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題名:營業稅調整對總體經濟之可能衝擊
書刊名:臺灣經濟預測與政策
作者:吳中書范芝萍
作者(外文):Wu, Chung-shuFan, Chih-ping
出版日期:2006
卷期:37:1
頁次:頁113-154
主題關鍵詞:租稅改革加值型營業稅總體計量模型Tax reformValue-added taxVATMacro-econometric model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(8) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:7
  • 共同引用共同引用:14
  • 點閱點閱:215
本文的主要目的在於探討營業稅稅率調整對我國經濟成長、物價,以及失業率…等重要總體變數之衝擊效果。文中延用吳中書與許嘉棟(1994)、吳中書(1995a)、Wu(1995)及Wu et al. (1996)以總需求為主的架構,建立一個涵蓋財政收支的總體經濟計量模型,模擬分析不同營業稅稅率並搭配不同政府支出型態對總體經濟的影響效果。模擬結果顯示,營業稅調整對民間消費、民間投資,以及實質國內生產毛額的影響,會依支出特性的不同而存在差異性。整體而言,政府將營業稅稅率調高所獲得的新增稅收用於平衡財政收支的情況,對經濟體系所產生的正面效益最大。
The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the impacts of adjusting value-added tax (VAT) on Taiwan's economy. We follow the framework adopted by Wu and Hsu (1994), Wu (1995a), Wu (1995) and Wu et al. (1996), to construct a macro-econometrics model containing the government budget, and estimate the impacts of VAT adjustments on the macro-economy. According to the results of various simulations, with distinct types of government expenditures, the adjustment patterns of macro variables such as private consumption, private investment, and gross domestic product (GDP) differs. In sum, if the government reduces its debts with the additional taxes resulting from the increased VAT rates, the positive benefits to our economy are most significant.
期刊論文
1.林金龍、吳中書、陳仕偉(19990300)。金融資產與儲蓄--臺灣的實證研究。經濟論文,27(1),81-102。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.吳中書(19951200)。中研院經研所總體經濟年模型。臺灣經濟預測與政策,26(2),41-74。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.吳中書、高志祥、蘇文瑩、陳雅玫、單易、王淑娟、蔡秀慧、黃純宜、羅雅惠(20021000)。包含失業隔閡之總供需估測模型。臺灣經濟預測與政策,33(1),111-160。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Kneller, Richard、Bleaney, Michael Francis、Gemmell, Norman(1999)。Fiscal Policy and Growth: Evidence from OECD Countries。Journal of Public Economics,74(2),171-190。  new window
5.Easterly, William、Rebelo, Sergio(1993)。Fiscal Policy and Economic Growth: An Empirical Investigation。Journal of Monetary Economics,32(3),417-458。  new window
6.Turnovsky, Stephen J.(1996)。Optimal Tax, Debt, and Expenditure Policies in a Growing Economy。Journal of Public Economics,60(1),21-44。  new window
7.吳中書、單易、鄭淑如、梅家瑗、蘇文瑩、高志祥、羅雅惠、黃純宜、王淑娟(20000700)。臺灣總體經濟計量動態季模型。臺灣經濟預測與政策,31(1),111-159。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.吳中書、林金龍(20021000)。臺灣潛在國內生產毛額的推估及其在政策上的應用。自由中國之工業,92(10),1-34。  延伸查詢new window
9.Karadag, Metin、Westaway, Tony(2000)。The Impact on Consumer and Producer Prices of Changes in VAT in Turkey Designed to Meet EU Membership Criteria。Middle East Business and Economic Review,12(1),43-57。  new window
10.Shanmugam, K. R.、Sthanumoorthy, R.(2004)。Sales Tax Policy Interaction among the State Governments in India。Journal of Quantitative Economics,2(1),147-163。  new window
11.Aschauer, David Alan(1989)。Is Public Expenditure Productive?。Journal of Monetary Economics,23(2),177-200。  new window
12.吳中書、許嘉棟(19941200)。公債融通下政府收支與貨幣政策效果之模擬分析。經濟論文叢刊,22(4),393-423。new window  延伸查詢new window
