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題名:颱洪災害之整合性脆弱度評估--大甲溪流域之應用
書刊名:地理學報
作者:洪鴻智 引用關係陳令韡
作者(外文):Hung, Hung-chihChen, Ling-yeh
出版日期:2012
卷期:65
頁次:頁79-96
主題關鍵詞:脆弱度調適力多準則決策分析空間統計大甲溪流域VulnerabilityAdaptive capacityMulticriteria decision making analysisSpatial statisticsTa-chia river basin
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(20) 博士論文(3) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:16
  • 共同引用共同引用:46
  • 點閱點閱:115
由於全球環境變遷及災害敏感地區過度開發,造成更多地區暴露在颱風與洪水(颱洪)災害及極端天氣的威脅。故災害風險管理者,迫切需要釐清特別脆弱地區與其主要構成要素。尤其是如何納入跨部門、跨領域,及允許不同利害相關者共同參與脆弱度評估,提升脆弱度評估支援管理決策能力,是進行脆弱度評估之重大挑戰。本文整合多準則決策分析(MCDA)與空間統計分析,以大甲溪流域為例,進行颱洪災害整合性脆弱度評估。評估結果發現,大甲溪流域中、上游之山坡地與下游部分地區,為高脆弱地區與災害管理之「熱區」且高脆弱地區具有空間聚集性。造成高脆弱地區與其他地區差異之主要因素,為災害暴露條件、實質環境、土地使用、二三級產業發展,及居民災害調適與回應能力。
Global environmental change and overdevelopment in hazard-prone areas cause the increase of areas exposure to the threats from typhoon, flood hazards and extreme weather conditions. A need for disaster risk management is to identify the particularly vulnerable areas and the key factors that shape vulnerability. However, an important challenge is how the vulnerability assessments are able to integrate multi-sector, multi-field factors with various stakeholders' participation in the processes of assessment. This paper proposes a methodology to the assessments of vulnerability by using a novel tool of integrating multicriteria decision making analysis (MCDA) with spatial statistical analysis. To illustrate our proposed methodology, a case study is presented by the typhoon-flood vulnerability assessments in the Ta-Chia River Basin. Results showed that vulnerable areas were in fact spatially clustered along the river basin. In addition, exposure, biophysical sensitivity, land uses and adaptive capacity contributed to the formation of localized "hot spots" of similarly and particularly vulnerable areas. Finally, we discussed how the findings provided direction for more effective approaches to river basin planning and management.
期刊論文
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2.何明錦、洪鴻智、陳建忠、陳令韡、簡長毅、陳素櫻、王暉堯(20091200)。綜合性地震脆弱度與風險評估:以新竹市為例。建築學報,70(增刊),111-126。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.Hung, H. C.、Chen, L. C.(2007)。The application of seismic risk-benefit analysis to land-use planning in Taipei City。Disasters,31(3),256-276。  new window
4.Cutter, S. L.、Mitchell, J. T.、Scott, M. S.(2000)。Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: a case study of Georgetown county, South Carolina。Annals of the Association of American Geographers,90(4),713-737。  new window
5.Gallopin, G. C.(2006)。Linkage between vulnerability, resilience, and adaptive capacity。Global Environmental Change,16(3),293-303。  new window
6.Smit, Barry、Wandel, Johanna(2006)。Adaptation, adaptive capacity and vulnerability。Global Environmental Change,16(3),282-292。  new window
7.Halsnæs, K.、Trærup, S.(2009)。Development and climate change: A mainstream approach for assessing economic, social, and environmental impacts of adaptation measures。Environmental Management,43(5),765-778。  new window
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9.Mehaffey, M.、Wainger, L.、Wade, T.、Yankee, D.、Smith, E.、Bott, V.、Yarbourgh, R.(2008)。Assessing vulnerability from alternative development patterns。Landscape and Urban Planning,87(1),84-95。  new window
10.Posey, John(2009)。The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the municipal level: Evidence from floodplain management programs in the United States。Global Environmental Change,19(4),482-493。  new window
11.Brouwer, R.、Akter, S.、Brander, L.、Haque, E.(2007)。Socioeconomic vulnerability and adaptation to environmental risk: A case study of climate change and flooding in Bangladesh。Risk Analysis,27(2),313-326。  new window
12.Hung, Hung-Chih、Wang, Tzu-Wen(2011)。Determinants and mapping of collective perceptions of technological risk: The case of the second nuclear power plant in Taiwan。Risk Analysis,31(4),668-683。  new window
13.Hung, Hung-Chih(2009)。The attitude towards flood insurance purchase when respondents' preferences are uncertain: A fuzzy approach。Journal of Risk Research,12(2),239-258。  new window
14.蕭煥章(20080600)。鄉鎮市區水災脆弱性評估模式之研究。華岡地理學報,21,1-18。  延伸查詢new window
15.吳杰穎、江宜錦(200803)。臺灣天然災害統計指標體系建構與分析。地理學報,51,65-84。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.Turner, B. L. II、Kasperson, Roger E.、Matson, Pamela A.、McCarthy, James J.、Corell, Robert W.、Christensen, Lindsey、Eckley, Noelle、Kasperson, Jeanne X.、Luers, Amy、Martello, Marybeth L.、Polsky, Colin、Pulsipher, Alexander、Schiller, Andrew(2003)。A framework for vulnerability analysis in sustainability science。Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America,100(14),8074-8079。  new window
