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題名:臺灣公債市場利率期限結構之估計--基礎樣條模型與指數樣條模型之比較
書刊名:管理研究學報
作者:周建新 引用關係于鴻福 引用關係胡德榮
作者(外文):Chou, Jian-hsinYu, Hong-fwuHwu, Der-rong
出版日期:2006
卷期:6:1
頁次:頁49-74
主題關鍵詞:基礎樣條模型指數樣條模型利率期限結構B-spline modelExponential spline modelTerm structure of interest rates
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(4) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:0
  • 共同引用共同引用:23
  • 點閱點閱:63
本研究之主要目的在比較基礎樣條模型與指數樣條模,在臺灣公市場利率期限結構估計的配適能力優劣。由於國內在基礎樣條模型相關研究四對於基楚樣條模參數及節點的設定,皆無因應債券到期日實際情形分段估算,故本研究為配合參數設定的實際意義,將樣本期間分成三個階段進行估算,分別設定不同的節點位置,以求獲得更精確的估算結果。實證結果發現使用分段估算的基礎樣條模型,在利率期限結構估計的配適能力上,將有顯著之提升。 在指數樣條模型方面,本文為國內首篇應用此一模型於臺灣公債市場之實證研究,而實結果亦發指數條條模在三種判斷準則上,圾優於基礎樣條模,故本研究認為指數樣條模型,較國內學常用之基礎樣條模,對臺灣公債市場的利率期限結構估計,會有更佳的配適能力。
This paper is to compare B-spline model with exponential spline model about their term structure fitting performances in Taiwan Government Bond (TGB) market. The previous empirical studies have applied the B-spline model in estimating the TGB term structure without considering different bond’s maturity and specifying the appropriate parameters and knots. For the real phenomena of setting parameters, this paper divides the sample periods into three sub-periods and separately specifies different time horizon and knot values, and wants to get more precise fitting performance. The empirical findings conclude that the B-spline model modified by parameters specification within different sub-periods will significantly increase the fitting performance in estimating the TGB term structure of interest rates. Furthermore, this paper applies the exponential spline model in the TGB term structure estimation. The empirical results show that the performance of the exponential spleen model is better than that of the B-splien model according to three judgment critiera. Therefore, we may suggest that the exponential spline model can be considered as one alternative to the B-spline model that is frequently used in estimating the term structure in TGB market.
期刊論文
1.Schaefer, S. M.、Schwartz, E. S.(1987)。Time Dependent Variance and the Pricing of Bond Options。The Journal of Finance,42(5),1113-1128。  new window
2.Adams, K. J.、Deventer, D. R.(1994)。Fitting Yield Curves and Forward Rate Curves with Maximum Smoothness。The Journal of Fixed Income,4(1),52-62。  new window
3.Carleton, W. T.、Cooper, I. A.(1976)。Estimation and the Uses of the Term Structure of Interest Rates。Journal of Finance,31(4),1067-1083。  new window
4.Lin, B. H.(2002)。Fitting the Term Structure of Interest Rates Using B-Spline: the Case of Taiwanese Government Bonds。Applied Financial Economics,12(1),55-75。  new window
5.Pham, T. M.(1998)。Estimation of Term Structure of Interest Rates : An International Perspective。Journal of Multinational Financial Management,8(2),265-283。  new window
6.Steeley, J. M.(1991)。Estimating the Gilt-Edged Term Structure Basis Splines and Confidence。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,18(4),513-529。  new window
7.Brennan, M. J.、Schwartz, E. S.(1979)。A Continuous Time Approach to the Pricing of Bonds。Journal of Banking and Finance,3(2),133-155。  new window
8.Dothan, L. U.(1978)。On the Term Structure of Interest Rates。Journal of Financial Economics,6(1),59-69。  new window
9.Hartley, H. O.(1961)。The Modified Gauss-Newton Method for the Fitting of Non-Linear Regression Functions by Least Squares。Technometrics,3(2),269-280。  new window
10.McCulloch, J. H.(1971)。Measure the Term Structure of Interest Rates。Journal of Business,44(1),19-31。  new window
11.Shea, G. S.(1985)。Interest Rate Term Structure Estimation with Exponential Splines: A Note。Journal of Finance,40(1),319-325。  new window
12.Schaefer, S. M.(1981)。Measuring a Tax-Specific Term Structure of Interest Rates in the Market of British Government Securities。The Economic Journal,91(362),415-438。  new window
13.Cox, J. C.、Ingersoll, J. E.、Ross, S. A.(1985)。A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rate。Econometrica,53(2),385-408。  new window
14.Nelson, C. R.、Siegel, A. F.(1987)。Parsimonious Modeling of Yield Curves。The Journal of Business,60(4),473-489。  new window
15.李賢源、謝承熹(1998)。以分段三次方指數函數及非線性最適化技巧配適--臺灣公債市場之利率期限結構。管理與系統,5(2),277-290。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.蔣松原(2000)。建構台灣公債市場殖利率曲線。貨幣觀測與信用評等,22,99-119。  延伸查詢new window
17.周建新、于鴻福、張千雲(20030800)。利率期限結構估計模型之實證研究。管理學報,20(4),775-804。new window  延伸查詢new window
18.Chambers, D. R.、Carleton, W. T.、Waldman, D. R.(1984)。A New Approach to Estimation of the Term Structure of Interest Rate。Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis,19(3),233-252。  new window
19.Lin, B. H.(1999)。Fitting the Term Structure of Interest Rates for Taiwanese Government Bonds。Journal of Multinational Financial Management,9(1),331-352。  new window
20.謝承熹(20000800)。以分段三次方指數函數配適臺灣公債市場之利率期限結構:線性最適化與非線性最適化之比較。中國財務學刊,8(2),25-47。new window  延伸查詢new window
21.Cox, John C.、Ingersoll, Jonathan E. Jr.、Ross, Stephen A.(1985)。An Intertemporal General Equilibrium Model of Asset Prices。Econometrica,53(2),363-384。  new window
22.李桐豪(20010300)。債券市場發展對貨幣政策之影響。中央銀行季刊,23(1),23-45。new window  延伸查詢new window
23.Vasicek, O. A.(1977)。An equilibrium characterization of term structure。Journal of Financial Economics,5(2),177-188。  new window
24.Vasicek, Oldrich A.、Fong, H. Gifford(1982)。Term Structure Modeling Using Exponential Splines。Journal of Finance,37(2),339-348。  new window
研究報告
1.Waggoner, D. F.(1997)。Spline Methods for Extracting Interest Rate Curves from Coupon Bond Prices。Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta。  new window
2.Svensson, Lars E. O.(1994)。Estimating and Interpreting Forward Interest Rates: Sweden 1992-1994。National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
學位論文
1.吳秉儒(1996)。日本國債利率期間結構估計之實證研究(碩士論文)。國立臺灣科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.陳美娥(2001)。台灣公債利率期限結構之配適--以契比雪夫多項式為例(碩士論文)。國立臺灣科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Powell, M. J. D.(1981)。Approximation Theory and Methods。Cambridge:Cambridge University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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