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題名:Between Strategic Change and Ideological Adjustment: The DPP’s China Policy Debate in the Aftermath of the 2012 National Elections
書刊名:臺灣政治學刊
作者:Schubert, Gunter
出版日期:2012
卷期:16:2
頁次:頁233-270
主題關鍵詞:民進黨中國政策兩岸關係九二共識2012國內選舉實用主義者共識DPP China policyCross-strait relations1992 consensus2012 national electionsPragmatist consensus
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在2012年總統大選之後,民進黨看來站在十字路口當中。面對海峽兩岸越益增加的互動與希望看到兩岸關係穩定的多數選民,它的歷史以及做為台灣最悠久的獨立政黨之身分,似乎已成為追求勝選的負擔。可以這麼說,大多的台灣人現在至少可以接受「一個中國,各自表述」的「九二共識」。由此,一些黨的領導人與顧問表達了民進黨必須調整它的中國途徑以容納「九二共識」與「一個中國原則」。其他人則拒絕這種說法,反而訴求從基層重建政黨,重啟它與民間社會的連結以及振興活化民進黨的民主價值。本文重建民進黨自從2008年政黨輪替後的中國政策。本文論道,民進黨從當年的挫敗「學習不少」,並主要地導致了策略的機動,而在2012年大選前期緩和了馬英九親中政策的效果。接著本文聚焦於民進黨因2012年選舉結果而無法避免的後果,也就是當前對政黨的中國政策的辯論,定出一種替代途徑的空間界線與衡量在政黨領導中是否可能有一種新的「實用主義者共識」正在興起。
Following the 2012 presidential elections, the DPP seems to stand at a crossroads. Facing intensifying interaction across the Taiwan Strait and a majority of voters who want to see stable cross-strait relations, its history and identity as Taiwan’s oldest independence party seems to have become a burden for electoral success. Arguably, most Taiwanese can now at least live with the ‘1992 consensus’ of “one China with different interpretations”. It is hence stated by a number of party leaders and advisors that the DPP must modify its China approach to accommodate the ‘1992 consensus’ and the ‘One China principle’. Others reject this and instead plead for a rebuilding of the party from the grassroots, reactivating its links with civil society and rejuvenating the DPP’s democratic values. This article reconstructs the DPP’s China policy since the change in ruling parties in 2008. It argues that the DPP “learned little” from its defeat in that year and mainly conducted strategic maneuvering in the run-up to the 2012 elections to neutralize Ma Ying-jeou’s pro-active China policy. The article then focuses on the current debate in the DPP on the necessary consequences of the 2012 election outcome for the party’s China policy, demarcating the space for an alternative approach and pondering if there might be a new ‘pragmatist consensus’ rising in the party leadership.
期刊論文
1.Cabestan, Jean-Pierre(2005)。Specificities and Limits of Taiwanese Nationalism。China Perspectives,62,32-43。  new window
2.Fell, Dafydd.(2009)。Lessons of Defeat: A Comparison of Taiwanese Ruling Parties’ Responses to Electoral Defeat.。Asian Politics and Policy,4,660。  new window
3.Li, Chan-mou(2012)。Did Ying-wen’s campaign team have problems, or was the ‘little pigs’ movement not strong enough?。Xin Xinwen,1297A,17-19。  new window
4.Li, Chan-mou(2012)。The war of the little knife cutting throats, Ma Yingjeou turns into an iron tortoise。Xin Xinwen,1300,26-29。  new window
5.Lin, Chin-sheng、Yu Yuan-chieh、Hsieh Chang-tao(2010)。The Politics of Developing Taiwanese Nationalism in the DPP’s Reign: 2000-2008。Chia-Nan Annual Bulletin,36,493-513。  new window
6.Norris, Pippa.、Joni Lovenduski.(2004)。Why Parties Fail to Learn: Electoral Defeat, Selective Perception and British Party Politics。Party Politics,10(1),85-104。  new window
7.Romberg, Alan D.(2012)。Taiwan Elections Head to the Finish: Concerns, Cautions, and Challenges。China Leadership Monitor,36,1-33。  new window
8.Schubert, Gunter.(2004)。Taiwan’s Political Parties and National Identity: The Rise of an Overarching Consensus.。Asian Survey,44(4),534-545。  new window
9.Sullivan, Jonathan.(2011)。An Exchange on ‘Diversionary Dragons’, or ‘Talking Tough in Taipei’。Journal of East Asian Studies,11,137-52。  new window
10.Harmel, R.、Janda, K.(1994)。An Integrated Theory of Party Goals and Party Change。Journal of Theoretical Politics,6(3),259-287。  new window
