:::

詳目顯示

回上一頁
題名:Adjusting Survey Response Distributions Using Multiple Imputation: A Simulation with External Validation
書刊名:調查研究
作者:劉正山 引用關係蘇毓淞
作者(外文):Liu, Frank C. S.Su, Yu-sung
出版日期:2015
卷期:34
頁次:頁7-32
主題關鍵詞:多重插補項目無反應遺漏值外部有效性檢證Multiple imputationItem-non-responseMissing valuesExternal validation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(1)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:0
  • 點閱點閱:19
電話調查中政黨傾向的「項目無反應」是選舉研究中值得正視的現象。愈來愈多台灣民眾在接受調查訪問時,不願表露本身政黨傾向,或選擇「中立」來回避作答,造成研究人員無法從調查數據中正確地估計選民政黨傾向的分佈,進而誤判選舉結果。多重插補法是解決這類資料缺失問題的統計方法之一。嚴格來說,學者尚無法確定什麼情況下可以放心的使用多重插補法來估計不表態民眾的政黨傾向分佈;原因一是政黨傾向並非隨機遺漏;第二是研究人員尚無法掌握檢驗數據遺漏機制。我們使用 2013年收集的全國性的電訪資料,展示多重插補法如何有效地解決這個問題。本文首先使用模擬遺漏機制的方式,比較多重插補前後數據的差異,指出控制與政黨傾向相關的變數會使政黨傾向的遺漏接近隨機;其次,我們比對插補後的資料及電訪追訪結果,並對中間選民進行深度訪談後,發現經過遺漏值分布和數據遺漏機制檢驗的政黨傾向插補數據具有高度的外部有效性。此方法和檢驗程序亦適用於其他非隨機遺漏的「項目無反應」研究。
Item non-response is endemic to most survey studies, and hinders the researcher in making sensible inferences. One plausible solution to this problem, multiple imputation (MI), is becoming a widely used approach in dealing with the problem of missing data thanks to the development of various software packages. Nonetheless, MI is not a panacea. Imputing missing data using MI without checking it may further induce biases. This oblivious use of MI arises partly from the conviction that some MI assumptions are simply mathematically unverifiable. Hence, the goal of the paper is twofold: first, it demonstrates how various post-MI diagnostics can be performed with a telephone survey dataset collected in Taiwan in early 2013; secondly, it places greater emphasis on the external validity of MI with a follow- up survey, and compares imputed values to the real ones. This paper concludes that, with a sensible application of MI and accompanying diagnostics, we are able to adjust survey response distribution and, at the same time, elaborate on the inferences in our studies.
期刊論文
1.Bernaards, Coen A.、Farmer, Melissa M.、Qi, Karen、Dulai, Gareth S.、Ganz, Patricia A.、Kahn, Katherine L.(2003)。Comparison of Two Multiple Imputation Procedures in a Cancer Screening Survey。Journal of Data Science,1(3),293-312。  new window
2.Gelman, Andrew、King, Gary、Liu, Chuan(1998)。Not Asked and Not Answered: Multiple Imputation for Multiple Surveys。Journal of the American Statistical Association,93(443),846-857。  new window
3.Graham, John W.(2009)。Missing Data Analysis: Making It Work in the Real World。Annual Review of Psychology,60(1),549-576。  new window
4.He, Yulei、Raghunathan, Trivellore E.(2009)。On the Performance of Sequential Regression Multiple Imputation Methods with Non Normal Error Distributions。Communications in Statistics- Simulation and Computation,38(4),856-883。  new window
5.Paul, Christopher、Mason, William M.、McCaffrey, Daniel、Fox, Sarah A.(2008)。A Cautionary Case Study of Approaches to the Treatment of Missing Data。Statistical Methods and Applications,17(3),351-372。  new window
6.Stuart, Elizabeth A.、Azur, Melissa、Frangakis, Constantine、Leaf, Philip(2009)。Multiple Imputation with Large Data Sets: A Case Study of the Children's Mental Health Initiative。American Journal of Epidemiology,169(9),1133-1139。  new window
7.Su, Yu-Sung、Gelman, Andrew、Hill, Jennifer、Yajima, Masanao(2011)。Multiple Imputation with Diagnostics (mi) in R: Opening Windows into the Black Box。Journal of Statistical Software,45(2),1-31。  new window
8.Liu, Jingchen、Gelman, Andrew、Hill, Jennifer、Su, Yu-Sung、Kropko, Jonathan(2014)。On the Stationary Distribution of Iterative Imputations。Biometrika,101(1),155-173。  new window
9.King, Gary、Honaker, James、Joseph, Anne、Scheve, Kenneth(2011)。Analyzing Incomplete Political Science Data: An Alternative Algorithm for Multiple Imputation。American Political Science Review,95,49-69。  new window
10.Honaker, James、King, Gary、Blackwell, Matthew(2011)。Amelia II: A Program for Missing Data。Journal of Statistical Software,45(7),1-47。  new window
11.Florez-Lopez, R.(2010)。Effects of Missing Data in Credit Risk Scoring. A Comparative Analysis of Methods to Achieve Robustness in the Absence of Sufficient Data。Journal of the Operational Research Society,61(3),486-501。  new window
12.Buuren, Stef van、Groothuis-Oudshoorn, Karin(2011)。Mice: Multivariate Imputation by Chained Equations in R。Journal of Statistical Software,45(3),1-67。  new window
13.Bernhagen, Patrick、Marsh, Michael(2007)。The Partisan Effects of Low Turnout: Analyzing Vote Abstention as a Missing Data Problem。Electoral Studies,26(3),548-560。  new window
14.Barzi, F.(2004)。Imputations of Missing Values in Practice: Results from Imputations of Serum Cholesterol in 28 Cohort Studies。American Journal of Epidemiology,160(1),34-45。  new window
研究報告
1.Kropko, Johnathan、Goodrich, Benjamin、Gelman, Andrew、Hill, Jennifer(2013)。Assessing the Accuracy of Multiple Imputation Techniques for Categorical Variables with Missing Data。New York:Columbia University。  new window
圖書
1.Snijders, Tom A. B.、Bosker, Roel(2011)。Multilevel Analysis: An Introduction to Basic and Advanced Multilevel Modeling。London:Sage Publications Ltd.。  new window
2.Gelman, Andrew、Carlin, John B.、Stern, Hal S.、Rubin, Donald B.(2003)。Bayesian Data Analysis。New York:Chapman and Hall:CRC。  new window
3.Rubin, Donald B.(2004)。Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys。Wiley-Interscience。  new window
4.Allison, Paul D.(2001)。Missing data。Thousand Oaks, CA:Sage。  new window
5.Rubin, Donald B.(1987)。Multiple Imputation for Nonresponse in Surveys。John Wiley & Sons。  new window
其他
1.Honaker, James,Joseph, Anne,King, Gary,Scheve, Kenneth,Singh, Naunihal(2001)。Amelia: A Program for Missing Data,http://gking.harvard.edu/amelia/, 2015/01/05。  new window
 
 
 
 
第一頁 上一頁 下一頁 最後一頁 top
QR Code
QRCODE