| 期刊論文| 1. | Doan, Thomas、Litterman, Robert B.、Sims, Christopher A.(1984)。Forecasting and Conditional Projection Using Realistic Prior Distributions。Econometric Reviews，3(1)，1-100。   | | 2. | Hamilton, James D.(1983)。Oil and the Macroeconomy since World War II。Journal of Political Economy，91(2)，228-248。 | | 3. | Sims, Christopher A.(1980)。Comparison of Interwar and Postwar Business Cycles: Monetarism Reconsidered。American Economic Review，70(2)，250-257。 | | 4. | Long, J. B. Jr.、Plosser, Charles I.(1983)。Real Business Cycles。The Journal of Political Economy，91(1)，39-69。 | | 5. | Lucas, Robert E.(1976)。Understanding Business Cycles。Carnegie Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy，5，7-29。 | | 6. | Granger, Clive W. J.(1969)。Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society，37(3)，424-438。 | | 7. | Sims, Christopher A.(1980)。Macroeconomics and Reality。Econometrica: Journal of the Econometric Society，48(1)，1-48。 | 會議論文| 1. | Waung, Wayne Y. Y.(1986)。Income and price fluctuations in the Taiwan economy: conclusions from the vector autoregressive model。The Chinese Economic Association Annual Conference。 | 研究報告| 1. | Litterman, Robert(1981)。A Bayesian Procedure for Forecasting with Vector Autoregressions。 | 學位論文| 1. | Tsai, L. R.(1988)。Tests of Causal Relationship Among Taiwan Macroeconomic Variables(碩士論文)。National Cheng Chi University，Taipei。 | 圖書| 1. | Barro, Robert J.(1987)。Macroeconomics。New York：John Wiley and Sons。 | 圖書論文| 1. | Geweke, John(1984)。Inference and Causality in Economic Time Series Models。Handbook of Econometrics。 | |