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題名:以RevPAR指標探討臺灣國際觀光旅館投資分群之研究
書刊名:觀光旅遊研究學刊
作者:許秉翔林敏郎盧炳志
作者(外文):Hsu, Ping-hsiangLin, Min-langLu, Ping-chih
出版日期:2014
卷期:9:2
頁次:頁19-36
主題關鍵詞:國際觀光旅館平均每房營收旅館投資集群分析判別分析International tourist hotelRevPARHotel investmentCluster analysisDiscrimant analysis
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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  • 點閱點閱:63
本研究以國際連鎖旅館通用的RevPAR指標(平均每房營收)的年度變化率進行臺灣國際觀光旅館的集群分析,對臺灣國際觀光旅館的市場進行分群,藉以呈現旅館市場的波動,此研究成果可應用於旅館投資的資產組合之上。另外再以判別分析法進一步解釋分群的結果,實證資料係為交通部觀光局公佈的臺灣國際觀光旅館之營運資料。研究發現主要可分為三點,一、臺灣的國際觀光旅館以RevPAR為經營績效指標可分為六群,與傳統的旅館類型的分群不同;二、這六個分群可作為投資者新設或併購旅館時進行資產投資組合管理的參考,例如「正常波動型」與「逆向波動型」可作為最小化風險的資產組合,又「波動平穩型」是優於「波動劇烈型」的投資對象;三、從判別分析的結果得知RevPAR、平均房價、交通可及性、地理位置與旅館類型此五個變數是影響臺灣國際觀光旅館市場投資分群的重要變數。
The purpose of this research is the classification of Taiwan’s international tourist hotels by RevPAR index, a popular hotel performance index but rarely used in Taiwan, and identification of important variables to affect the classification results. The previous results represent the volatility of the hotel market, and could be used to real asset portfolio management of hotel investment. The database is official statistics published by Tourism Bureau, Ministry of Transportation and Communication of Taiwan. The findings are concluded into three parts. First, six groups are identified in Taiwan’s international tourist hotel market by RevPAR index. The classification results are different with the ones by hotel types. Secondly, The classification results could be applied to real asset portfolio management by hotel investors. For example, “Normal Fluctuation type” could be combined with “Reverse Fluctuation type” in a portfolio of minimal risk. In addition, “Fluctuation Steady type” is better than “Fluctuation Dramatically type” for hotel investors. Thirdly, five independent variables, including RevPAR, ADR, transportation accessibility, location, and hotel types, mainly affect the classification results.
期刊論文
1.蔡榮根、廖咸興(20091200)。資本結構決策與BOT專案特許公司財務風險探討--以臺北市平價旅館BOT案為例。中國土木水利工程學刊,21(4),503-514。  延伸查詢new window
2.Arbel, A.、Grier, P.(1978)。The Risk Structure of the Hotel Industry。Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly,19(3),15-22。  new window
3.Brown, J.、Dev, C. S.(1999)。Looking Beyond RevPAR: Productivity Consequences of Hotel Strategies。Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly,40(2),23-33。  new window
4.Chen, J.、Koh, Y.、Lee, S.(2011)。Does the Market Care About RevPAR? A Case Study of Five Large U.S. Lodging Chains。Journal of Hospitality & Tourism Research,35(2),258-273。  new window
5.Cross, R.、Higbie, J.、Cross, D.(2009)。Revenue Management's Renaissance: A Rebirth of the Art and Science of Profitable Revenue Generation。Cornell Hospitality Quarterly,50(1),56-81。  new window
6.Gallagher, M.、Mansour, A.(2000)。An Analysis of Hotel Real Estate Market Dynamics。The Journal of Real Estate Research,19(2),133-164。  new window
7.Higgins, S. M.(2006)。RevPAR Still King, but GOPPAR on the Rise。Hotel & Motel Management,221(20),1-26。  new window
8.Ismail, J. A.、Dalbor, M. C.、Mills, J. E.(2002)。Using RevPAR to Analyze Lodging-segment Variability。The Cornell Hotel and Restaurant Administration Quarterly,43(6),73-80。  new window
9.Kim, J.、Canina, L.(2011)。Competitive Sets for Lodging Properties。Cornell Hospitality Quarterly,52(1),20-34。  new window
10.O'Neil, J. W.、Mattila, A. S.(2006)。The Debate Regarding Profitability: Hotel Unit and Hotel Brand Revenue and Profit Relationships。Journal of Travel & Tourism Marketing,21(2/3),131-135。  new window
11.Sainaghi, R.(2011)。RevPAR Determinants of Individual Hotels: Evidences from Milan。International Journal of Contemporary Hospitality Management,23(3),297-311。  new window
12.Sarheim, L.(2008)。Layer or top-up? Why European hotel investors should include revenue management in their investment decisions?。Journal of Retail and Leisure Property,7(4),265-273。  new window
13.Singh, A.、Kline, R.、Ma, Q.、Beals, P.(2012)。Evolution of Hotel Asset Management: the Historical Context and Current Profile of the Profession。Cornell Hospitality Quarterly,53(4),326-338。  new window
14.Singh, A.、Schmidgall, R.(2002)。Analysis of Financial Ratios Commonly Used by US Lodging Financial Executives。Journal of Leisure Property,2(3),201-213。  new window
15.Slattery, P.(2002)。Reported RevPAR: Unreliable Measures, Flawed Interpretations and the Remedy。International Journal of Hospitality Management,21,135-149。  new window
16.Younes, E.、Forster, B.(2006)。Middle East Hotel Markets- Outlook, Trends and Opportunities and Hotel Valuation Index。Journal of Retail and Leisure Property,5(4),326-337。  new window
17.Zeglat, D.、Zigan, K.(2014)。Intellectual Capital and Its Impact on Business Performance: Evidences from the Jordanian Hotel Industry。Tourism and Hospitality Research,13(2),83-100。  new window
研究報告
1.交通部觀光局(2010)。中華民國98年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
2.交通部觀光局(2003)。中華民國91 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
3.交通部觀光局(2004)。中華民國92 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
4.交通部觀光局(2007)。中華民國95年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
5.交通部觀光局(2008)。中華民國96 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
6.交通部觀光局(2009)。中華民國97 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
7.交通部觀光局(2005)。中華民國93 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
8.交通部觀光局(2006)。中華民國94 年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
學位論文
1.林敏郎(2011)。台灣國際觀光旅館市場結構之分析(碩士論文)。台灣首府大學。  延伸查詢new window
圖書
1.交通部觀光局(2002)。中華民國90年台灣地區國際觀光旅館營運分析報告。台北:交通部觀光局。  延伸查詢new window
2.榮泰生(2007)。SPSS與研究方法。五南圖書出版有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
3.林震岩(2006)。多變量分析:SPSS的操作與應用。臺北:智勝文化事業有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
4.陳順宇(2005)。多變量分析。華泰文化事業股份有限公司。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.交通部觀光局(2013)。旅館等級評鑑制度,http://admin.taiwan.net.tw/public/public.aspx?no=224, 2013/08/30。  延伸查詢new window
 
 
 
 
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