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題名:產業營收動能策略
書刊名:管理資訊計算
作者:顧廣平 引用關係卓志文
出版日期:2013
卷期:2:1
頁次:頁92-104
主題關鍵詞:產業效應營收動能臺灣股市Industry effectsSales momentumTaiwan stock market
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 共同引用共同引用:48
  • 點閱點閱:5
動能策略,以買入過去贏家和賣出過去輸家,其可獲取3~12個月顯著正的平均報酬。針對台灣股市,本研究首次探討以未預期營收為基礎之個股動能與產業動能之間的關係,結果發現存在顯著之個股營收動能與產業營收動能效應。然而,個股營收動能效應在控制產業營收動能下,仍然持續存在;以及在控制個股營收動能後之產業營收動能策略的獲利顯著下滑,甚至大部分不具統計顯著性。此結果顯示產業營收動能幾乎完全被個股營收動能所解釋,反之則不然。而在控制產業別、價格動能與盈餘動能下,亦可獲得類似之結論。
Momentum strategies, which buy past winners and sell past losers, generate significant positive average returns over 3- to 12-month holding periods. This is the first study to investigate the relationship between individual stock momentum and industry momentum based on unexpected sales in the Taiwan stock market. The results show that there are significant sales momentum effects of individual stock and industry. Sales momentum effects of individual stock persist after controlling industrial sales momentum. However, industrial sales momentum strategies are significantly less profitable once we control for sales momentum of individual stock and, for the most part, are statistically insignificant. These results show that while industrial sales momentum is almost entirely explained by sales momentum of individual stock, the converse is not true. After controlling for industries, price momentum, and earnings momentum, we can also get a similar conclusion.
期刊論文
1.顧廣平(20100600)。營收動能策略。管理學報,27(3),267-289。new window  延伸查詢new window
2.顧廣平(20111200)。盈餘與營收動能。管理學報,28(6),521-544。new window  延伸查詢new window
3.蕭朝興、尤靜華、簡靖萱(20080600)。臺灣股市的動能效應與投資人的下單策略。交大管理學報,28(1),131-168。new window  延伸查詢new window
4.Scott, J.、Stumpp, M.、Xu, P.(2003)。Overconfidence Bias in International Stock Prices: Consistent across Countries and Trading Environments。Journal of Portfolio Management,29(2),80-89。  new window
5.Foster, George、Olsen, Chris、Shevlin, Terry(1984)。Earnings Releases, Anomalies, and the Behavior of Security Returns。The Accounting Review,59(4),574-603。  new window
6.Rouwenhorst, K. Geert(1999)。Local Return Factors and Turnover in Emerging Stock Markets。The Journal of Finance,54(4),1439-1464。  new window
7.Moskowitz, Tobias J.、Grinblatt, Mark(1999)。Do Industries Explain Momentum?。The Journal of Finance,54(4),1249-1290。  new window
8.Ball, Ray、Brown, Philip(1968)。An Empirical Evaluation of Accounting Income Numbers。Journal of Accounting Research,6(2),159-178。  new window
9.Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Livnat, Joshua(2006)。Revenue Surprises and Stock Returns。Journal of Accounting and Economics,41(1/2),147-171。  new window
10.Chan, Louis K. C.、Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Lakonishok, Josef(1996)。Momentum Strategies。Journal of Finance,51(5),1681-1713。  new window
11.Daniel, Kent、Grinblatt, Mark、Titman, Sheridan、Wermers, Russ(1997)。Measuring Mutual Fund Performance with Characteristic-based Benchmarks。Journal of Finance,52(3),1035-1058。  new window
12.George, Thomas J.、Hwang, Chuan-Yang(2004)。The 52-week High and Momentum Investing。Journal of Finance,59(5),2145-2176。  new window
13.Rouwenhorst, K. Geert(1998)。International Momentum Strategies。The Journal of Finance,53(1),267-284。  new window
14.Foster, George(1977)。Quarterly Accounting Data: Time-Series Properties and Predictive Ability Results。The Accounting Review,52(1),1-21。  new window
15.黃瓊慧、廖秀梅、廖益興(20040500)。股價是否充分反應當期盈餘對未來盈餘之意涵--以臺灣上市公司之季盈餘序列遵循AR(1)模式為例。當代會計,5(1),25-26。new window  延伸查詢new window
16.洪茂蔚、林宜勉、劉志諒(20070900)。動能投資策略之獲利性與影響因素。中山管理評論,15(3),515-546。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Titman, Sheridan(1993)。Returns to Buying Winners and Selling Losers: Implications for Stock Market Efficiency。The Journal of Finance,48(1),65-91。  new window
18.Griffin, John M.、Ji, Xiuqing、Martin, J. Spencer(2003)。Momentum investing and business cycle risk: Evidence from pole to pole。Journal of Finance,58(6),2515-2547。  new window
19.Griffin, John M.、Ji, Xiuqing、Martin, J. Spencer(2005)。Global Momentum Strategies。Journal of Portfolio Management,31(2),23-39。  new window
20.Jegadeesh, Narasimhan、Livnat, Joshua(2006)。Post-Earnings-Announcement Drift: The Role of Revenue Surprises。Financial Analysts Journal,62(2),22-34。  new window
21.李春安、羅進水、蘇永裕(20060600)。動能策略報酬、投資人情緒與景氣循環之研究。財務金融學刊,14(2),73-109。new window  延伸查詢new window
研究報告
1.Hou, K.、Peng, L.、Xiong, W.(2008)。A Tale of Two Anomalies: The Implication of Investor Attention for Price and Earnings Momentum。Ohio State University。  new window
 
 
 
 
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