17.洪鴻智、王翔榆(20100300)。多元性區域環境風險評估:以陽明山國家公園為例。都市與計劃,37(1),97-119。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.洪鴻智(20091200)。災害防救與災害風險管理:舊思維的挑戰。建築與規劃學報,10(3),a5-a8。new window  延伸查詢new window
19.Adger, W. Neil(2006)。Vulnerability。Global Environmental Change: Human and Policy Dimensions,16(3),268-281。  new window
20.Grothmann, Torsten、Patt, Anthony(2005)。Adaptive Capacity and Human Cognition: The Process of Individual Adaptation to Climate Change。Global Environmental Change,15(3),199-213。  new window
21.Acosta-Michlik, L.、Espaldon, V.(2008)。Assessing vulnerability of selected farming communities in the Philippines based on a behavioural model of agent’s adaptation to global environmental change。Global Environmental Change,18(4),554-563。  new window
22.Eakin, H.、Bojórquez-Tapia, L. A.(2008)。Insights into the composition of household vulnerability from multicriteria decision analysis。Global Environmental Change,18(1),112-127。  new window
23.Füssel, H. M.、Klein, J. J.(2006)。Climate change vulnerability assessments: An evolution of conceptual thinking。Climatic Change,75(3),301-329。  new window
24.Næss, L. O.、Bang, G.、Eriksen, S.、Vevatne, J.(2005)。Institutional adaptation to climate change: Flood responses at the municipal level in Norway。Global Environmental Change,15(2),125-138。  new window
25.Næss, L. O.、Norland, I. T.、Lafferty, W. M.、Aall, C.(2006)。Data and processes linking assessment to adaptation decision-making on climate change in Norway。Global Environmental Change,16(2),221-233。  new window
26.O’Brien, K.、Sygna, L.、Haugen, J. E.(2004)。Vulnerable or resilient? A multi-scale assessment of climate impacts and vulnerability in Norway。Climatic Change,64(1/2),193-225。  new window
27.Saaty, T. L.(2004)。Eundamentals of the analytic network process--Multiple networks with benefits, costs, opportunities and risks。Journal of Systems Science and Systems Engineering,13(3),348-379。  new window
28.Yohe, G、Tol, S. J.(2002)。Indicators for social and econoirdc coping capacity: Moving toward a working definition of adaptive capacity。Global Environmental Change,12(1),25-40。  new window
29.Brooks, N.、Adger, W. N.、Kelly, P. M.(2005)。The determinants of vulnerability and adaptive capacity at the national level and the implication for adaptation。Global Environmental Change,15(2),151-163。  new window
30.Eakin, H.、Luers, A. L.(2006)。Assessing the vulnerability of social-environmental systems。Annual Review of Environment and Resources,31,365-394。  new window
31.Eakin, H.、Lemer, A.、Murtinho, F.(2010)。Adaptive capacity in evolving peri-urban spaces: Responses to flood risk in the Upper Lerma River Valley, Mexico。Global Environmental Change,20(1),14-22。  new window
32.Luers, A. L.、Lobell, D. B.、Sklar, L. S.、Addams, C. L.、Matson, P. A.(2003)。A method for quantifying vulnerability, applied to the agricultural system of the Yaqui Valley, Mexico。Global Environmental Change,13(4),255-267。  new window
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研究報告
1.Hung, H. C.(2009)。各層級國土空間規劃與管理之脆弱度與回復力之評估研究--各層級國土空間規劃與管理之脆弱度與回復力之評估方法研究。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.United Nations(2004)。Living with Risk: A Global Review of Disaster Reduction Initiatives。Geneva, Switzerland:International Strategy for Disaster Reduction。  new window
2.Wong, David W. S.、Lee, Jay(2005)。Statistical Analysis of Geographic Information with ArcView GIS and ArcGIS。Hoboken, New Jersey:John Wiley & Sons。  new window
3.Wisner, B.、Blaikie, P.、Cannon, T.、Davis, I.(2004)。At Risk: Natural Hazards, People's Vulnerability and Disasters。Routledge。  new window
4.吳杰穎、邵珮君、林文苑、柯于璋、洪鴻智、陳天健、陳亮全、黃智彥、詹士樑、薩支平(2007)。災害管理學辭典。臺北:五南出版社。  延伸查詢new window
5.Pelling, M.(2003)。The Vulnerability of Cities-Natural Disasters and Social Resilience。London:Earthscan Publications Ltd.。  new window
6.Huang, S. L.、Chan, S. L.、Hung, H. C.(2007)。國土保育地區防災空間規劃策略之整合型規劃--國土保育地區防災空間規劃。臺北。  延伸查詢new window
7.Brooks,N.(2003)。Vulnerability, risk and adaptation: A conceptual framework。Norwich UK。  new window
8.IPCC(2001)。Overview of impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability to Climate Change。Climate change 2001: Impacts, adaptation, and vulnerability。Cambridge。  new window
其他
1.National Fire Agency(2010)。臺灣地區歷年天然災害損失統計年報,http://www.nfa.gov.tw/show.aspx?MED=97&UID=827&PID=97, 20110327。  new window
2.Soil and Water Conservation Bureau(2010)。土石流防災資訊網,http://246.swcb.gov.tw/default-1.asp, 20110326。  new window
 
 
 
 
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