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題名:中國婦女未婚先孕的模式與影響因素
書刊名:人口研究
作者:李丁田思鈺
出版日期:2017
卷期:2017(3)
頁次:87-100
主題關鍵詞:流動人口流動未婚先孕未婚同居Premarital pregnancyMigrationFloating populationCohabitation
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
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未婚先孕和婚前流產不僅反映中國青年婚姻和性相關的觀念、實踐的變化,也意味著潛在的健康威脅與公共服務需求。文章針對既有研究的數據偏差和理論不足提出改進的數據采集方案與解釋框架,利用2013年"流動人口動態監測調查"數據的生育史信息,對流動人口未婚先孕水平和模式進行探索,并采用競爭性風險事件史模型驗證了婚前流動對未婚先孕的影響及其異質性。結果表明,流動婦女中有20%~25%會經歷以生育結束的未婚先孕,加上以流產結束的部分,未婚先孕發生率會更高;婚前流動會顯著提高未婚先孕幾率;初次外出時年齡越小,流出時間越長,未婚先孕幾率越高;婚前流動經歷對農業戶籍、教育水平較低的流動婦女發生未婚先孕的影響更大。
The rising incidence of premarital pregnancy is largely an indication of the rapid change of the attitudes and practices about sex and marriage in China.Pregnancies ended with abortion also imply new threats to women’s health and development.Based on discussing the data bias and theoretical shortages in past research,we propose new frames to measure and analyze this problem.Using data from the 2013 National Floating Population Dynamic Monitoring Survey we examine age,period,and cohort trends in premarital pregnancy,and test hypotheses about the effect of migration.Results show that younger cohorts have higher incidence of premarital pregnancy promoted by migration,especially for the rural migrants and those with lower education.We suggest to collect more data on premarital sex behavior and pregnancy,and to offer family planning services for the youth and adults who have not yet married.
期刊論文
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