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題名:機車紅燈怠速熄火節能減碳效果評估
書刊名:運輸計劃
作者:吳健生謝玟倩
作者(外文):Wu, Jiann-shengHsieh, Wen-chien
出版日期:2012
卷期:41:4
頁次:頁365-397
主題關鍵詞:紅燈怠速熄火節能減碳存活分析法Cox等比例危險模式Idling stops during red timeEnergy saving and carbon reductionSurvival analysisCox proportional hazard model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:5
  • 點閱點閱:36
為因應全球暖化之重大議題,本研究特針對全國機動車輛持有數最多 之機車,進行號誌化路口紅燈怠速熄火意願之分析。其主要目的,是在藉 由影響怠速熄火意願因素之改變,評估可能帶來之節能減碳效果。依據存 活分析法建構Cox 等比例危險模式並經校估後發現,節能減碳熄火意願、 油價上漲熄火意願、依從熄火意願、立法規範熄火傾向以及教育程度5 個 因素,對機車騎士紅燈怠速熄火之意願具有顯著的影響。另由單一路口評 估結果得知,影響節能減碳效果最大者為油價上漲因素,最高可達到全年 約90 公噸之CO2 減量;影響最小者則為教育程度,但亦可達到全年約1.6 公噸之CO2 減量。
To respond to the major issue of global warming, this study investigates the inclination to idling stops during red time at signalized intersection, focusing on the domestic most popular traffic mode-motorcycle. The main purpose is to evaluate the effect on energy saving and carbon reduction by changing the influence factors of willingness for idling stops. After calibrating the Cox proportional hazard model originated from the survival analysis, we found that a total of five factors: i.e. willingness to save energy and reduce carbon, oil price rise, willingness to stop idling, following other motorcyclists, an inclination to rule stop idling by legislation, and education, may significantly influence the motorcyclists’ willingness for idling stops. By evaluating a real signalized intersection, we further found that the oil price rise is the most effective factor on energy saving and carbon reduction, which may result in a CO2 reduction of as high as 90 tons a year. On the contrary, education plays the least effective role, it can also reduce 1.6 tons CO2 emission in a year.
期刊論文
1.Carson, R. T.、Flores, N. E.、Meade, N. F.(2001)。Contingent Valuation: Controversies and Evidence。Environmental and Resource Economics,19(2),173-210。  new window
2.Cox, D. R.(1972)。Regression models and life-tables (with discussion)。Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B: Methodological,34,187-220。  new window
學位論文
1.Davis, R.(1963)。The Value of Outdoor Recreation: An Economic Study of the Maine Woods(博士論文)。Harvard University。  new window
圖書
1.Le, Chap T.(1997)。Applied Survival Analysis。New York, NY:John Wiley & Sons, inc.。  new window
2.Cox, D. R.、Oakes, D.(1984)。Analysis of Survival Data。The Chapman and Hall Press。  new window
3.經濟部能源局(2011)。我國燃料燃燒CO2 排放統計與分析。臺北市。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.交通部統計處(2009)。機動車輛登記數。  延伸查詢new window
2.Yoshitaka, M. and Masaaki, T.(2002)。A Study on Saving Fuel by Idling Stops While Driving Vehicles。  new window
3.吳健生(199612)。改善都市環境品質所可採行之交通措施。  延伸查詢new window
4.Tiwari, G., Bangdiwala, S., Saraswat, A., and Gaurav, S.(2007)。Survival Analysis: Pedestrian Risk Exposure at Signalized Intersections。  new window
5.陳怡君(2008)。應用存活分析法探討國內航線之營運。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.蕭羽媛(2009)。存活分析法應用於機車紅燈熄火行為之研究。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.蘇殷甲(2010)。機車騎士紅燈怠速熄火意願及其預期成效之研究。  延伸查詢new window
8.吳健生、蕭羽媛、蘇殷甲(2011)。應用存活分析法於機車紅燈怠速熄火行為之研究。  延伸查詢new window
9.莊志偉(2006)。柴油小客車節能效率以及汽機車Idling Stop 技術評估研究。  延伸查詢new window
10.洪金火(2007)。機車等停對空氣污染排放之影響研究。  延伸查詢new window
11.FORMOSUN 先進動力研究中心(2008)。車輛怠速測試計劃結果報告。  延伸查詢new window
12.Li, X. G., Li, G. Q., Pang, S. S., Yang, X. G., and Tian, J. L.(2004)。Signal Timing of Intersections Using Integrated Optimization of Traffic Quality, Emissions and Fuel Consumption: A Note。  new window
13.Kleinbaum, D. G. and Klein, M.(2005)。Survival Analysis–A Self-learning Text。  new window
14.周京弘(2005)。高速鐵路臺北-臺中暨臺北-高雄路段通車效益評估。  延伸查詢new window
15.廖宜彥(2006)。臺灣地區垃圾焚化爐與掩埋場之不寧適質損。  延伸查詢new window
16.交通部運輸研究所(2006)。運輸部門能源節約及溫室氣體減量潛力評估與因應策略規劃。  延伸查詢new window
17.中鼎工程股份有限公司(2008)。ATMS 節能減碳成效分析。  延伸查詢new window
18.莊裕霖、潘一誠(2011)。移動污染源排放總量推估驗證、管制策略檢討與縣市執行成效考評。  延伸查詢new window
19.李國榮(2010)。機車怠速熄火技術之研究。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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