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題名:臺灣股市與國際股市共移性之研究
書刊名:商管科技季刊
作者:邱建良 引用關係劉聰衡紀嘉政
作者(外文):Chiu, Chien-liangLiu, Tsung-hengChi, Chia-chon
出版日期:2000
卷期:1:3
頁次:頁263-285
主題關鍵詞:共移性恆常與暫時共變異一般正定多變量GARCH模型Co-movementPermanent and Transitory covarianceGeneralized positive definite multivariate GARCH model
原始連結:連回原系統網址new window
相關次數:
  • 被引用次數被引用次數:期刊(5) 博士論文(1) 專書(0) 專書論文(0)
  • 排除自我引用排除自我引用:4
  • 共同引用共同引用:3
  • 點閱點閱:189
     本研究的目的是在探討臺灣、美國、日本、香港及深圳股市間股票報酬之共移性現象。應用Engle and Kroner (1995)所提出的一般正定多變量GARCH模型為主要的實證模型,並將模型中條件誤差項之分配假設為雙變量t分配,藉由對條件共變異數與條件相關係數之探討來驗證臺灣、美國、日本、香港及深圳股票市場間股票報酬共移性的時間變異特性,並獲致下列的結論:(1)除了日本與深圳股市這一組外,臺灣、美國、日本、香港及深圳股市間不論長期或短期彼此間都有相關性。(2)本研究不但印證各國股市間相關性非固定不變的現象;而且發現十個組合之條件相關係數存在正相關的機率會大於負相關的機率。(3)最後在俄羅斯金融危機(Russian financial crisis)導致美國股市在1998年8月31日星期一崩盤的事件分析中,顯示若投資者參考每日條件相關係數改變的過程來調整最適資產負債組合,則可擴大國際投資組合風險分散的潛在利益。
     This paper examines the co-movements of stock returns between each pair of stock markets within five international markets by using generalized positive definite multivariate GARCH models. The errors are assumed to follow a multivariate Student-t distribution. We find that all pairs of markets, except Hong Kong-Japan, display significant permanent and transitory covariance. We also find that while conditional correlations between the returns are generally small, the correlations change considerably over time. An event analysis suggests that using diversification strategies for these conditional correlations is potentially beneficial.
期刊論文
1.Conrad, J.、Gultekin, M. N.、Kaul, G.(1991)。Asymmetric predictability of conditional variances。Review of Financial Studies,4(4),597-622。  new window
2.Lau, S. T.、Diltz, J. D.(1994)。Stock Returns and the Transfer of Information between the New York and Tokyo Stock Exchanges。Journal of International Money and Finance,13(2),211-222。  new window
3.Hamao, Y. R.、Masulis, R. W.、Ng, V. K.(1990)。Correlations in Price Changes and Volatility across International Stock Markets。The Review of Financial Studies,3(2),281-307。  new window
4.Solnik, B. H.(1974)。Why not diversify internationally rather than domestically?。Financial Analysts Journal,30,48-54。  new window
5.Koch, Paul D.、Koch, Timothy W.(1991)。Evolution in dynamic linkages across daily national stock indexes。Journal of International Money and Finance,10(2),231-251。  new window
6.King, Mervyn、Sentana, Enrique、Wadhwani, Sushil(1994)。Volatility and Links between National Stock markets。Econometrica,62(4),901-933。  new window
7.Chang, Alex Kung-hsiung、Chou, Su-li、Wu, Chin-shun(20000200)。International Transmission of Stock Market Movements within the Great China Economic Area。Pan-Pacific Management Review,3(2),283-298。new window  new window
8.Engle, Robert F.、Kroner, Kenneth F.(1995)。Multivariate simultaneous generalized arch。Econometric Theory,11(1),122-150。  new window
9.Karolyi, G. Andrew、Stulz, René M.(1996)。Why do markets move together? An investigation of U.S.-Japan stock return comovements。The Journal of Finance,51(3),951-986。  new window
10.Markowitz, Harry M.(1952)。Portfolio Selection。The Journal of Finance,7(1),77-91。  new window
11.Grubel, Herbert G.(1968)。Internationally Diversified Portfolios: Welfare Gains and Capital Flows。The American Economic Review,58(5),1299-1314。  new window
12.Longin, Francois、Solnik, Bruno(1995)。Is the correlation in international equity returns constant: 1960-1990?。Journal of International Money and Finance,14(1),3-26。  new window
13.Bollerslev, Tim(1987)。A Conditionally Heteroskedastic Time Series Model for Speculative Prices and Rates of Return。The Review of Economics and Statistics,69(3),542-547。  new window
14.Bollerslev, Tim、Engle, Robert F.、Wooldridge, Jeffrey M.(1988)。A Capital Asset Pricing Model with Time-Varying Covariances。Journal of Political Economy,96(1),116-131。  new window
15.Bollerslev, Tim、Chou, Ray Y.、Kroner, Kenneth F.(1992)。ARCH Modeling in Finance: A Review of the Theory and Empirical Evidence。Journal of Econometrics,52(1/2),5-59。  new window
16.劉祥熹、林政文(19980900)。亞太華人地區股市共整合與因果關係之研究。亞太經濟管理評論,2(1),1-29。new window  延伸查詢new window
17.Andrews, D. W. K.、Ploberger, W.(1994)。Optimal tests when a nuisance parameter is present only under the alternative。Econometrica,62(6),1383-1414。  new window
學位論文
1.宋瑞蛟(1991)。太平洋盆地各國證券市場股價行為輿關聯性之實證研究(碩士論文)。輔仁大學。  延伸查詢new window
2.吳銀釧(1998)。臺灣與國際股市相關係數的時間序列分析及應用(碩士論文)。國立政治大學。  延伸查詢new window
其他
1.陳柏堅(1991)。國際股市股價指數與國內股市股價指數之關係研究。  延伸查詢new window
2.Becker K. G., J. E. Finnerty and A. L. Tucker(1992)。The intraday interdependence structure between U.S. and Japanese equity markets.。  new window
3.Darbar, S. M. and P. Deb(1997)。Co-movements in international equity markets.。  new window
4.Gruble, H. G. and K. Fadner(1971)。The interdependence of international equity markets.。  new window
5.Hung, B. W. S. and Y. L. Cheung(1995)。Interdependence of asian emerging equity market.。  new window
6.Ibbotson, R. G., R. C. Carr, and A. W. Robinson(1982)。International equity and bond returns.。  new window
7.Lee, J. H. H.(1991)。A lagrange multiplier test for GARCH models。  new window
8.Levy, H. and M. Sarnat(1970)。International diversification of investment portfolios。  new window
 
 
 
 
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