11.Chen, Qimao(2011)。The Taiwan Straits Situation since Ma Came to Office and Conditions for Cross-Straits Political Negotiations: A View from Shanghai。Journal of Contemporary China,20(68),153-160。  new window
會議論文
1.Duchâtel, Mathieu.(2011)。The DPP’s Cross-Strait Policy under Tsai Ying-Wen and the 2012 Elections in Taiwan.。The Track Two Dialogue on EU-China-Relations and the Taiwan Question。Wujiang。  new window
圖書
1.Cheng, Tung(1996)。Issue Structure, DPP's Factionalism and Party Realignment。Taiwan’s Electoral Politics and Democratic Transition,。Armonk, NY:M.E. Sharpe。  new window
2.Hsieh, Chang-ting(2012)。Bu yiyang de Taiwan。Taipei:Xin wenhua jiaoshi。  new window
3.Lin, Cho-shui(2006)。Gongtongti. Shijie Tuxiang Xiade Taiwan。Hsintien:Zuoan。  new window
4.Liu, Chin(1998)。Dadan Xijin? Jieji Yongren? Minjindang Dalu Zhengce.。Taipei:Shiying。  new window
5.Mair, Peter.(1997)。Party System Change: Approaches and Interpretations。Oxford, UK:Oxford University Press。  new window
6.Tung, Chen(2011)。Taiwan’s China Strategy. From Escorting to Balancing。Taipei:Xinrui wenchuang。  new window
7.Downs, Anthony J.(1957)。An Economic Theory of Democracy。New York:Harper and Row。  new window
其他
1.China Post.(2011)。Consensus cannot focus on one China issue: Su,http ://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/291524.htm, 20120321。  new window
2.China Post.(2012)。Consensus cannot focus on one-China issue,http://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/291524.htm, 20120319。  new window
3.China Post.(20120120)。DPP fails to reflect on loss: Annette Lu,http://www.chinapost.com.tw/print/329506.htm, 20120125。  new window
4.Taiwan Today.(2012)。DPP approves ‘normal country’ resolution, aims to affirm Taiwan’s sovereign status,http://www.taiwantoday. tw/ct.asp?xItem=24742&CtNode=427, 20120316。  new window
5.Taipei Times.(20011021)。DPP makes minor revisions to stance on independence。  new window
6.Taipei Times.(20011030)。DPP shuffling to the center。  new window
7.Taipei Times.(20110824)。Tsai details DPP’s cross-Strait policies。  new window
8.Taipei Times.(20110118)。DPP must seek unity at congress。  new window
9.Taipei Times.(20110919)。Tsai clarifies ‘unification’ comments。  new window
10.Taipei Times.(20111022)。Taiwan consensus’ is brewing。  new window
11.Taipei Times.(20110721)。Tsai says DPP now moderate, reformist。  new window
12.Taipei Times.(20110130)。Interview: Frank Hsieh explains his ‘constitutional consensus’ proposal (Part I)。  new window
13.Taipei Times.(20110131)。Interview : Frank Hsieh explains his ‘constitutional consensus’ proposal (Part II)。  new window
14.Taipei Times.(20110112)。Pro-independence groups rebuke Hsieh constitution proposal。  new window
15.Taipei Times.(20120107)。Tsai speaks to ‘NYT’ about the ‘Taiwan’ consensus。  new window
16.Taipei Times.(20120130)。DPP soul-searching on Taiwan, ‘1992 consensus’。  new window
17.Taipei Times.(20120214)。Consensus’ not key to loss: DPP。  new window
18.Taipei Times.(20120216)。DPP cites six main reasons for loss。  new window
19.Taipei Times.(20120215)。Form examines DPP’s failings。  new window
20.Taipei Times.(20120227)。DPP must get serious about China。  new window
21.Taipei Times.(20120228)。DPP should shift focus, re-engage Beijing。  new window
22.Taipei Times.(20120302)。DPP happy to talk to China, but with no preconditions。  new window
23.Taipei Times.(20120307)。Cross-strait issue needs a modern fix。  new window
24.Taipei Times.(20120313)。Taiwan consensus’ not workable, ex-DPP chief Shih says。  new window
25.Taipei Times.(20120326)。Wu’s remark stirs hornets’ nest。  new window
26.Ziyou shibao.(2011)。Tsai raises cross-Strait discourse: pursuing peace but preserving differences, advancing harmony and seeking common ground,http://www.libertytimes.com.tw/2011/new/ feb/24/today-fo7.htm, 20120318。  new window
 
 
 
 
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