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題名:立法院老人議題的質詢趨勢與模式
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:江豐富 引用關係董安琪 引用關係劉克智
作者(外文):Jiang, Feng-fuhTung, An-chiLiu, Paul Ke-chih
出版日期:2004
卷期:34:2
頁次:頁1-29
主題關鍵詞:立院質詢老人議題橫斷面長期追蹤資料選舉循環固定效果模型隨機效果模型外生性模式Issues concerning the elderlyLegislative interpellation sessionPanel dataLongitudinalElectoral cycleFixed-effects modelRandom-effects modelArtifactual mode
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
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     本文根據台灣過去二十年的『立法院公報』,建立各黨派立委對各項老人議題質詢次數的「橫斷面長期追蹤資料」(panel or longitudinal data ),藉以探討各黨派對各項老人議題的質詢趨勢以及各黨派的質詢次數與選舉循環之關聯性�C採用「雙向效果方法」(two-way effects approach )進行估計的結果,主要有二:一、除了「老人安養」和「其他福利」兩項議題的質詢模式分屬「傳統迴歸模型」和「隨機效果模型」外,各黨派立委對「醫療保健」、「老人照顧」、「國民年金」和「退休金」等四項老人議題的質詢模式均傾向於「政黨固定效果模型」。二、各黨派立委對各項老人議題的質詢次數與歷次選舉之間,呈高度正相關;這種質詢頻率隨著選舉循環而顯著同向變動的現象,乃Campbell (1992 )所稱的「外生性」質詢模式的一種。�C
      This paper gathers a panel data set from The Bulletin of the Legislative Yuan ( 1981-1999) to examine the trends of legislative interpellation sessions held on a variety of issues concerning the elderly, as well as their relationships with the electoral cycle. Two of our main findings from the two-way (two-factor ) effects estimation approach are as follows. First, the classical regression model and the random-effects model tend to fit somewhat better the data on numbers of interpellation sessions held on issues concerning nursing care and other general services for the elderly, respectively. In another way, the fixed-effects model would be more appropriate for the data on numbers of interpellation sessions held on issues concerning medical care, long-term care, allowances or subsidies, and retirement pensions for the elderly. Second, the number of interpellation sessions held by the legislators of any individual political party for each issue concerning the elderly is highly correlated with the electoral cycle and thus is a kind of artifactual mode as illustrated in Campbell (1992).
期刊論文
1.Breusch, T. S.、Pagan, A. R.(1980)。The Lagrange Multiplier Test and its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics。The Review of Economic Studies,47(1),239-253。  new window
2.Hausman, Jerry A.(1978)。Specification tests in econometrics。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society,46(6),1251-1271。  new window
3.Balestra, P.、Nerlove, M.(1966)。Pooling Cross Section and Time Series Data in the Estimation of Dynamic Model: The Demand for Natural Gas。Econometrica,34(3),585-612。  new window
4.江豐富、董安琪、劉克智(2002)。Impacts of Demographic, Economic, and Political Trends on Taiwan's Social Safety Net: Evolution of National Health Insurance, Pension Insurance, and Unemployment Insurance Programs。自由中國之工業,92(3),37-84。  new window
會議論文
1.江豐富、劉克智(1999)。臺灣老人福利政策的回顧與展望。臺北市。51-136。  延伸查詢new window
2.江豐富、董安琪、劉克智(2000)。臺灣老人福利政策的演進及決策模式。臺北市。1-54。  延伸查詢new window
3.Jiang, F. F.(2000)。Impacts of Demographic, Economic, and Political Trends on the Social Security Net in Taiwan: Evolution of National Pension Insurance and Unemployment Insurance Programs。沒有紀錄。1-63。  new window
圖書
1.Campbell, John Creighton(1992)。How Policies Change, The Japanese Government and the Aging Society。Princeton:Princeton University Press。  new window
2.Greene, William H.(2003)。Econometric analysis。Prentice Education。  new window
3.江豐富、董安琪、劉克智(2002)。臺灣老人政策的演進與決策模式。臺灣老人政策的演進與決策模式。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
4.經濟建設委員會(1999)。臺灣地區民國87年至140年人口推計。臺灣地區民國87年至140年人口推計。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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