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題名:Reality and Implications of ECFA
書刊名:亞太研究論壇
作者:洪財隆
作者(外文):Hong, Tsai-lung
出版日期:2012
卷期:56
頁次:頁71-101
主題關鍵詞:兩岸經濟合作架構協議世界貿易組織自由貿易協定授權條款通報ECFAWTOFTAEnabling ClauseNotification
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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台灣加入WTO 的入會承諾當中,並沒有完全讓最大貿易夥伴的中 國適用,兩岸經貿關係尚未正常化。兩岸卻洽簽超越WTO 最惠國待遇 的ECFA,台灣必須同時處理兩岸經貿正常化(WTO 自由化的「延遲給 付」)與更進一步的自由化,面臨時間壓縮壓力。 ECFA 以架構協議為本,加上早收清單先行的逐步到位洽簽模式, 的確為兩岸的制度 安排帶來彈性,卻也導致ECFA 現階段很難向WTO 完成正式通報的困境。ECFA 定義上 仍屬於「兩岸事務」,國際規範部 分則依然懸而未決。
China has been the primary trading partner with Taiwan since 2000, suggesting that, from an economic perspective, ECFA is the most significant agreement Taiwan has signed. However, China has never abandoned attempts to annex Taiwan, suggesting that it might be not appropriate to evaluate the influence of ECFA purely from an economic perspective. From the viewpoint of economic strategy, the worst case scenario would be a situation in which Taiwan still unable to sign FTAs with its major trading partners after signing ECFA. ECFA is a “Framework Agreement” plus “Early Harvest Program” with a list of limited products to liberalize. This implies that the economic impacts of ECFA will depend on the outcomes of the subsequent negotiations, in which is difficult because Taiwan has banned more than 2,200 Chinese agricultural and industrial items from importing. Besides, Taiwan might find it difficult to comply fully with the WTO rules imposed on developed members engaging in regional trade agreements, particularly the criteria of “substantially all the trade” (SAT) in products originating in the partner’s territory since there is no “plan and schedule” in the legal text of ECFA.
期刊論文
1.Baldwin, Richard E.(2006)。Multilateralising Regionalism: Spaghetti Bowls as Building Blocs on the Path to Global Free Trade。The World Economy,29(11),1451-1518。  new window
2.Frankel, Jeffrey、Stein, Ernesto、Wei, Shang-Jin(1995)。Trading Blocs and the Americas: The Natural, the Unnatural, and the Super-Natural。Journal of Development Economics,47(1),61-95。  new window
3.Hong, T. L. Hongimann、Yang, Chih-Hai(2011)。The Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement between China and Taiwan: Understanding the Economics and Politics of ECFA。Asian Economic Papers,10(3),79-96。  new window
4.Hsiao, Russell。Hu Jintao's 'Six-Points' Proposition to Taiwan。China Brief,9(1),1-3。  new window
5.Cheong, Inkyo(2003)。Regionalism and Free Trade Agreement in East Asia。Asian Economic Papers,2(2),145-180。  new window
6.Christy, David S.(2008)。The Problems Facing the Doha Development Agenda。Global Economy Journal,8(2),1367-1398。  new window
7.Cooper, Richard(1985)。Economic Interdependence and Coordination of Economic Policies。Handbook of International Economics,2,1195-1234。  new window
研究報告
1.CIER(2009)。Assessment of Economic Impacts of ECFA。  new window
2.Zhang, Yunling(2010)。The Impact of Free Trade Agreements on Business Activity: A Survey of Firms in the People's Republic of China。  new window
3.WTO(2007)。The Challenge of Regionalism, in World Trade Report 2007: Six Decades of Multilateral Trade Cooperation。  new window
4.Dreyer, lana、Erixon, Fredrik、Lee-Makiyama, Hosuk、Sally, Razeen(2010)。Beyond geopolitics: The case for a free trade accord between Europe and Taiwan。  new window
圖書
1.Schiff, M.、Winters, L. Alan(2003)。Regional Integration and Development。Oxford:Oxford University Press。  new window
2.Frost, Ellen L.(2008)。Asia's New Regionalism。Lynne Rienner。  new window
3.Machlup, Fritz(1977)。A History of Thought on Economic Integration。New York。  new window
4.Capello, Roberta(2007)。Regional Economics。London and New York:Routledge。  new window
5.Lampton, David M.(2008)。The Three Faces of Chinese Power: Might, Money, and Minds。University of California Press。  new window
6.Steil, Benn、Litan, Robert E.(2006)。Financial Statecraft-The Role of Financial Markets in American Foreign Policy。Yale University Press。  new window
7.Hirschman, Albert O.(1980)。National power and the structure of foreign trade。University of California Press。  new window
8.Keohane, Robert O.、Nye, Joseph S. Jr.(1977)。Power and interdependence: world politics in transition。Boston, Massachusetts:Little Brown。  new window
9.Hoekman, Bernard M.、Kostecki, Michel M.(2009)。The Political Economy of the World Trading System: The WTO and Beyond。Oxford University Press。  new window
10.Bhagwati, Jagdish(2008)。Termites in the Trading System。Oxford ; New York。  new window
11.Enright, Michael、Scott, Edith E.、Chang, Ka-mun(2005)。Regional Powerhouse: The Greater Pearl River Delta and the Rise of China。  new window
12.Lawrence, Z. Robert(2008)。China and the Multilateral Trading System。Asia and the New World Economy。Oxford。  new window
13.Mathis, James H.(2002)。Modern Regionalism。Regional Trade Agreements in the GATT/WTO: Article XXIV and the Internal Trade Requirement。The Hague。  new window
其他
1.The Bureau of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan(2010)。The List of the Early Harvest,http://ekm92.trade.gov.tw/BOFT/OpenFileService?file_id=a575458f58259e8c2ff877d9774C2f49&context=83ee4cf785ad25a257533d1ac7c3b82f。  new window
2.The Bureau of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan(2011)。The Administration of the Imports from Mainland,http://search.trade.gov.tw/Search/Detail.aspx?id=96377。  new window
3.CIER(2009)。Assessment of Economic Impacts of ECFA,http://www.ecfa.org.tw/EcfaAttachment/ECFADoc/05.pdf。  new window
4.ECFA(2010)。Cross-Straits Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement,http://www.ecfa.org.tw/EcfaAttachment/ECFADoc/ECFA.pdf。  new window
5.Fiorentino, Roberto V.,Verdeja, Luis,Toqueboeuf, Christelle(2007)。The Changing Landscape of Regional Trade Agreements: 2006 Update,http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/discussion_papersl2a_e.pdf。  new window
6.Taipei Times(2010)。US Concerned over ECFA Notification,http://www.taipeitimes.com/News/front/print/201O/12/16/2003491059。  new window
7.The Bureau of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Economic Affairs, Taiwan。Ministry of Economic Affairs,http://www.trade.gov.tw/Pages/List.aspx?nodelD=284。  new window
8.WTO(2012)。Trade and Tariff Indicators,http://www.wto.org/english/res_e/statis_e/statis_maps_e.htm。  new window
9.Commercial Times(2009)。The Conclusion of ECFA is Coming Soon。  new window
10.Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade, Australian Government(2005)。Negotiating Free-trade Agreements: A Guide,http://www.dfat.gov.au/publications/negotiating_ftas/negotiating_ftas.pdf。  new window
圖書論文
1.Krugman, Paul(1991)。Is Bilateralism Bad?。International Trade and Trade Policy。Cambridge, Massachusetts:MIT Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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