13.Ando, Albert、Modigliani, Franco(1963)。The 'Life Cycle' Hypothesis of Saving: Aggregate Implications and Tests。American Economic Review,53(1),55-84。  new window
14.Fischer, Stanley(1993)。The Role of Macroeconomic Factor in Growth。Journal of Monetary Economics,32(3),485-512。  new window
15.Beenstock, Michael、Lavi, Yaakov、Offenbacher, Akiva(1994)。A Macroeconometric Model for Isreal 1962-90: A Market Equilibrium Approach to Aggregate Demand and Supply。Economic Modelling,11(4),413-462。  new window
16.Tait, Alan A.(1991)。VAT Policy Issues: Structure, Regressivity, Inflation, and Exports。Occasional Paper,88,1-16。  new window
17.吳中書、蔡瑞胸(2003)。Forecasting with Leading Indicators Revisited。Journal of Forecasting,22(8),603-617。  new window
18.Sparks, C. Ryan、McCoskey, Melanie G.、Alvis, John M.(2004)。Can Internet Sales Be Taxed?。Public Finance and Management,4(2),109-137。  new window
19.Böckem, Sabine(2001)。Investment and Politics - Does Tax Fear Delay Investment?。FinanzArchiv=Public Finance Analysis,58(1),60-77。  new window
20.林金龍、吳中書(2002)。A Study on Time-varying Investment Functions for Taiwan's Economy。政治經濟評論,4(1),93-106。  new window
21.Alm, James、Melnik, Mikhail I.(2005)。Sales Taxes and the Decision to Purchase Online。Public Finance Review,33(2),184-212。  new window
22.吳中書、林金龍、刁錦寰、Cho, David D.(2005)。Is Money Demand in Taiwan Stable?。Economic Modelling,22(2),327-346。  new window
23.Murrell, David、Yu, Wei-Qiu(2000)。The Effect of the Harmonized Sales Tax on Consumer Prices in Atlantic Canada。Canadian Public Policy,26(4),451-460。  new window
24.吳中書(1998)。A Time Series Approach to Econometric Models of Taiwan's Economy: Comment。Statistica Sinica,8(4),1037-1039。  new window
會議論文
1.Tsai, H.-K.、Wang, S.-C.、Shann, Y.、Mei, J.-Y.、Chiang, J.-T.、Huang, C.-Y.、吳中書、Cheng, Ada Shu-Ju(1996)。An Annual DGBAS Macroeconometric Model of Taiwanese Economy。Taipei。1-58。  new window
2.吳中書(1989)。臺灣的金融模型。臺北市。445-456。  延伸查詢new window
3.吳中書(1996)。Model Simulation and Policy Studies: The Case of Taiwan。Kitakyushu, Japan。102-122。  new window
研究報告
1.Barro, R. J.(1996)。Determinants of Economic Growth: A Cross-country Empirical Study。National Bureau of Economic Research。  new window
2.林金源(2005)。所得稅及銷售稅稅制改革對所得分配之影響。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
3.韋端、鄧哲偉、邱靜玉(2002)。國家債務高漲與公共支出財源。0。  延伸查詢new window
4.Barro, Robert(1989)。Economic Growth in a Cross Section of Countries。Cambridge, MA。  new window
圖書
1.Keynes, John M.(1936)。The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money。London, UK:A Harbinger Book:Palgrave Macmillan。  new window
2.Friedman, Milton(1957)。A Theory of the Consumption Function。Princeton, New Jersey:Princeton University Press。  new window
3.Creedy, John(1999)。Modelling Indirect Taxes and Tax Reform。Modelling Indirect Taxes and Tax Reform。Northampton, MA。  new window
4.Due, John F.(1988)。Indirect Taxation in Developing Economies。Baltimore, Maryland:Johns Hopkins University Press。  new window
其他
1.(2005)。中華民國九十三年財政統計年報,臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
圖書論文
1.吳中書(1995)。臺灣進口物價匯率轉嫁效果之研究。開放總體經濟論文集。中央研究院經濟研究所。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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