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題名:Pension Reform and Self-Employment in Hong Kong
書刊名:財務金融學刊
作者:莊慧玲蘇正偉邱詩詠 引用關係
作者(外文):Chuang, Hwei-linSou, Cheng-waiChiu, Shih-yung
出版日期:2016
卷期:24:3
頁次:頁91-122
主題關鍵詞:自營就業香港年金改革不景氣-推擠假說景氣-吸引假說Self-employmentHong KongPension reformRecession-push hypothesisProsperity-pull hypothesis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(0) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:4
  • 點閱點閱:30
本文以香港綜合統計調查資料為研究對象,探討香港年金改革對自營就業之可能影響,運 用probit 模型和考慮樣本選擇之probit 模型,進行個體實證分析結果發現:年金改革的確會 提高營造業自營就業比例。根據誤差修正模型進行之總體面分析計結果顯示,「不景氣-推擠」 效果假說可以部份解釋香港營造業自營作業比例與失業率之關係。
This paper examines the big jump in the self-employment rate between 2000 and 2001 in Hong Kong caused by the effect of the 2000 pension reform on self-employment. We use General Household Survey data and apply both the probit model and the probit model with sample selection to estimating the probability of self-employment. Our findings suggest that this pension reform has a positive effect on the self-employment rate in the construction industry. We also conduct a macro analysis, with the estimation results from the error correction model, showing some evidence that supports the recession-push hypothesis, particularly in the construction industry.
期刊論文
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