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題名:國家資本主義與拉丁美洲外資徵收的成因
書刊名:臺灣政治學刊
作者:李佳怡蔡宗漢 引用關係
作者(外文):Lee, Chia-yiTsai, Tsung-han
出版日期:2015
卷期:19:2
頁次:頁133-172
主題關鍵詞:國家資本主義拉丁美洲對外直接投資徵收理性選擇理論政治生存政治制度State capitalismLatin AmericaForeign direct investmentExpropriationRational choice theoryPolitical survivalPolitical institutions
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相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(3) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:3
  • 共同引用共同引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:29
作為國家資本主義的典型代表區域,拉丁美洲在這二十多年間發生不少政府介入市場的行為,尤其表現在外資的強制徵收上。本文探究拉丁美洲國家外資徵收的原因,並特別關注國內政治及制度的影響。國家資本主義的一項特色在於,政府介入經濟活動是為了達到其政治目的,本文認為此政治目的即是國家領導者要鞏固其統治權力。奠基於理性選擇理論與政治生存的概念,本文認為當領導者面對較大的制度限制時,愈可能採取徵收外資的手段。此外,根據既有關於外資徵收的理論,非民主國家和石油盛產國比較有可能徵收外資。為驗證上述研究假設,本文使用1980年至2008年拉丁美洲18個國家外資徵收的資料,以多層次卜瓦松模型和多層次二元勝算對數模型進行統計分析。分析結果顯示,當領導者受到的制度限制程度愈高,徵收愈可能發生,此外,民主國家較不易徵收外資,而石油產量高的國家較易徵收外資。本文亦討論委內瑞拉和巴西兩個個案,發現對總統的行政限制造成了兩國徵收政策的不同,此個案討論同樣驗證本文的理論。
This article focuses on state capitalism in Latin America and examines what causes the expropriation of foreign direct investment (FDI) in this region. We argue that leaders' concerns over their political survival affect FDI expropriation in Latin American countries. Specifically, when leaders sense a higher level of political constraints and political insecurity, they are more likely to take unilateral action, i.e., by expropriating FDI. This argument illustrates one important feature of state capitalism: governments utilize markets to serve political goals. We conduct a data analysis of expropriation in 18 Latin American countries from 1980 to 2008, and the results show that leaders are more likely to expropriate when they confront stronger executive constraints. The results also confirm the findings in the literature that democratic regimes expropriate less and that oil-producing countries expropriate more. The focus on Venezuela and Brazil also supports our main argument.
期刊論文
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5.Biglaiser, Glen、Staats, Joseph L.(2010)。Do Political Institutions Affect Foreign Direct investment? A Survey of US Corporations in Latin America。Political Research Quarterly,63(3),508-522。  new window
6.Figueiredo, Argelina Cheibub、Limongi, Fernando(2000)。Presidential Power, Legislative Organization and Party Behavior in the Legislature。Comparative Politics,32(2),151-170。  new window
7.Garland, Marshall W.、Biglaiser, Glen(2009)。Do Electoral Rules Matter? Political Institutions and Foreign Direct Investment in Latin America。Comparative Political Studies,42(2),224-251。  new window
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12.Jensen, Nathan M.、Young, Daniel J.(2008)。A Violent Future? Political Risk Insurance Markets and Violence Forecasts。Journal of Conflict Resolution,52(4),527-547。  new window
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16.Krause, George A.、Cohen, David B.(1997)。Presidential Use of Executive Order, 1953-1994。American Politics Quarterly,25(4),458-471。  new window
17.Lee, Chia-yi(2015)。Terrorism, Counterterrorism Aid, and Foreign Direct Investment。Foreign Policy Analysis,1。  new window
18.Li, Quan(2006)。Political Violence and Foreign Direct Investment。Research in Global Strategic Management,12,231-255。  new window
19.Li, Quan(2009)。Democracy, Autocracy, and Expropriation of Foreign Direct Investment。Comparative Political Studies,42(8),1098-1127。  new window
20.Li, Quan(2009)。Outlier, Measurement and the Democracy-FDI Controversy。Quarterly Journal of Political Science,4(2),167-181。  new window
21.Mayer, Kenneth R.(1999)。Executive Orders and Presidential Power。Journal of Politics,61(2),445-466。  new window
