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題名:負債比率與財務預警--臺灣電子業之實證研究
書刊名:會計與財金研究
作者:余惠芳 引用關係李嫺柔 引用關係蔡奇儐
作者(外文):Yu, Hui-funLee, Shian-rouTsai, Chi-pin
出版日期:2013
卷期:6:1
頁次:頁59-80
主題關鍵詞:資本結構公司治理風險性資產資本適足率Capital structureCorporate governanceRisky assetBIS ratio
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(1) 博士論文(0) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:1
  • 共同引用共同引用:110
  • 點閱點閱:89
本研究主要利用會計資訊(Accounting Data)變數、統計科學方法建構公司(尤其是電子產業)之信用風險模型(Credit Risk Models),考慮當公司負債比率(Debt Ratio)>50%,找出影響公司績效之顯著變數;進一步降低銀行授信之風險性資產(Risky Assets),提高銀行之資本適足率(BIS Capital Adequacy Ratio),達到事前授信審核之預警與風險管理之效。實證分析上,利用常態性檢定(K-S test)、平均數檢定(M-U test)、皮爾森(Pearson)相關檢定、建立Logistic迴歸模型。資料選取自臺灣經濟新報(TEJ)之上市電子股,2001年至2012年發生信用風險公司與財務正常公司合計208家。實證結果發現,電子產業宜提高利息保障倍數、固定資產週轉率、每股現金流量、避免更換會計師,可增強公司償債能力、經營能力、現金流量與公司治理能力;提高現金流量允當比率、稅前淨利率(ROS),可增強公司經營與獲利能力;重視會計師保留意見,可增強公司治理能力。實證價值與管理涵義,公司避免更換會計師、重視外部人會計師(Outsider CPAs)意見,外部監控(Outside Monitoring)與公司治理能力增強,降低信用風險發生的可能性,提高公司績效;進一步可降低銀行授信之風險性資產,提高銀行之資本適足率(BIS Ratio)。
The author primarily uses accounting data and statistical methods to establish credit risk model in electronic companies, hoping to offer methods to financial institutes before make loans. Using this model to reduce banking risky assets and enhance BIS capital adequacy ratio, which given that the Taiwanese electronic companies debt ratio>50%. Empirical analysis, this paper uses K-S test, M-U test and Pearson analysis to establish logistic regression model. Accounting data were selected from TEJ data base. To sum up, there are 208 companies to be employed. Finding, Electronic companies raise the times interest earned, the fixed asset turnover, the cash flow per share and avoid switch of CPAs, it will enhance the solvency indicators, the operating performance indicators, the cash flow indicators and governance indicators. Raise the cash flow adequacy ratio, the ROS, all can enhance the operating performance indicators and the profitability indicators. Respect CPA give a qualified audit opinion, these can enhance corporate governance ability. Implications, avoid switch of CPAs, respect outsider CPAs give a qualified audit opinion, all can improve the outside monitoring and corporate governance and reduce credit risk, these will take good effect on corporate performance, and reduce banking risky assets and enhance BIS capital adequacy ratio in the financial institutions.
期刊論文
1.余惠芳、陳文郎、馮惠珊、黎紅玲(20111200)。外部監控、代理問題與信用風險模型之實證研究。育達科大學報,29,47-66。  延伸查詢new window
2.Yu, H. F.、Liang, J. H.(2011)。Management Ownership and Corporate Performance。African Journal of Business Management,5(4),1441-1453。  new window
3.Mossman, C. E.、Bell. G. G.、Swartz, L. M.、Turtle, H.(1998)。An empirical comparison of bankruptcy models。Financial Review,33,35-54。  new window
4.余惠芳(20101200)。外部監控、公司治理與公司績效之實證研究。文大商管學報,15(2),107-135。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.許文彥、羅依雯(20030700)。以動態財務分析做為產險業的早期預警系統。風險管理學報,5(2),215-231。new window  延伸查詢new window
6.周百隆、盧俊安(2007)。以Cascaded Logistic Model建構我國企業財務危機預警模型之研究。中華管理評論國際學報,10(2),69-85。  延伸查詢new window
7.余惠芳、王永昌(20111200)。財務預警與公司治理--臺灣傳統產業之實證研究。應用經濟論叢,90,209-241。new window  延伸查詢new window
8.余惠芳、張士軍、黃于軒(20110900)。企業財務資訊、代理問題與信用風險模型之實證研究。華人經濟研究,9(2),1-19。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Lieu, P. T.、Lin, Ching-Wen、Yu, Hui-Fun(2008)。Financial Early-Warning Models on Cross-Holding Groups。Industrial Management and Data Systems,108(8),1060-1080。  new window
10.Pastena, V.、Ruland, W.(1986)。The Merger/Bankruptcy Alternative。The Accounting Review,61(2),288-301。  new window
11.Laitinen, E.(199109)。Financial Ratios and Different Failure Process。Journal of Business Finance and Accounting,18(5),649-673。  new window
12.Dimitras, A. I.、Slowinski, R.、Susmaga, R.、Zopounidis, C.(1999)。Business Failure Prediction Using Rough Sets。European Journal of Operational Research,114(2),263-280。  new window
13.Beaver, W. H.(1966)。Financial Ratios as Predictors of Failure。Journal of Accounting Research,4(3),71-111。  new window
14.Blum, M.(1974)。Failure Company Discriminant Analysis。Journal of Accounting Research,12(1),1-25。  new window
15.Lee, Tsun-Siou、Yeh, Yin-Hua(2004)。Corporate Governance and Financial Distress: Evidence from Taiwan。Corporate Governance: An International Review,12(3),378-388。  new window
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17.Altman, Edward I.(1968)。Financial Ratios, Discriminant Analysis and the Prediction of Corporate Bankruptcy。The Journal of Finance,23(4),589-609。  new window
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學位論文
1.吳蕙真(2007)。台灣集團企業財務預警模式--加入公司治理變數探討(碩士論文)。東吳大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.張謙諒(2004)。我國上市公司財務危機預警資訊之研究--考慮公司治理因素(碩士論文)。銘傳大學,臺北。  延伸查詢new window
3.盧俊安(2005)。我國上市櫃公司財務危機預警機率模型之建構與驗證(碩士論文)。崑山科技大學。  延伸查詢new window
4.鄭碧月(1997)。上市公司營運危機預測模式之研究(碩士論文)。朝陽技術學院。  延伸查詢new window
5.謝智安(2004)。企業財務危機預測之研究(碩士論文)。國立中正大學。  延伸查詢new window
6.潘玉葉(1990)。臺灣股票上市公司財務危機預警分析(博士論文)。淡江大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
7.陳肇榮(1983)。運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究(博士論文)。國立政治大學。new window  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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