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題名:Democracy and Economic Growth: A Reassessment
書刊名:經濟論文叢刊
作者:林馨怡蕭宇翔
作者(外文):Lin, Hsin-yiHsiao, Yu-hsiang
出版日期:2021
卷期:49:2
頁次:頁169-206
主題關鍵詞:民主經濟成長分量迴歸DemocracyEconomic growthQuantile regression
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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本文運用追蹤資料分量迴歸模型檢視民主與經濟成長的關係,由於民主化對經濟成長的影響隨經濟成長的高低而不同,因此分量迴歸可捕捉此異質性的效果。我們的研究證實,民主化對一國經濟成長的影響可正可負,取決於該國經濟成長率的高低。當一國處於低經濟成長時期,民主化對該國經濟成長有顯著正向效果,但當一國處於高經濟成長階段,民主化的效果明顯減弱,亦即經濟成長率愈低,實施民主化將有促進經濟成長的好處。本文的實證結果意味,當一國正經歷低迷的經濟成長環境下,民主化有助於刺激該國經濟,並達成經濟成長;但當一國的經濟成長已在較高的水準時,民主制度無助於經濟成長。
This paper revisits the relationship between democracy and economic growth using a quantile regression method based on dynamic panel data. It explores the heterogeneous effects of democratization on economic growth when the effects depend on growth rates. Our evidence suggests that democracy can foster or hinder growth, depending on a country's growth rate. The effects of democracy on growth are positive and strong in countries with low growth rates, and weak in countries with high growth rates. The results imply that the lower the growth rate is, the more democracy is beneficial. We conclude that democracy fosters economic growth when countries are experiencing low or moderate growth. When countries have already experienced high growth, democracy is not conducive to economic growth.
期刊論文
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17.Acemoglu, Daron、Naidu, Suresh、Restrepo, Pascual、Robinson, James A.(2019)。Democracy Does Cause Growth。Journal of Political Economy,127(1),47-100。  new window
18.Barro, Robert J.、Lee, Jong-Wha(2013)。A New Data Set of Educational Attainment in the World, 1950-2010。Journal of Development Economics,104,184-198。  new window
19.Aisen, Ari、Veiga, Francisco J.(2013)。How does Political Instability Affect Economic Growth?。European Journal of Political Economy,29,151-167。  new window
20.Assiotis, Andreas、Sylwester, Kevin(2015)。Does Law and Order Attenuate the Benefits of Democracy on Economic Growth?。Economica,82(328),644-670。  new window
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22.Boix, Carles、Miller, Michael、Rosato, Sebastian(2012)。A Complete Data Set of Political Regimes, 1800-2007。Comparative Political Studies,46(12),1523-1554。  new window
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27.Galvao, Antonio F.、Montes-Rojas, Gabriel V.(2010)。Penalized Quantile Regression for Dynamic Panel Data。Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference,140(11),3476-3497。  new window
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29.Gründler, Klaus、Krieger, Tommy(2016)。Democracy and Growth: Evidence from a Machine Learning Indicator。European Journal of Political Economy,45(Supplement),85-107。  new window
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31.Jetter, Michael(2014)。Volatility and Growth: Governments are Key。European Journal of Political Economy,36,71-88。  new window
32.Klomp, Jeroen、De Haan, Jakob(2009)。Political Institutions and Economic Volatility。European Journal of Political Economy,25(3),311-326。  new window
33.Madsen, Jakob B.、Raschky, Paul A.、Skali, Ahmed(2015)。Does Democracy Drive Income in the World, 1500-2000?。European Economic Review,78,175-195。  new window
34.Mobarak, Mushfiq A.(2005)。Democracy, Volatility, and Economic Development。Review of Economics and Statistics,87(2),348-361。  new window
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37.Spolaore, Enrico、Wacziarg, Romain(2009)。The Diffusion of Development。Journal of Political Economy,124(2),469-529。  new window
38.Sturm, Jan-Egbert、De Haan, Jakob(2005)。Determinants of Long-term Growth: New Results Applying Robust Estimation and Extreme Bounds Analysis。Empirical Economics,30(3),597-617。  new window
39.Temple, Jonathan(2000)。Growth Regressions and What the Textbooks don't Tell You。Bulletin of Economic Research,52(3),181-205。  new window
40.Rodrik, Dani、Wacziarg, Romain(2005)。Do Democratic Transitions Produce Bad Economic Outcomes?。American Economic Review,95(2),50-55。  new window
研究報告
1.Aghion, Philippe、Alesina, Alberto、Trebbi, Francesco(2007)。Democracy, Technology and Growth。  new window
2.Lin, Hsin-Yi(2015)。Quantile Regression Shrinkage in a Dynamic Panel。National Chengchi University。  new window
3.Marshall, Monty G.(2011)。Polity IV Project: Political Regime Characteristics and Transitions, 1800-2009。University of Maryland。  new window
圖書
1.Przeworski, Adam、Alvarez, Michael E.、Cheibub, José Antonio、Limongi, Fernando(2000)。Democracy and Development: Political Institutions and Well-Being in the World, 1950-1990。Cambridge University Press。  new window
其他
1.Freedom House(2013)。Freedom in the World: Political Rights and Liberties 1972-2010,http://www.freedomhouse.org。  new window
圖書論文
1.Persson, Torsten、Tabellini, Guido(2008)。The Growth Effect of Democracy: Is It Heterogenous and How Can It Be Estimated?。Institutions and Economic Performance。Cambridge, MA:Harvard University Press。  new window
 
 
 
 
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