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題名:應用非線性隨機效用模型探討臺灣森林資源的遊憩價值
書刊名:農業與經濟
作者:劉錦龍 引用關係
作者(外文):Liu, Jin-long
出版日期:2001
卷期:27
頁次:頁61-86
主題關鍵詞:旅遊成本法隨機效用模型遊憩效益Travel cost methodRandom utility modelRecreational benefits
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(6) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:6
  • 共同引用共同引用:34
  • 點閱點閱:50
     傳統上使用隨機效用模型估算自然資源的遊憩使用效益,均假設所得邊際效用為一 常數項而忽略非線性所得效果的存在。本文放棄此一限制條件,同時考量線性與非線性隨機 效用間斷選擇模型,利用民國84年國人國內旅遊狀況調查為實證資料,運用Multinomial Logit 與Nested Logit估算模式,並採用Linear、Generalized Leontief與Translog型式及使用 bootstrapping方式,估算國人前往森林遊樂區的遊憩效益。估計結果顯示在一天一地的樣本 下,每人每次的遊憩價值介於165至241元之間;而以二天一地的樣本,則遊憩效益值則介 於366至714元之間。本研究亦發現,加入非線性所得型式所估計而得的效益值具有較大的 變動區間,但機平圾值與中位數而言,是否加入非線性所得效果的影響並不如模式估計間選 擇的影響。
     Traditional random utility model imposing a constant marginal utility of income on individual's preference has been widely used to evaluate recreational benefits in natural resources uses In this paper we use both linear and nonlinear random utility models to consider the impacts on benefit estimates from the assumption of constant and non-constant marginal utility of income. Both the multinomial and nested logit models are used to assess the magnitude of forest recreational benefits. By employing the linear, generalized Leontief and Translog functional forms and applying bootstrapping resample method, the results show that benefit estimates range from NT$165 to NT$241 per-trip based on a single-day trip sample The estimates are much larger and range from NT$366 to NT$714 per-trip from estimation for a two-day trip sample Our results also indicate that benefit estimates have more variations from the estimation of a nonlinear random utility model than those from a linear random utility model However, the mean and medium values of benefit estimates do not show much difference between linearity and non-linearity assumption. The impacts on model selection between multinomial and nested logit are larger that those on functional form Our result is consistent with a recent finding from Herriges and Kling (1999).
期刊論文
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3.黃宗煌(19900900)。臺灣地區國家公園之遊憩效益評估。臺灣銀行季刊,41(3),282-304。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Housmann, J. A.、Leonard, G. K.、McFadden, D.(1995)。A utility-consistent, combined discrete choice and count data model Assessing recreational use losses due to natural resource damage。Journal of Public Economics,56,1-30。  new window
5.Bockstael, N. E.、Hanemann, W. M.、Kling, C. L.(1987)。Estimating the Value of Water Quality Improvements in a Recreational Demand Framework。Water Resources Research,23(5),951-960。  new window
6.Hammitt, J. K.、Liu, J.-T.、Liu, J.-L.(2001)。Contingent valuation of a Taiwanese wetland。Environment and Development Economics,6(2),259-268。  new window
7.陳凱俐、溫育芳(19950500)。遊憩區經濟效益評估法之應用--以國立宜蘭農工專科學校實驗林場為例。農業經濟叢刊,1(1),87-116。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.羅紹麟、馮豐隆(1984)。臺灣森林遊樂區資源之經濟評估。中華林學季刊,17(2),25-51。  延伸查詢new window
9.張登科(1986)。新設森林遊樂區之經濟效益評估。臺灣土地金融季刊,23(4),61-76。  延伸查詢new window
10.Kaoru, Y.、劉錦龍、Smith, V. K.(1995)。Using Random Utility Models to Estimate the Recreational Value of Estuarine Resources。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,77,141-151。  new window
11.Morey, E. R.、Shaw, W. D.、Rowe, R. D.(1991)。A discrete-choice model of recreational participation, site choice, and activity valuation when complete trip data are not available。Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,20,181-201。  new window
12.Blattberg, R. C.、Briesch, R.、Fox, E.(1995)。How Promotion Works。Market Science,14,122-133。  new window
