,989-1008。  new window
14.Harris, Richard G.(1993)。Globalization, Trade, and Income。The Canadian Journal of Economics=Revue canadienne d'Economique,26,755-776。  new window
15.Kohler, W.(2001)。A specific-factors view on outsourcing。The North American Journal of Economics and Finance,12,31-53。  new window
16.Rose, Andrew K.(1991)。Why has Trade Grown Faster Than Income。The Canadian Journal of Economics=Revue canadienne d'Economique,24(2),417-427。  new window
17.Waugh, Frederick V.(1950)。Inverse of the Leontief Matrix by Power Series。Econometrica,18,142-154。  new window
研究報告
1.Knetter, Michael M.、Slaughter, Matthew J.(1999)。Measuring Production-Market Integration。0。  new window
2.Leamer, Edward E.(1996)。In Search of Stolper-samuelson Effects on U.S. Wages。Cambridge, MA。  new window
圖書
1.詹德松(1997)。經濟統計指標--述政府統計實務。臺北市:華泰文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
2.(1999)。1999年中華民國工業簡介。1999年中華民國工業簡介。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
3.(1999)。中華民國八十七年對外貿易發展概況。中華民國八十七年對外貿易發展概況。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
4.蕭峰雄(1996)。產業經濟學。產業經濟學。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
5.Grunwald, J.、Flamm, K.(1985)。The Global Factory: Foreign Assembly in International Trade。The Global Factory: Foreign Assembly in International Trade。Washington, DC。  new window
6.Yi, Kei-Mu(1999)。Can Vertical Specialization Explain The Growth of World Trade?。Can Vertical Specialization Explain The Growth of World Trade?。New York, NY。  new window
7.World Trade Organization(1996)。Annual Report 1996, volume. II。Annual Report 1996, volume. II。沒有紀錄。  new window
 
 
 
 
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