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題名:模擬研究適合的實驗設計
書刊名:運動教練科學
作者:王榮照
作者(外文):Wang, Jung-chao
出版日期:2014
卷期:33
頁次:頁67-77
主題關鍵詞:概化理論分配理論概化研究決斷研究Generalizability theoryDistribution theoryG-studyD-study
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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現代科技透過電腦的功能,可以根據機率理論產生虛擬資料,在進行實徵資料研究前,透過模擬研究掌握可能的結果;但執行測驗模擬研究時,各變項應該產生多少資料?並沒有一定的準則。本研究的目的在於探討模擬研究的實驗設計,決斷各變項的適合操作次數。研究對象是運動技術測驗設定計分量尺合適的分配理論。概化理論程序的研究方法分析常態分配、羅吉斯分配、二項分配、均等分配的變項效果百分比,分析模式為(P:S)× I;首先概化研究估計變項的變異成份,再以決斷研究決定模擬研究變項的適合操作次數。結果:一、概化研究得到平均變異成份為隨機誤差(pi:s)佔98.44%,顯示模擬研究符合隨機抽樣理論;其次,依序為樣本數量巢串在抽樣次數(p:s)佔0.94%、抽樣次數和測驗長度交叉(si)佔0.39%、測驗長度(i)佔0.23%、抽樣次數(s)趨近于零。二、決斷研究:樣本數量設定為大樣本(n=1,000)、中樣本(n=300)和小樣本(n=30)三種,測驗長度設定為短測驗(i=10)和長測驗(i=50)兩種,抽樣次數設定為隨機抽樣5次。結論:運用概化理論能夠決斷模擬研究實驗設計的變項適合操作次數。
The based on probability theory of modern technology through computer's functions could be generated virtual data. Simulation research could catch on the possible results before conducting empirical research. But how much data should each variable produce when the test implementation of simulation research. And there is no a certain criterion. The purpose of this study was to explore the simulation research of experimental design, and the decision the suitability of operation times in the variable. The subject of the study was an appropriate set distribution theory for the scoring scale of sport skill tests. The generalizability theory (G-theory) procedure of research method was used to analyze the percentage of variables effect for normal distribution, logistic distribution, binomial distribution, and uniform distribution. The analysis model was (P: S) × I. First of all, generalizability study (G-study) estimated variance components, and then decision study (D-study) decided the suitable number of operations in the variables of simulation research. The results were: 1. G-study was obtained the average variance components of random error (pi:s), which was accounted for 98.44 %. It showed that the simulation research fitted random sampling theory. Secondly, the order of the sample size nested within sampling frequency (p:s) was accounted for 0.94 %, and the sampling frequency crossed with test length (si) was accounted for 0.39%, and test length (i) was accounted for 0.23%, and the sampling frequency (s) was approaching zero; 2. D-study: The three sample size were set for large sample (n=1,000), medium sample (n=300) and small sample (n=30). The two test length were set for short test (i=10) and long test (i=50). The sampling frequency was set for the five times of random sample. Conclusion: Using G-theory could decide the suitable operating frequency of variables in the experimental design of simulation research.
期刊論文
1.郭伯臣、王暄博、吳慧珉、張宛婷(20100600)。次級量尺分數估計法於大型教育測驗之模擬研究。測驗學刊,57(2),209-238。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.楊智為、卓淑瑜、郭伯臣、陳亭宇(20110600)。DINA與G-DINA模式參數不變性探討。測驗統計年刊,19(上),1-15。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.錢永財、郭伯臣、陳曉竹(20091200)。以a-鄰近法為選題策略之電腦化適性測驗模擬研究。測驗學刊,56(4),605-638。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.謝友詩、劉湘川、郭伯臣(20060600)。電腦適性測驗題目曝光率之模擬研究。測驗統計年刊,14(上),59-74。new window  延伸查詢new window
5.Faller, D.、Klingmüller, U.、Timmer, J.(2003)。Simulation methods for optimal experimental design in systems biology。Simulation,79(12),717-725。  new window
6.Looney, M. A.、Heimerdinger, B. M.(1991)。Validity and Generalizability of social dance performance ratings。Research Quarterly for Exercise and Sport,62(4),339-405。  new window
7.Taylor, J. L.(1979)。Development of the physical education observation instrument using generalizability study theory。Research Quarterly,50(3),468-481。  new window
8.姚漢禱、謝伸裕(19921200)。運動技術測驗中設定試做的適宜次數。體育學報,14,339-350。new window  延伸查詢new window
9.Urry, V. W.(1977)。Tailored Testing: A Successful Application of Latent Trait Theory。Journal of Educational Measurement,14(2),181-196。  new window
10.Linacre, J. M.(2002)。Understanding Rasch Measurement: Optimizing Rating Scale Categoiy Effectiveness。The Journal of Applied Measurement,3(1),85-106。  new window
會議論文
1.林本源、姚漢禱(2007)。以多變項概化理論進行量表精簡版之研究。2007體育運動學術團體聯合年會暨學術研討會。臺北市:國立臺灣大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.姚漢禱(1995)。應用概化理論判斷達到標準型式測驗的標準--桌球技能測驗為例。1995年大專體育學術研討會。高雄縣:高雄陸軍官校。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.Taylor, B. W.(2012)。Introduction to management science。Englewood Cliffs, NJ:Prentice Hall。  new window
其他
1.劉正山(2011)。社會科學模擬研究方法,http://nccuir.lib.nccu.edu.tw/bitstream/140.119/35185/10/35601310.pdf。  延伸查詢new window
2.(2013)。Simulation,http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Simulation, 2013/09/21。  new window
 
 
 
 
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