13.Chameides, W. L.、Lindsay, R. W.、Richardson, J.、King, C. S.(1988)。The Role of Biogenic Hydrocarbons in Urban Photochemical Smog: Atlanta as a Case Study。Science,241,1473-1475。  new window
14.Tomasi, T.、Hellerstein, D.、Feather, P.(1995)。A Discrete-Count Model of Recreational Demand。Journal of Environmental Economics and Management,29,214-227。  new window
15.Herriges, J. A.、Kling, C. L.(1999)。Nonlinear Income Effects in Random Utility Models。The Review of Economics and Statistics,81,62-72。  new window
16.Heyes, C.、Heyes, A.(1998)。Willingness to Pay Versus Willingness to Travel: Assessing the Recreational Benefits from Dartmoor National Park。Journal of Agricultural Economics,50,124-139。  new window
17.Kling, C. L.、Sexton, R. J.(1990)。Bootstrapping in Applied Welfare Analysis。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,72,406-418。  new window
18.Morey, E. R.、Rowe, R. D.、Watson, M.(1993)。A Repeated Nested-Logit Model of Atlantic Salmon Fishing。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,75,578-592。  new window
19.Breffle, W. S.、Greene, P. A.、Morey, E. R.(2001)。Two Nested Constant-Elasticity-of-Substitution Models of Recreational Participation and Site Choice: An 'Alternatives Model and An 'Alternatives' Model and An 'Expenditures' Model。American Journal of Agricultural Economics,83,414-427。  new window
20.Reaves, D. W.、Kramer, R. A.、Holmes, T. P.(1999)。Does Question Format Matter? Valuing an Endangered Species。Environmental and Resources Economics,14,365-383。  new window
21.Smith, V. K.(1990)。Estimating Recreation Demand Using the Properties of the Implied Consumer Surplus。Land Economics,66,111-120。  new window
22.Walsh, R. G.、Johnson, D. M.、Mckean, J. R.(1990)。Non-Market Values From Two Decades of Recreation Demand。Advances in Applied Microeconomics,5。  new window
23.Willis, K. G.、Garrod, G. D.(1991)。An Individual Travel-Cost Method of Evaluation Forest Recreation。Journal of Agricultural Economics,42,33-42。  new window
會議論文
1.劉錦龍、林淑媛(1998)。森林遊樂區遊憩效益評估--隨機效用模型之應用。臺灣經濟學會年會。臺灣經濟學會。143-172。  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Hanemann, W. M.(1984)。Welfare analysis with discrete choice models。University of California, Agricultural and Resource Economics。  new window
學位論文
1.林淑媛(1998)。臺灣地區森林遊樂區之遊憩效益評估-間斷選擇模型之應用,0。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Freeman, A. M.(2003)。The Measurement of Environmental and Resource Values: Theory and Methods。Washington, DC:Resources for the Future Press。  new window
2.Cummings, Ronald G.、Brookshire, David S.、Schulze, William D.、Bishop, R. C.、Arrow, K. J.(1986)。Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method。Rowman and Allanheld Publishers。  new window
3.Mitchell, Robert Cameron、Carson, Richard T.(1989)。Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method。Washington, DC:Resources for the Future Press。  new window
4.Just, Richard E.、Hueth, Darrell L.、Schmitz, Andrew(1982)。Applied Welfare Economics and Public Policy。Prentice-Hall。  new window
5.蕭代基(1987)。核四廠對遊憩活動影響的外部成本,臺電核四計畫可行性評估分類報告。核四廠對遊憩活動影響的外部成本,臺電核四計畫可行性評估分類報告。沒有紀錄。  延伸查詢new window
6.Bockstael, N. E.、McConnell, K. E.、Strand, I. E.(1991)。Recreation。Measuring the Demand for Environmental Quality。New York, NY。  new window
7.McFadden, D.(1999)。Computing Willingness-to-Pay in Random Utility Models。Trade, theory and econometrics: Essays in honor of John S. Chipman。London, UK/ New York, NY。  new window
圖書論文
1.McFadden, D. L.(1978)。Modelling the Choice of Residential Location。Spatial Interaction Theory and Planning Models。Amsterdam:North-Holland Publishing Company。  new window
2.McFadden, Daniel L.(1973)。Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior。Frontiers in Econometrics。Academic Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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