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23.Moe, Terry M.、Howell, William G.(1999)。Unilateral Action and Presidential Power: A Theory。Presidential Studies Quarterly,29(4),850-873。  new window
24.Pargendler, Mariana(2012)。State Ownership and Corporate Governance。Fordham Law Review,80(6),2917-2973。  new window
25.Rodrik, Dani(1999)。Democracies Pay Higher Wages. Quarterly。Journal of Economics,14(3),707-738。  new window
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27.Jodice, David A.(1980)。Sources of Change in Third World Regimes for Foreign Direct Investment, 1968-1976。International Organization,34(2),177-206。  new window
28.Minor, Michael S.(1994)。The Demise of Expropriation as An Instrument of LDC Policy, 1980-1992。Journal of International Business Studies,25(1),177-188。  new window
29.Shleifer, Andrei(1998)。State versus private ownership。Journal of Economic Perspectives,12(4),133-150。  new window
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研究報告
1.Perotti, Enrico C.(2004)。State Ownership: A Residual Role?。  new window
圖書
1.Boix, Carles(1998)。Political Parties, Growth and Equality: Conservative and Social Democratic Economic Strategies in the World Economy。Economy, New York:Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Cameron, A. Colin、Trivedi, Pravin K.(2005)。Microeconometrics: Methods and Applications。Cambridge University Press。  new window
3.Carey, John M.、Shugart, Matthew Soberg(1998)。Executive Decree Authority。Cambridge University Press。  new window
4.Frank, Andre Gunder(1969)。Capitalism and Underdevelopment in Latin America: Historical Studies of Chile and Brazil。New York, NY:Monthly Review Press。  new window
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6.Kiewiet, D. Roderick、McCubbins, Mathew D.(1991)。The Logic of Delegation: Congressional Parties and the Appropriations Process。University of Chicago Press。  new window
7.Tsebelis, George(2002)。Veto Players: How Political Institutions Work。New York:Russell Sage Foundation Press。  new window
8.Haggard, Stephan(1990)。Pathways From the Periphery: The Politics of Growth in the Newly Industrializing Countries。Ithaca, NY:Cornell University Press。  new window
9.Bueno de Mesquita, Bruce、Morrow, James D.、Siverson, Randolph M.、Smith, Alastair(2003)。The Logic of Political Survival。MIT Press。  new window
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其他
1.(2014)。越南反中暴動台商變裝逃離考慮資,http://newtalk.tw/news/2014/05/15/47298.html, 2014/06/30。  延伸查詢new window
2.Gelman, Andrew,Su, Yu-sung,Yajima, Masanao,Hill, Jennifer,Pittau, Maria Grazia,Kerman, Jouni,Zheng, Tian(2014)。arm ver. 1.7-07 (Rpackage),http://CRAN.R-project.org/package=arm/。  new window
3.The Christian Science Monitor(2012)。Brazil, Venezuela, and Mexico: Three Ways to Nationalize Oil,http://www.csmonitor.com/World/Americas/2012/0512/Brazil-Venezuelaand-Mexico-three-ways-to-nationalize-oil, 2014/10/08。  new window
4.U.S. Energy Information Administration(2012)。Petroleum and Other Liquids,http://www.eia.gov/petroleum/data.cfm。  new window
圖書論文
1.Cox, Gary W.、Morgenstern, Scott(2002)。Epilogue: Latin Americafs Reactive Assemblies and Proactive Presidents。Legislative Politics in Latin America。New York, NY:Cambridge University Press。  new window
2.Mustapic, Ana M.(2002)。Oscillating Relations: President and Congress in Argentina。Legislative Politics in Latin America。New York, NY:Cambridge University Press。  new window
3.Pollock, Friedrich(1941)。State Capitalism: Its Possibilities and Limitations。The Essential Frankfurt School Reader。New York, NY:Bloomsbury Publishing。  new window
 
 
 
 
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